Sept 3 | Ohio State

[tko]

We have zero chance if Freeman doesn't wear a green sweater vest.

 

[Whiskeyjack]

Sadly I see this game currently playing out like the Bama playoff game a few years back. I think defensively we can hang in there, but I don't foresee us being able to score enough to balance out the solid play on defense. Just my way too early take on how I expect this to shape out.

Bama's DFEI was 0.50 (ranked 21st nationally) after that game.

OSU's DFEI was only 0.22 (ranked 42nd nationally) last year. Unless Knowles is a wizard and has the Buckeye defense ready to take a massive step forward in game one after just a single off-season, we should be able to move the ball on them reliably. The real question is whether our DBs can contain JSN (lol) and/or our front-7 can make Stroud uncomfortable.

 

[irishff1014]

Endurance wise I think this team is as strong as we have ever had. The depth on the DL should stay extremely fresh. By the time this game gets played it is going to get hyped up like we haven’t seen in a while. Hopefully the healthy linebackers will give us a better product in the middle of the field. The DB’s are going to have to play mistake free.

Our offense is good but it’s not as dangerous as OSU’s imo. This offense doesn’t have the fire power to come back from a 14 to 21 point deficit. Styles and Mayer are going to get a ton of attention. Hopefully Davis is 100% by then. This the type game we’re he becomes a huge asset. And Lenzy has to have the game of his career. Of course TB is gonna have to player pretty damn good as well. If he turns the ball over 2 times I would imagine we lose.

Don’t forget we know we have a great special teams coach so hopefully certain aspects will be better. The field goal kicking already makes me nervous.

I think we come out and earn some respect for Freeman but lose by 7-10.

 

[Pokitren]

Your prediction looks well researched. Thank you. But I will still hope for a better outcome.

Hi all, let me join your forum!

 

[rtrn2glory]

Legit had a dream last night we won 8-6. If it were the 1930s, I'd say that's plausible.

 

[Irish du Nord]

Legit had a dream last night we won 8-6. If it were the 1930s, I'd say that's plausible.

I had a dream that Audric Estime ran over their safety to give us the winning score.

 

[Valpodoc85]

If TB can get a deep ball to Lenzy.....

 

[NDMatt91]

Legit had a dream last night we won 8-6. If it were the 1930s, I'd say that's plausible.

Was the weather the same as the 2016 game against NC State?

 

[Old Man Mike]

One thing might not change from the "Game of the Century" in 1935: opposing fan abuse (but hopefully things will have gotten more civilized - still as you read the following maybe my Dad can be forgiven for stirring the OSU fan's drink with his cigar.)

"The day before the game, (Head Coach) Layden wanted to avoid distractions that inevitably would occur if the Irish practiced in Ohio Stadium with Buckeye partisans waiting to jeer them. So he chose a secluded seminary outside Columbus, Ohio for the Irish to engage in their dress rehearsal." Dad's roommate, Andy Pilney, remembers ...

“I’ll never forget that afternoon,” recalled Notre Dame reserve halfback Andy Pilney years later. “We went by buses, and when we got off, there must have been 15,000 people there. That’s how big a secret we had. And of course, they were yelling, `Catholics, go home!’ It didn’t shock me, but it kind of made me feel tense and tight.”

Pilney had a disappointing start to his career at ND, but sitting on the bench early in the 3rd quarter, he said to teammates: "If they put me in, I'll win this game." Coach Elmer Layden heard that and put him in. Pilney made every play imaginable both offensively and defensively and ND came from a 13-0 deficit to a literal last minute 18-13 win.

His last heroic run injured him so badly that he had to be carried off to the hospital --- hearing the cheer for NDs winning touchdown as he was carted to the locker room, then passing out from the pain. Sounds like Hollywood, but that is apparently exactly what happened.

Notre Dame was underdog in that game by up to 40 points. Even Coach Layden privately said that he couldn't see how the team could hold OSU under 40. But "whether the odds ...."

 

[Rasputin]

Rasputin does not fear Ohio State.

Here are the Buckeyes' recent, out of conference September games against ranked teams in the Day/Meyer (2012 to present) era:

2021: 35-28 Loss to #12 Oregon (HOME)
2018: 40-28 Win over #15 TCU (in Arlington)
2017: 31-16 Loss to #5 Oklahoma (HOME)
2016: 45-24 Win over #14 Oklahoma (AWAY)

A few things jump out:
1. Not many data points. So this isn't an annual event for OSU. Sure they probably learned a few things about early season, big game preparations but there is no indication yet that they've fixed what ailed them in 2017 and 2021.
2. 0-2 against ranked opponents at HOME. Pressure?
3. The 16 points in 2017 was their lowest point total in any game in 2017 and it was against a veeeery leaky Sooner D.
4. The 28 points in 2021 was their 3rd lowest point total in 2021 (26 against Nebraska and 27 against Michigan).

Now look at Notre Dame's games against ranked teams over the same period:

2021: 41-13 Win over #18 Wisconsin (in Chicago)
2019: 23-17 Loss to #3 Georgia (AWAY)
2019: 35-20 Win over #18 Virginia (HOME)
2018: 24-17 Win over #14 Michigan (HOME)
2018: 38-17 Win over #7 Stanford (HOME)
2017: 20-19 Loss to #15 Georgia (HOME)
2016: 36-28 Loss to #12 Michigan State (HOME)
2015: 30-22 Win over #14 Georgia Tech (HOME)
2013: 41-30 Loss to #17 Michigan (AWAY)
2013: 35-21 Loss to #14 Oklahoma (HOME)
2012: 20-3 Win over #10 Michigan State (AWAY)
2012: 13-6 Win over #18 Michigan (HOME)

What jumps out?
1. 12 top 25 match ups to OSU's 4.
2. The only AWAY loss in the post 2016 reset was to #3 Georgia, a team that went on to beat #6 Florida and #12 Auburn on the road, and #7 Baylor in the Sugar Bowl.


