2015 FBS Polls

ThePiombino

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Irish Nation... hook your wagons to my Tide this week. You really need us to beat them Ga Bulldogs. Can I get a Roll Tide?

Not really. ND controls its own destiny. Not Bama. Let's assume the AP poll is what the CFPC's poll will look like. OSU/MSU and Baylor/TCU will canibalize each other. Assuming Ole Miss wins the SEC West (not happenng), they still have to play uga (or whomever else out of the east). Either way, even if the winner jumps ND, we're still top-4. UCLA is more of a threat than anyone out of the SEC since we share multiple common opponents which could be used for or against us leap froggin one another.
 

ickythump1225

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Texas could be 3-1 right now with very decent wins over good Cal and Oklahoma State teams... instead they shanked an extra point and got hosed by refs. So that's a shame. Georgia Tech and Virginia, by cotnrast, are showing nothing but garbage.

Our season comes down to beating three tough teams (Clemson, USC, Stanford) and then holding serve against teams we are flat out better than. This Clemson game is going to tell us a lot about how we defend an offense with a skilled QB and skilled playmakers, and how we run the ball against a team we can't just out-class in the trenches. I'm skeptical this ends well for ND, but at the same time I'm not a big believer in Clemson.
While I don't think our OL can just "outclass" Clemson...we should be able to overpower them. We have monsters in the trenches and we're a much more physical football team.
 

ickythump1225

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Irish Nation... hook your wagons to my Tide this week. You really need us to beat them Ga Bulldogs. Can I get a Roll Tide?
Oh yeah, I'm rolling with the Tide this week. A) UGA is undefeated and near us in the polls, but mostly because B) I hate UGA. That is easily the most unjustifiably arrogant fanbase in college football, maybe all of sports. Every year their team acts like it is the '85 Bears and I'm not sure where such arrogance comes from. They have 1 national title from long before most of their fans were born and the only thing they lead most years is the annual arrest report.
 

BleedBlueGold

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Duke can kiss my ass.

TX needs to start winning. What better time than against TCU?

I'm nervous that UGA will leapfrog ND with a win over Bama.

I'm a Gator fan this weekend.

Fuck Jim Mora and UCLA.

Would give my left nut for an IU/Purdue upset. I hate OSU and MSU.

ND desperately needs to win this weekend. Their schedule is shaping up to be 3 real games. This is one of them (at the moment anyways).
 

T Town Tommy

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Not really. ND controls its own destiny. Not Bama. Let's assume the AP poll is what the CFPC's poll will look like. OSU/MSU and Baylor/TCU will canibalize each other. Assuming Ole Miss wins the SEC West (not happenng), they still have to play uga (or whomever else out of the east). Either way, even if the winner jumps ND, we're still top-4. UCLA is more of a threat than anyone out of the SEC since we share multiple common opponents which could be used for or against us leap froggin one another.

I agree ND controls its own destiny. But running the table is difficult to do these days. A one loss ND and a one loss SEC champ in Ga? Best to have a buffer if I were the Irish. I think Ga can run the table after Bama since the East is pretty weak. Don't want to depend on Richt to... well...Richt.
 
C

Cackalacky

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Irish Nation... hook your wagons to my Tide this week. You really need us to beat them Ga Bulldogs. Can I get a Roll Tide?

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ThePiombino

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I agree ND controls its own destiny. But running the table is difficult to do these days. A one loss ND and a one loss SEC champ in Ga? Best to have a buffer if I were the Irish. I think Ga can run the table after Bama since the East is pretty weak. Don't want to depend on Richt to... well...Richt.

ND does not win that battle. I think it's undefeated to the CFP or bust for ND, personally, no matter who the loss.
 

wizards8507

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Not really. ND controls its own destiny. Not Bama. Let's assume the AP poll is what the CFPC's poll will look like. OSU/MSU and Baylor/TCU will canibalize each other. Assuming Ole Miss wins the SEC West (not happenng), they still have to play uga (or whomever else out of the east). Either way, even if the winner jumps ND, we're still top-4. UCLA is more of a threat than anyone out of the SEC since we share multiple common opponents which could be used for or against us leap froggin one another.
We can't assume we're going to be undefeated. I'm going to root for what I believe is our best-case scenario to get into the playoff at 11-1. That means we want undefeated teams to lose, period. Especially teams with a legitimate shot at a conference championship.
 

wizards8507

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ND does not win that battle. I think it's undefeated to the CFP or bust for ND, personally, no matter who the loss.
One-loss SEC champion Georgia would have wins against ULM, Southern, and Georgia Southern and wins against the SEC West champion and absolutely nobody else.

