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IrishLax

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From The Athletic -- https://theathletic.com/577070/2018...p-best-for-an-undefeated-season/?redirected=1

2018-10-08-most-likely-to-win-out.jpg


2. Notre Dame — 43.7 percent chance to go undefeated
Toughest remaining games: at Northwestern (70.7% win), at USC (74% win), Syracuse (at Yankee Stadium, 87.9% win)

Two teams in, two teams that have had quarterback changes! Ian Book has made the team more apt to play in the short passing game, but surprisingly, the team has stayed about the same in terms of explosive pass play percentage between the two quarterbacks. Book has completed 73.3% of his passes to Brandon Wimbush’s 55.3%. That’s a nice midseason upgrade.

A big win against Virginia Tech last week powered the Irish up this list. Dexter Williams’ 97-yard touchdown run added a dash of that explosiveness we were looking for.

Subjectively? The USC game is a little more terrifying than Northwestern. Neither will be an easy test, but the Trojans would appear to have the individual defensive talent to push Notre Dame to convert more third-and-long plays.

The whole article is interesting... basically, the ACC is garbage and Clemson has almost no threat of losing this season. Bama, Georgia have much tougher roads... as does Ohio State because of the game against Michigan. Clemson won't be challenged by even a mediocre team until the ACC championship game.
 

Rack Em

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From The Athletic -- https://theathletic.com/577070/2018...p-best-for-an-undefeated-season/?redirected=1

2018-10-08-most-likely-to-win-out.jpg




The whole article is interesting... basically, the ACC is garbage and Clemson has almost no threat of losing this season. Bama, Georgia have much tougher roads... as does Ohio State because of the game against Michigan. Clemson won't be challenged by even a mediocre team until the ACC championship game.

Interesting that Syracuse is more likely to beat ND than FSU. FSU and USC scare me the most because of the sheer talent both have.
 

zelezo vlk

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FSU started to look better vs Miami, that's for sure. I'm hoping for a cold November game, maybe the Florida boys won't be up for the challenge with that kinda weather.
 

Irishize

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Apropos of nothing: #NotreDame's last 3 defensive coordinators all hold that position this season, one being Clark Lea w/ the Irish.
VanGorder at Louisville: 32.7 points per game; 413.8 yards; 2-4 record.
Elko at A&M: 20.2 pts.; 327.3 yards; 4-2.
Lea: 19.5 pts.; 357.3 yards, 6-0.

Douglas Farmer, ND on NBC Sports
 

notredomer23

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Interesting that Syracuse is more likely to beat ND than FSU. FSU and USC scare me the most because of the sheer talent both have.

Not just cold and November, but its also a night game. Decent chance it drops into the low 30s or upper 20s. And we play our best at night at home it seems of late. I remember how Miami was in the Sun Bowl. I expect FSU to be the same.
 

Crazy Balki

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FSU started to look better vs Miami, that's for sure. I'm hoping for a cold November game, maybe the Florida boys won't be up for the challenge with that kinda weather.

Yeah, but Miami isn't good either. They're 5-1 but they haven't beaten anybody. LSU absolutely humiliated them, in a game that was not anywhere near as close as the final score indicated. Miami pretty much got all their points in garbage time, but LSU owned them from start to finish.

We're a better team than LSU, and this game is in an environment that is almost completely foreign to pretty much every player on FSU's roster.
 

ACamp1900

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Northwestern makes sense to me as a highlight game... they are a solid enough opponent and it's right after Navy...
 

Irishize

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Not just cold and November, but its also a night game. Decent chance it drops into the low 30s or upper 20s. And we play our best at night at home it seems of late. I remember how Miami was in the Sun Bowl. I expect FSU to be the same.

The only time I recall cold weather adversely affecting an opponent was after Kelly’s first season in the Sun Bowl vs Miami where it was snowing. ND came out to warm up in shorts. Miami came out bundled up.
 

GrangerIrish24

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Not just cold and November, but its also a night game. Decent chance it drops into the low 30s or upper 20s. And we play our best at night at home it seems of late. I remember how Miami was in the Sun Bowl. I expect FSU to be the same.

I was behind the Miami bench when they played in Chicago in 2012. It was high 30’s/low 40’s during the game. The cold definitely affected them.
 

GowerND11

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There's a reason USC/Stanford want the game @ Notre Dame to be played in September/early October...
 

pumpdog20

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The only time I recall cold weather adversely affecting an opponent was after Kelly’s first season in the Sun Bowl vs Miami where it was snowing. ND came out to warm up in shorts. Miami came out bundled up.

That's because there hasn't been many teams from the deep south come in November. Heck even the last time FSU came in November it was a mild day by average terms.
 

matman4593

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Book rumors are just smoke. It was a 3 sentence homework assignment that he and numerous others turned in identical work for-- which was directly from the text book. Comes from inside source on the issue.
 

NDdomer2

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man - all the pumping of the chest ND does for academics and they are handing out 3 sentence homework assignments??
 

irishfanjho15

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Book rumors are just smoke. It was a 3 sentence homework assignment that he and numerous others turned in identical work for-- which was directly from the text book. Comes from inside source on the issue.

Well I hope they didn’t pass it off as their own work, that would be plagiarism and is cause for immediate suspension from ND football for all of eternity
 

ickythump1225

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The only time I recall cold weather adversely affecting an opponent was after Kelly’s first season in the Sun Bowl vs Miami where it was snowing. ND came out to warm up in shorts. Miami came out bundled up.
This will probably be the furthest north most of the kids on FSU have ever come. It will literally be the coldest they've ever been in their whole lives.
 

Rocket 94

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The only time I recall cold weather adversely affecting an opponent was after Kelly’s first season in the Sun Bowl vs Miami where it was snowing. ND came out to warm up in shorts. Miami came out bundled up.

I recall watching Miami come out of the tunnel all wrapped up from head to toe. I then said in my mind that this would be just the second bowl victory since the 1994 Cotton Bowl and I was right.
 

Some Irish Bloke

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There's a reason USC/Stanford want the game @ Notre Dame to be played in September/early October...

Yep, exactly. I was there in 2015 against USC though, the night game in mid-October. It was colder than even usual is South Bend, with a high in the low 40's and a low in the upper 20's. The fans were absolutely rocking and USC was covered head to toe, and ND came away with the victory.

I think it always makes a difference with these warm-climate teams. Better not be unseasonably warm when FSU comes to town. They may not be a solid football team, but they are loaded with talent regardless, and I'll take any advantage we can get in the event that they could put together a full 4-quarter game and get up for a season defining win.
 

ACamp1900

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The only time I recall cold weather adversely affecting an opponent was after Kelly’s first season in the Sun Bowl vs Miami where it was snowing. ND came out to warm up in shorts. Miami came out bundled up.

I was there and nervous as hell... that was just my emotions seeing ND in a bowl game. My mind kind of knew UM stood little to no chance seeing how they reacted when they came out the tunnel tho. You could see it from the stands, it was almost SNL skit kind of stuff
 

Dizzyphil

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Brian Kelly updates Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa, says he's about a month away from returning to competition after suffering a broken bone in his foot against Michigan. On track to play at some point in November and the postseason.</p>— Pete Sampson (@PeteSampson_) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeteSampson_/status/1050512434572795905?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 11, 2018</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

StPaul_Irish

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Might be a silly question, but do Playoff and Bowl games count against your "4" games allowed w/o burning a RS year?

I know there was some talk of MTA getting a RS.
 
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