I have said too many times that I've never seen a coach who can't get a break like Brian Kelly here at ND. And because of that I refuse to lay any of our rotting fruits at his doorstep. He knew that he was in high risk territory when he took the job, because if Dayne couldn't do it, he had nobody. I mean really, the guy had to play Nate Montana at one point.
Along comes Tommy Rees, a kid beyond his years and tough in the heart. Kelly knew immediately that Tommy had a mediocre skill set --- heck he talked about bits of that all the time, masterfully as to psychology but it was all out there. But Tommy steps up to the plate with all he's got, and it turns out we start functioning reasonably well for a while.
But opposing DCs aren't sleeping their lives away. Some of them begin to believe that Tommy really IS NEVER going to do certain things even if they are open. They begin designing, in a way, weird stuff that you wouldn't use against a more rounded quarterback. All of a sudden, "surprises" occur. Tommy can't outwork "surprises" in the filmroom, so he's caught off guard. Turnovers increase. Tommy feels the pressure, even as tough an S0B as he is, and there's some hesitation.
Then DCs find that he's REALLY bad if he has to move to his left. Extra blitzes and pressures coming from our right to push that --- plus our somewhat lesser O-Line studs are over there. More flub-a-dub plays. Finally, convinced that Tommy wouldn't run even if it was only the St.Mary's nuns on the field, the DCs design baiting coverages where an extra "off" defensive back flows into the coverage [usually from Tommy's rightside vision when he's looking more or less middle, if my memory serves]. PICK.
So why when the DCs have figured Tommy completely out, and weird pass coverages are frequent, why don't we give it up and just start running it down their throat? Can you say Braxton Cave?? I believe that anyone who feels that we were anywhere near as good with Golic than Cave needs counseling.
Kelly couldn't adjust at that stage of the season because most of his directions were blocked off through no fault of his own, but rather injuries and clever DCs completely figuring a highly limited QB out and creating defensive wrinkles aimed right at that.
This is why I think that unless something really strange happens with Tommy's style of play, Coach has to start fresh, and this time with lots more athleticism. Maybe that's Hendricks, but boy I'm not impressed with his real time reads. Maybe that's Golson --- he screws up the reads too, but he's less experienced and you hold out a little more hope for a quick cornerturn.
I believe that we will win a couple of games, maybe even ugly, and then have a bloodbath with State. If we find a way to outscore them in a low-scoring heavyweight fistfight, then we are probably off and running to a better season than people are predicting away from the green koolaid stands. That start might well set us up for a constantly improving looking team at about 9-3. And since we'll peak at the end, a bowl win. 10-3 I'll take. With the QB problem solved going to next year.