Two-loss SEC champion Georgia with losses to Bama and Georgia Tech is also a legitimate possibility, and 11-1 ND is definitely ahead of them in that situation.
 

ND NYC

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still of this opinion: only way ND ever makes a 4 team CFP is to go undefeated.

more than 4 teams CFP (ie 8 teams) I think one defeat were a virtual lock and possibly/likely in with 2 losses depending on who the losses were to and when/where.
 

wizards8507

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still of this opinion: only way ND ever makes a 4 team CFP is to go undefeated.
What could possibly make you think that? Which of the following gets in over ND?

11-2 conference champion (especially if Clemson, USC, GT, or Stanford that ND beats head-to-head)
11-1 Big 12 conference champion

There's no chance either of those gets in over Notre Dame. None whatsoever.
 

Blaise

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What could possibly make you think that? Which of the following gets in over ND?

11-2 conference champion (especially if Clemson, USC, GT, or Stanford that ND beats head-to-head)
11-1 Big 12 conference champion

There's no chance either of those gets in over Notre Dame. None whatsoever.

Any scenario where a SEC champ is 11-1 gets in over 11-1 ND.... and I think a 13-0 Big Ten and a 12-0 Big 12 champ gets in over 11-1 ND
 

Wild Bill

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still of this opinion: only way ND ever makes a 4 team CFP is to go undefeated.

more than 4 teams CFP (ie 8 teams) I think one defeat were a virtual lock and possibly/likely in with 2 losses depending on who the losses were to and when/where.

There are two reasons for everything - the good reason and the real reason. I'm of the opinion that the good reason OSU went to the playoffs last year was b/c they played a title game while TCU and Baylor did not. The real reason, IMO, was OSU would bring in more cash. They know ND will bring just as much. They'll find the good reason to put them in when the time comes.
 

ACamp1900

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There are two reasons for everything - the good reason and the real reason. I'm of the opinion that the good reason OSU went to the playoffs last year was b/c they played a title game while TCU and Baylor did not. The real reason, IMO, was OSU would bring in more cash. They know ND will bring just as much. They'll find the good reason to put them in when the time comes.

This all day, ND won't be kept out of any playoff unless there are four options of similar resume that would all bring in comparable income... I'm not even sure that four schools of that description exist, let alone all win big in the same season...
 

wizards8507

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Any scenario where a SEC champ is 11-1 gets in over 11-1 ND.... and I think a 13-0 Big Ten and a 12-0 Big 12 champ gets in over 11-1 ND
That's not what I said. I didn't say "ND at 11-1 is absolutely in." I said "ND at 11-1 could get in." ND NYC said there's no chance ND gets in at 11-1. That's crap. Yes, some teams might get in ahead of us if we're 11-1. But I think it's unlikely that there are four such teams in any given season.
 

T Town Tommy

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There are two reasons for everything - the good reason and the real reason. I'm of the opinion that the good reason OSU went to the playoffs last year was b/c they played a title game while TCU and Baylor did not. The real reason, IMO, was OSU would bring in more cash. They know ND will bring just as much. They'll find the good reason to put them in when the time comes.

All things equal - or as equal as can be - and I would agree. But a one loss ND will struggle to get in if there are four one loss conference champs. The elephant in the room will be the conference championship games. The only way ND gets in then is if they have beaten the conference champ who has one loss - which is very doable most years ( USC, Stanford, Clemson, Fla St, etc.)
 

wizards8507

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There are two reasons for everything - the good reason and the real reason. I'm of the opinion that the good reason OSU went to the playoffs last year was b/c they played a title game while TCU and Baylor did not. The real reason, IMO, was OSU would bring in more cash. They know ND will bring just as much. They'll find the good reason to put them in when the time comes.
The problem with that theory is that the entities that stand to profit from big-money teams in the playoff (primarily ESPN and the host cities) have nothing to do with selecting the teams. For there to be money-based decision making, then the decision makers need to have some financial incentive. How do Condoleeza Rice and Pat Haden benefit by putting Ohio State in the playoff over TCU? They don't.

All things equal - or as equal as can be - and I would agree. But a one loss ND will struggle to get in if there are four one loss conference champs. The elephant in the room will be the conference championship games. The only way ND gets in then is if they have beaten the conference champ who has one loss - which is very doable most years ( USC, Stanford, Clemson, Fla St, etc.)
Exactly. Or, as looks to be very likely this year, there could be multiple two-loss conference champs. Then ND's path at 11-1 is easy.
 

