For the CFP, American is definitely the inside track right now. First UNLV is actual garbage this year so there is no natural good win for Boise in conference this season. If they lose to ND, they will be completely off radar the rest of the season. If Boise has 2 losses but sweeps the Mountain West, they would likely need the American to cannibalize itself to only having a 3 loss team, which is possible. USF still plays Miami and Florida. Tulane plays Northwestern, Duke and Ole Miss. Then you have Memphis, UTSA and Navy all likely take one P4 loss. If Tulane and USF take Ls these next few weeks but are the best in the American, they’ll have a problem again like last year. Memphis has a cake walk but really doesn’t seem to be able to bring it all together to be dominant like a Boise, just always pretty good.