You guys are badly in need of something to take your minds off the dead period until summer practice, or until Smith, Rochell, Anzalone, et al sign. The following might not help but it's my attempt at social work.
On the topic: let's pretend that college football was really starting to roll towards a four conference dominated non-NCAA governed "let's take all the cash" pre-NFL football league. Then, let's try to "follow the money" and see if that leads anywhere.
1). Different programs pride themselves on big stadiums. That is not really a pride thing but a money thing of course. Of the twenty largest stadiums, 8 are in the SEC, and 5 in the B1G. No accident. The Big 12 and the PAC12 have just two each. Yes, that does not add up to twenty. When you go to the next twenty largest stadiums, the B1G adds 5, the SEC 3, the Big 12 5 and the PAC12 3. "Economically" as regards infrastructure, the PAC 12 lags behind the other conferences, and it shows in general profitability. Some wondered why the Big 12 would want WVU. WVU would add the fourth largest stadium in the conference as well as two very profitable major sports. Should Clemson and FSU come in as rumored, they would rival Sooner stadium in size, smaller only than Texas. WVU, Clemson, and FSU are "desirable properties".
2). If WVU, TCU [only viable because of location and "ambition" to grow into an economic power], FSU, and Clemson join the Big 12, it would be back to the Big 12 --- fellas, I haven't kept up with all the rumors and slidings about, so take the teams-to-conferences stuff as just examples for talking purposes. The SEC with MO and A&M would have 14. The B1G would have 12. The PAC12 would have 12. The SEC might just stop there. There is no necessary reason just to add teams for some Pythagorean number mysticism reason. Rather follow the money. If the SEC stops there, will the other conferences follow? Note that it is very difficult for the PAC 12 to expand. They've already snipped off UT and CO, and the reach is great. Plus, which "properties" within reasonable reach are lucrative? BYU? maybe. Boise? not economically. They'd do better with the bigger stadiums of SD State or Hawaii. The PAC 12 could decide that since they dominate the sports market of a major economic area of the country, they don't have to follow anyone else's plan. If twelve's good, why expand?? We'll still be a major player.
3). The B1G in it's way will think the same. What's profitable for us? We're going to be a major player no matter what. The B1G however has some real options to look at other than Notre Dame, though we would be the economic prize. Some of those are Pitt [over PSUs objections --- money would win in the end], Syracuse [big enough stadium and two profitable major sports, plus east coast "takeover" as Eastern football is about to disappear], UNC, VA, MD [big state research universities with decent sized stadiums, UNC easily being the most desirable property]. The B1G could take two to get to 14 and stop.
4). Would the Big 12 stop at 12? Probably not. Louisville has been strongly rumored I believe. Miami too, to follow FSU. Louisville is at first glance an odd possibility, but looking deeper one finds a marginally acceptable stadium size, "ambition", AND most importantly the TWENTY-SECOND most profitable program in college sports : LOUISVILLE BASKETBALL!! And the football team actually makes more money than three of their members as well. One could see a Big 14 in the plains. That might mean 14+14+14+12 in the big four conferences. Who's left "outside" in such a scenario?
5). ND of course. But there are others. BYU. Most of the ACC, including Duke's hugely profitable BBall program. And what is to me the great prize [other than us] Virginia Tech --- big stadium, proven profitability, national prestige, rabid fan base, ultra-stability, high-academics [though not for the players so much]. Where does Tech go?? Almost all of the prize commodities are out of the PAC-12s reach. The SEC doesn't seem to care really about change other than initiating their-prefered-style of play-offs. That leaves the Big 12 and the B1G. Where does Tech go? It won't stay in a ACC without FSU, Miami, Clemson, and probably UNC. I don't think so anyway. Regardless, assuming that teams like WVU, FSU, Clemson, Louisville, Miami vacate that area of the country conference-wise, East coast football is doomed, thus making the disintegration of the ACC nearly inevitable --- but where can the UNCs, Dukes, NCstates, MDs VAs GTs WFs BCs go? Is there any feasibility for a conference with those teams plus Pitt, Syracuse, VT, USF [another valuable property], Cincy, Rutgers combined into a fifth power? That's VERY powerful in everything but football, but could VT carry that flag??
So, there you go, folks. Probably just another turd in our punchbowl by me, but at least I had good intentions.