Wild Bill

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The problem with that theory is that the entities that stand to profit from big-money teams in the playoff (primarily ESPN and the host cities) have nothing to do with selecting the teams. For there to be money-based decision making, then the decision makers need to have some financial incentive. How do Condoleeza Rice and Pat Haden benefit by putting Ohio State in the playoff over TCU? They don't.


"One loss ND steals spot from conference title winner." The headline is a wet dream for the NCAA and ESPN. It's a ratings monster and a cash cow. The committee knows it and I have a hard time believing they would simply disregard it and move on, even if individually they do not see a financial gain.

Fair point, though.

All things equal - or as equal as can be - and I would agree. But a one loss ND will struggle to get in if there are four one loss conference champs. The elephant in the room will be the conference championship games. The only way ND gets in then is if they have beaten the conference champ who has one loss - which is very doable most years ( USC, Stanford, Clemson, Fla St, etc.)

One loss SEC champ and OSU would be taken over them this year. No doubt. I don't think it's a given for the ACC, PAC, or Big 12 title winners.

Take for instance this scenario - ND loses a close one to Clemson and then runs the table. Clemson takes care of business and wins the ACC. UCLA drops one to USC, still goes to the title game and handles Stanford.

1. OSU
2. SEC
3. Clemson
4. ND

The good reason is that ND beat USC and UCLA lost to them. ND's only loss was to conference champ Clemson on the road and they beat the same Stanford team UCLA beat to win the PAC. The real reason is ND brings controversy and money while UCLA only has hot women to offer.
 
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ACamp1900

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The committee knows what their job is, and it sure as hell isn't putting the four best teams in... they proved that to me last year... just my two cents.
 

wizards8507

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"One loss ND steals spot from conference title winner." The headline is a wet dream for the NCAA and ESPN. It's a ratings monster and a cash cow. The committee knows it and I have a hard time believing they would simply disregard it and move on, even if individually they do not see a financial gain.

Fair point, though.
I think the "sexy headline" angle actually works against us. They'd much rather see "Lack of conference championship game keeps ND, Baylor out of CFP." The wet dream for the NCAA and ESPN as it relates to ND is forcing ND into the fold of full conference membership. That's not a three hour ratings boost, that's Notre Dame television rights for the bargain basement price of whatever they're paying the ACC.
 

IrishMoore1

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I think you guys are forgetting who makes up the CFP committee. These people come from every major conference, or have an association to them - this naturally creates a conflict of interest and a bias toward conference teams.

ND is indepedent, so for ND to make it into the playoff, that means two power 5 conference teams are left out. And ND doesn't benefit or receive boost from winning a conference game at the end of the season like these other teams. 11-1 ND would never make it into the playoffs.
 

ND NYC

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there is zero ND love in the "committee room" and my opinion is that the money side of ND WON'T factor in as some feel it will. nor would I want it to TBQH.
I want to be "in" if we deserve it, and have a real shot to win the thing- and not because we will fuel the CFP coffers with our selection.
 

IrishMoore1

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11-1 Notre Dame is miles better than an 11-1 Big 12 champion. If one of the other three conference champions finishes with two losses, Notre Dame is in, period.

I totally agree with you from an objective standpoint. My argument is that the CFP committee will not make that decision because they are significantly biased toward their own conferences.
 

Booslum31

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11-1 Notre Dame is miles better than an 11-1 Big 12 champion. If one of the other three conference champions finishes with two losses, Notre Dame is in, period.

If we were to lose a game i think we would drop to #11 or #12 and would never find ourselves in the discussion...especially during championship weekend. It's got to be clear that we are in prior to the weekend happening in my opinion. I know that some teams can fall that week but I still think we are TCU/Baylor if we lose one. I hope to hello that I am wrong.
 

phillyirish

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Irish Nation... hook your wagons to my Trailer this week. You really need us to beat them Ga Bulldogs. Can I get a Roll Tide?

Fixed it for ya...... but no.

I will never use Roll. In the same sentence with tide. As much as I hate Georgia to the point that my favorite thing about that state was Sherman's march; I will never root for Bama. Ever. Even if there's a fire.
 
