If we get #4, the writing is on the wall. The committee will be showing it's an uphill climb for ND to make the playoffs without a conference championship (which is crazy).
tOSU will be playing Northwestern and even if they obliterate them, that's two good games and like 5-6 bad ones. Their defense is suspect.
Same with Oklahoma. In no universe should a 12-0 ND team that beat 4 current top 25 teams, be ranked any lower than 3 in the CFP.
If we get #4, the writing is on the wall. The committee will be showing it's an uphill climb for ND to make the playoffs without a conference championship (which is crazy).
Right, which is why it's important not just to win, but to win convincingly. You get some leeway on a schedule that proves light if you beat everyone by 30.Nope. Our schedule happened to be soft this year. On paper it wasn't or should have been.
But '19 features @UGA, @UM, and @Stanford
'20 features Clemson, Wisconsin, @SC, Stanford,
'21 @FSU, @VT, Wisconsin, USC, @Stanford
'22 @OSU, Clemson, in addition to all the others
Point being, I think this is more of an exception rather than the rule to us being #3 and undefeated.
Several comments about Oklahoma being a short travel to Dallas for the semi-final. IF OU were in the playoffs at 4, their game would be in Miami. I don't think the committee would have OU play a de facto home game against the 1 seed.
I can't imagine OU's proximity to Dallas would make any difference regardless. The games are on a holiday weekend Saturday, in easy-to-get-to cities. All four (five) teams in the mix are big-time blue-chip programs with huge fan bases. People will come.
Informal poll:
UGA beats Bama
Clemson beats Pitt
OSU destroys NW
OU beats UT
Who's in and what's the seeding?
I thought the rule was #1 seed plays at the closest location to their school. Nothing about their opponent
Clemson
ND
OSU
OU
Enough with Bama getting gifted championship spots without winning their conference.
UGA beats Bama
Clemson beats Pitt
OSU destroys NW
OU beats UT
Who's in and what's the seeding?
Several comments about Oklahoma being a short travel to Dallas for the semi-final. IF OU were in the playoffs at 4, their game would be in Miami. I don't think the committee would have OU play a de facto home game against the 1 seed.
I can't imagine OU's proximity to Dallas would make any difference regardless. The games are on a holiday weekend Saturday, in easy-to-get-to cities. All four (five) teams in the mix are big-time blue-chip programs with huge fan bases. People will come.
I thought the rule was #1 seed plays at the closest location to their school. Nothing about their opponent
I don't know if it is a hard and fast rule, as much an intent to ensure that the #1 seed is not playing in pretty much a road game. We might see what happens if Bama beats UGA, and OU hold off OSU to be ranked #4. I am actually not positive on this, but recall that I had seen something on the Athletic awhile back that indicated that the locations might be different for Bama at #1 and Clemson at #2, based on who the opponents are. I will see if I can find this, but it is not an easy search.
Unfortunately the history does not have a good example on how this would be handled; closest is last year where Clemson play Bama in New Orleans, but the alternative was the Rose Bowl.
Recalculate. UGA has 1 loss.
Predicted bowls for Jan 1 - OU/GA only one I would watch
<table class="table"><tbody><tr class="even"><td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Outback Bowl</td> <td>Iowa vs. LSU</td> </tr> <tr class="odd"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Citrus Bowl</td> <td>Syracuse vs. Kentucky</td> </tr> <tr class="even"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>PlayStation Fiesta Bowl</td> <td>UCF vs. Washington State</td> </tr> <tr class="odd"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Rose Bowl Game</td> <td>Michigan vs. Washington</td> </tr> <tr class="even"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Allstate Sugar Bowl</td> <td>Oklahoma vs. Georgia</td></tr></tbody></table>
They would not want Bama and Georgia to play again right away. It would be 1. Clemson 2.UGA 3.ND 4.Bama so they could possibly have an all SEC NCG.
UM-Washington would be interesting to me.
But Syracuse-Kentucky doesn't quite offer a lot of intrigue unless its basketball.
If OU makes the playoff over OSU, subbing in OSU for Iowa and WVU/Texas for OU improves things a bit.
Predicted bowls for Jan 1 - OU/GA only one I would watch
<table class="table"><tbody><tr class="even"><td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Outback Bowl</td> <td>Iowa vs. LSU</td> </tr> <tr class="odd"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Citrus Bowl</td> <td>Syracuse vs. Kentucky</td> </tr> <tr class="even"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>PlayStation Fiesta Bowl</td> <td>UCF vs. Washington State</td> </tr> <tr class="odd"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Rose Bowl Game</td> <td>Michigan vs. Washington</td> </tr> <tr class="even"> <td>Jan. 1</td> <td>Allstate Sugar Bowl</td> <td>Oklahoma vs. Georgia</td></tr></tbody></table>
IMHO, the only potential movement for ND from #3 is moving up to #2 or #1. ND should not get jumped.