ND has covered the spread 7 out of 9 times this year. Every time I find a reason to doubt them, they go and do something like blow the doors off Pittsburgh 42-17* (something that NEVER happens regardless of how good Pitt or Notre Dame are) on the road. So I'll take them to win by 4 TDs on Saturday.
With it being senior day, I doubt the team comes out sleepy. This should be our most complete game on defense since Temple. I expect ND to be up by about 2-3 TDs heading into half, and push it to 4ish TDs heading into the 4th before taking the foot off the gas. Wake Forest is 93rd in F/+ and UMASS is 97th, for points of reference.