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BGIF

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10/27 AP TOP 25 with 10/3 Game Results

10/27 AP TOP 25 with 10/3 Game Results

10/27 AP TOP 25 with 10/3 Game Results
1.OSU Losing IU H 10-6
2.MSU WON PU F 24-21
3.MISS @ #25 UF
4. TCU WON v Texas F 50-7
5. BU Winning v TT H 49-21
6. ND @ #12 Clemson
7. UCLA v ASU
8. UGA Losing #13 UA 3Q 38-3
9. LSU v EMU
10. UTAH BYE
11.FSU Winning H 21-10
12. Clemson v #6 ND
13.UA Winning #8 UGA H 24-3
14. A&M v Miss St
15.OU WON v #23 WVU 44-24
16.NW WON v MIN F 27-0
17.USC BYE
18.SU v UAZ
19.WIS LOST UR Iowa F 10-6
20.OKS Losing v KSU H 28-20
21.MSST @ #14 A&M
22.MICH WON UMD F 28-0
23.WVU LOST @ #15 OU 44-24
24.CAL Losing WSU H 21-13
25.UF v #3 Miss

Others Receiving Votes:Michigan
Toledo (3-0) Winning 4Q 24-10
ORE (2-2) @ CU
Ariz (3-1) @ #18 SU
Boise St (3-1) v UHI
Iowa (4-0) WON @ #19 WIS F 10-6
Texas Tech (3-1) LOSING @ BU H 49-21
Houston (43-0) WON @ Tulsa F 38-24
Duke (3-1) Winning v BC 4Q 9-7
Temple (4-0) WON @ Charlotte 37-3
Miami (Fla.) (3-2) LOST Cin F 34-23
KSU (3-0) 12; Winning @ OKS H 28-20
Memphis (5-0) WON @ USF F 24-17
NCS (4-1) LOST v LOU F 20-13
Navy (3-0) 9;
MIN (3-2) LOST @ NW F 27-0
BYU (3-2) WON v CON F 30-13;
UTN (2-2) v ARK

ADD Missouri (4-1) WON v SCAR F 24-10, PSU (4-1) WON v Army F 21-14
 
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BGIF

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10/27 AP TOP 25 with 10/3 Game Results

10/27 AP TOP 25 with 10/3 Game Results

1.OSU (5-0) WON v IU F 34-27
2.MSU (5-0) WON PU F 24-21
3.MISS (4-1) LOST @ #25 UF F 38-10
4. TCU (5-0) WON v Texas F 50-7
5. BU (4-0) WON v TT F 63-35
6. ND (4-1) @ LOST #12 Clemson F 24-22
7. UCLA (4-1) LOST v ASU F 38-23
8. UGA (4-1)LOST #13 UA F 38-10
9. LSU (4-0) WON v EMU F 44-22
10. UTAH (4-0) BYE
11.FSU (4-0) WON @ WF F 24-16
12. CLEM (4-0)WON v #6 ND F 24-22
13.UA (4-1) WON #8 UGA F 38-10
14. A&M (5-0) WON v Miss St F 30-17
15.OU (4-0) WON v #23 WVU 44-24
16.NW (5-0) WON v MIN F 27-0
17.USC (3-1) BYE
18.SU (3-1) Winning v UAZ 3Q 34-10
19.WIS (3-2) LOST UR Iowa F 10-6
20.OKS (5-0) WON v KSU F 36-34
21.MSST (3-2) LOST @ #14 A&M 1Q 14-3
22.MICH (4-1) WON UMD F 28-0
23.WVU (3-1) LOST @ #15 OU 44-24
24.CAL (5-0) WON WSU F 34-28
25.UF (5-0) WON v #3 Miss F 38-10

Others Receiving Votes:
Toledo (4-0) WON F 24-10
ORE (2-2) Tied @ CU H 17-17
Ariz (3-1) Losing @ #18 SU 3Q 34-10
Boise St (3-1) Winning v UHI H 49-0
Iowa (5-0) WON @ #19 WIS F 10-6
Tex Tech (3-2) LOST@ BU F 63-35
Houston (43-0) WON @ Tulsa F 38-24
Duke (4-1) WON v BC (3-2) F 9-7
Temple (4-0) WON @ Charlotte 37-3
Miami (3-2) LOST Cin F 34-23
KSU (3-1) LOST @ OKS F 36-34
Memphis (5-0) WON @ USF F 24-17
NCS (4-1) LOST v LOU F 20-13
Navy (4-0) WON v AF F 33-11
MIN (3-2) LOST @ NW F 27-0
BYU (3-2) WON v CON F 30-13;
UTN (2-3) LOST v ARK F 24-20

Possible Adds:
Missouri (4-1) WON v SCAR F 24-10
PSU (4-1) WON v Army F 21-14
IU (4-1) Lost OSU 34-27
 
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