For Notre Dame, big, early season match ups are bred in the bone. The 2022 roster isn't the same as the 2012 or 2018 rosters that had multiple wins over top 25 teams in September but the players share a common trait. They came to Notre Dame knowing there would be big games, early and often, every season. They didn't run away from the challenge, they committed to it.

Notre Dame does not fear Ohio State. This is what they wanted. This is what they get.

 

[SoIll]

If TB can get a deep ball to Lenzy.....

That would imply he catches it..

 

[dublinirish]

Ohio State’s Season Opener Against Notre Dame Set for 7:30 P.m. Kickoff with ESPN’s College GameDay in Attendance

Ohio State’s season opener against Notre Dame will be played in primetime and ESPN’s College GameDay will be in attendance.

www.elevenwarriors.com

Ohio State vs. Notre Dame will be a night game.

The Buckeyes’ highly anticipated season opener against Notre Dame on Sept. 3 will kick off at 7:30 p.m. and will be televised on ABC. College GameDay will also be on site for the game.
It will mark the first time Ohio State has opened the season with a home night game since the Buckeyes played Marshall on a Thursday night in the Shoe in 2010. It will be the Buckeyes’ first home opener at night since their 2017 loss to Oklahoma.
College GameDay will be making its 54th overall game appearance at an Ohio State game and airing from Ohio State’s campus for the 21st time.

 

[Rogue219]

Sadly I see this game currently playing out like the Bama playoff game a few years back. I think defensively we can hang in there, but I don't foresee us being able to score enough to balance out the solid play on defense. Just my way too early take on how I expect this to shape out.

Actually, I think we could potentially see the Oklahoma State game where the offense is capable but the lack of depth at WR ultimately kills the deal when whoever they have runs out of gas.

 

[greyhammer90]

Ohio State’s Season Opener Against Notre Dame Set for 7:30 P.m. Kickoff with ESPN’s College GameDay in Attendance

Ohio State’s season opener against Notre Dame will be played in primetime and ESPN’s College GameDay will be in attendance.

www.elevenwarriors.com

Damn, was hoping for a noon kickoff.

 

[Rogue219]

Damn, was hoping for a noon kickoff.

You're joking right? This game was always going to be a night game.

Being that this is in Columbus, I don't think I'd go if given a free ticket unless it was a noon kickoff, and even then I'd be very hesitant to set foot in that Pit of Carkoon.

 

[Rockin’Irish]

I love the big ND games at night. The only problem is that by the time the game is over, my adrenaline is through the roof and it takes me forever to go to sleep.

 

[greyhammer90]

You're joking right? This game was always going to be a night game.

Being that this is in Columbus, I don't think I'd go if given a free ticket unless it was a noon kickoff, and even then I'd be very hesitant to set foot in that Pit of Carkoon.

There was a chance Fox would have it, and they've been really pushing Big Noon Kickoff as their brand, so there was a chance they'd put it as noon. Would've much preferred that. Atmosphere would've been much sleepier.

 

[Rogue219]

There was a chance Fox would have it, and they've been really pushing Big Noon Kickoff as their brand, so there was a chance they'd put it as noon. Would've much preferred that. Atmosphere would've been much sleepier.

Interesting. I can't see how anyone who would have this game wouldn't have it in that prime slot on Saturday night.

 

[calvegas04]

 

[IRISHMAN]

i dont see how NDs pass defense stands a chance against OSU and their passing game.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

i dont see how NDs pass defense stands a chance against OSU and their passing game.

Yeah, if only they had a stellar pass rush...that would really help....

 

[Rogue219]

i dont see how NDs pass defense stands a chance against OSU and their passing game.

This is cold sweat up at night losing sleep nightmare worthy.

 

[Irish#1]

There was a chance Fox would have it, and they've been really pushing Big Noon Kickoff as their brand, so there was a chance they'd put it as noon. Would've much preferred that. Atmosphere would've been much sleepier.

Maybe they'll be more drunkier by then.

 

[Irish#1]

This is cold sweat up at night losing sleep nightmare worthy.

That's lousy footwork, form and tackling by that DB.

 

[Dale]

That's lousy footwork, form and tackling by that DB.

Well good thing Lewis has never had that.

 

[NDohio]

That's lousy footwork, form and tackling by that DB.

Plus the poor athleticism by the linebacker...I ain't worried.

 

[Rogue219]

That's lousy footwork, form and tackling by that DB.

Which one? Assuming you looked at the entire thread.

 

[Irish du Nord]

Maybe they'll be more drunkier by then.

100% will be and I think this has effected ND student sections during some night games

 

[Irishokie]

It’s been about a decade so my memory isn’t that clear. On an episode of Pardon the Interruption, Wilbon mentioned a party at Notre Dame that the police got involved in and Kornheiser said something like, “I’m just glad there are parties at Notre Dame worth attending!” Made me crack up and has stuck with me all these years. Actually may have been our current OC’s dust-up with the law

 

[condoms SUCk]

tickets purchases, flight booked, housing secured....LFG!!!!