They’ve been in the playoffs two years in a row. The recruiting dip was the flirtation with the NFL. They cleaned up and filled holes with the portal. I could see the recruiting back up. We need the Michigan man to bounce for a mediocre NFL team. Especially this late in the off-season, that would be awesome.
Makes sense.
Their rankings the last 4 years on 247 have been:
2020 - 10 - 2nd big10
2021 - 13 (2 of 11 4stars transferred) - 2nd big10
2022 - 9 - 3rd big10
2023 - 17 - 3rd big10
Also their schedule:
Power 5 OOC 2025/2024 - Oklahoma/Texas
2023 - none
2022 - none - 13-1 CFP fiesta L
2021 - washington - 12-2 CFP orange L
2020 - none - 2-4 no bowl
2019 - ND - 9-4, citrus bowl L
2018 - ND - 10-3, peach bowl L
2017 - Florida - 8-5, outback bowl L
2016 - Colorado - 10-3, orange bowl L
2015 - Utah, Oregon state, BYU - harbaugh arrives - 10-3 citrus bowl W
2014 - ND (37-0), Utah - 5-7 no bowl
Next year with East Carolina, UNLV and bowling green….like this past year with Hawaii, uconn, and Colorado state should pad the wins. Also instead of Iowa, Nebraska, and Illinois..in 2023 they draw Purdue, Minnesota, and Nebraska in the last year of the east/west before USC and UCLA come in 2024.
In his first 6 years at scUM, harbaugh averaged 3.66 losses. His first year and bowl win was his last with 6 straight losses for 1-6 overall not including an under 500 hundred year and bowl miss.
They’re recruiting like a 10-15 team but without OOC games it’s been on other big10 teams. He is 5-3 vs Penn state, 2-5 vs Ohio st, 4-4 vs Michigan state.
I think he’s at his peak right now and into next year. Sell high because I could see 2024 and 2025 back towards his average with 3-4 losses.
If he stays, he will be remembered less fondly. Instead of 2 playoff appearances, it could be in 11/12 years going 1-10 in bowls with under 500 vs Ohio st and 50/50 vs Penn st and Michigan state.