OK hold on.... California has been TERRIBLE to us and this is one of the main reasons I feel the way I do. If ND was signing 25 kids for 20 spots every year I'd be fine recruiting the areas you're talking about... but we don't... so we should be afraid of getting burned. Here's a quick California recap for the last decade taken from ISD:
2003: Freddie Parish – Transfer, bust
2004: Terrail Lambert – Multi-year starter
Brandon Nicholas – Transfer
Anthony Vernaglia – Bust
2005: None
2006: Konrad Reuland – Transfer
Will Yeatman – Transfer
2007: Jimmy Clausen – Multi-year starter; rumors of maturity/attitude problems
2008: Dayne Crist – Bust
Anthony McDonald – Bust
Joseph Fauria – Transfer
2009: Shaq Evans – Transfer
Cierre Wood – Multi year starter; rumors of maturity/attitude problems
2010: Cameron Roberson – Injury
2011: George Atkinson – potential starter
Josh Atkinson – backup
Troy Nicklas – Starter
2012: Tee Sheppard – Transfer
Deontee Greenberry – Flipped on LOI day
2013: Eddie Vanderdoes – backed out of LOI
Max Redfield – Expected to enroll; top prospect
I mean... you're talking about 10 out of 13 guys who have finished their careers busting out of the program.
That's over a 75% bust rate. Of guys with eligibility left, we've gotten two potential contributors, a backup, three busts no longer with the program, and one top prospect expected to enroll. No matter what way you try to dress that pig, it isn't pretty.
My entire premise is based on... I don't know what to call it... but it's basically a "OBPS" for recruits. You're right that there is value to chasing high

guys, but ND get burned more harshly than most when one doesn't pan out because we both don't oversign and don't take JUCOs. Now consider the fact that somewhere between 50%-80% of the kids from California are going to fail at ND... does it really make sense to focus recruiting there? Even if we could land all the prospects we wanted? The answer is clearly no. I think you don't go chase/push, but rather make exceptions for guys that show legitimate interest off the bat in the ND program.
If you draw a giant "Y" on the map of the US from Maine to Florida and then across the middle of the country through Iowa that is Notre Dame's recruiting sweet spot. Everything outside of this general area is "pursue at your own risk"... more often than not, history shows it is not going to end well, and then we're going to be left with a hole on our depth chart.
So no... it isn't "ludicrous" avoid a talent rich state... it's common sense. Take USC for example... go read their boards about the issues they've had with their national recruiting. By not focusing enough on their home grown talent and instead reaching for "better" nationwide talent that transfers/doesn't pan out it has REALLY hurt them. Their 2010 class had FIVE 5

players in it... every single one of them transferred except for Robert Woods who was home grown. So now Kiffin is making a concerted effort to go back to basic and not extend lots of national offers to high

players in this class because it has become such an issue.
Between Illinois/Michigan/Ohio/Indiana/Pennsylvania/New Jersey/Maryland/Virginia/North Carolina/South Carolina... Notre Dame can easily field a BCS caliber team with a much higher retention rate of the recruits. Supplemented with a few right guys from Georgia/Florida and non-traditional New York, New England, and extended Midwest (Wisconsin/Minnesota/Missouri/Kentucky/etc.) there is really no reason to chase prospects in California or the deep south who aren't perfect fits because the risk outweighs the reward. We're playing with something like 78 scholarship players this year before fall camp even starts because of **** ups. When you don't oversign or take JUCOs, the risk is VERY real and very serious.
I understand where you're coming from here and if you're confident in these guys "sticking" with whatever choice they make then that makes sense. I don't have a problem with ND 'knocking on the door'... I have a problem with them going all in for guys who have a top school list like "Alabama, LSU, Florida, Georgia, ND" because it's an obvious tell that the kid is putting an emphasis on football-first and not what makes ND different. That's just typically asking for trouble down the road. You give me a bunch of kids like Tillery who are looking at Stanford or Vandy or wherever and then OK... recruit the hell out of Louisiana.