What's the list of 1-loss teams out there that people think would get in over 11-1 ND? Obviously tough to predict who will win conference divisions, but IMO:
12-1 Clemson
12-1 Ohio State
12-1 OU
12-1 Bama
12-1 PSU (probably to avoid shutting them out again although I think we'd have the better resume)
12-1 Michigan (won't happen)
unsure of 12-1 Georgia with a loss to Bama
Definitely agree on Clemson and Bama, probably OU, too. People won't forget what they did to Ohio State, and will beat TCU, too.
I don't think a Pac-12 team (Washington?) makes it in that scenario because if we only have one loss, we've beaten USC and Stanford and diluted their SOS. Same with any ACC team other than Clemson.
I don't know if a one-loss Big Ten team gets in ahead of us. Probably depends on our SOS and how the Big Ten shakes out. Ohio State's and Penn State's best wins would be each other and... a Wisconsin team no one really thinks is good anyway?
I don't know how we get in over a one-loss Georgia though, assuming that loss is close to a good team.
Most important thing for us is winning all our games (Duh). And having our SOS hold up in the second half of the season. NC State (or Miami) and USC (or Stanford) losing to us but winning their conferences would be huge.