Hurricane (The Cyclone) Season 2016

[BGIF]

Here comes Hermine!

Category 1 heading toward NE Gulf Coast.

Tallahassee's gonna get wet!

Hurricane HERMINE Public Advisory

 

[dshans]

Story time.

I lived in FL a good bit of my life – 1959 through 1979.

My "welcome" to Florida included hurricane Donna in 1959. My family of seven hightailed it to downtown St. Petersburg from St. Pete beach to hole up in a single hotel room. Between the wind and the noise of metal garbage cans roaring through the streets (not to mention four annoying and restless siblings) it was something of a sleepless night. My father had dutifully applied masking tape to the plate glass windows. As though that would have helped had Donna not skirted St. Pete.

A few other hurricanes blew near Orlando the years I lived there. Once again we sustained no real damage. I do remember being at a school mate's house when one passed by in something like 1962. I still remember vividly the sight of a full moon dancing with the sprinting clouds after the rain had stopped.

Another time I went water skiing on the small lake we lived on with a high school buddy after a hurricane had moved through. The water level on the lake was upped by two feet. Some of the docks were under water. I was towing my friend when I realized he was dangerously close to a submerged dock when he pulled as wide as possible from the wake on the shore side. I tried to wave him off, turn sharply to the middle of the lake and cut the engine. Too little too late.

His momentum sent him skittering across the dock with the fin of the ski between the deck boards. Until, that is, he "met" a cross board. I looked back to see him do a one and a quarter flip into the lake. I swung around as quickly as I could.

When I confirmed that he was unharmed I immediately asked "Is my ski broken?" Priorities!

Thirty-six years in Minnesota and my only concerns were tornadoes and blizzards. Now that I'm back in Florida I'll see what happens.

I have water, frozen food that I can eat whether the power goes out or not ... and a case of beer.

I should be fine.

 

[BGIF]

Hermine made landfall at 1:30 am ET near East St Marks, FL 80 mph.

Heavy rain in Tampa and Tallahassee.

Tornado watch in FL, GA, SC, and NC. tonight/tomorrow.

 

[RDU Irish]

Bitch looks like she gonna get in the way of my 10am tee time. Need the rain though.

My 9 year old turned on the TV last night to see some idiot weather man in Florida braving the elements. She tends to turn a blind eye to danger and even she thought it was incredibly stupid.

 

[NDohio]

A lot of nervous people here in Columbia today. After last year's once in a century rainfall, this one is setting up to be a pretty big chunk of rain in a short time period. Eight inches in less than a 24 hour period. Let's hope all of the new damns hold tight.

 

[IrishInFl]

The last I checked about 80,000 power customers are out of power, and there are some roads closed because of debris. There were no reported injuries or fatalities.

 

[IrishInFl]

The worst part about this power outage is the lack of AC. It's pretty bad

 

[BGIF]

Matthew Is Coming

Matthew Is Coming

Hurricane Matthew is down around the Cuba/Haiti vicinity but expected to move north along the eastern seaboard this week.Besides the folks living in that area it could impact the ND/NCS game in Raleigh, NC next Saturday. The 10 day forecast for Raleigh has rain Friday and Saturday with about 15 mph. Lots of variables between now and game time. Weather could be a factor and game could be cancelled IF the track moves closer to NC.

Hurricane MATTHEW

 

[Cackalacky]

We are definitely watching Matthew closely. Looks like it has made the northward turn as expected. Presently filling up my sandbags just in case.

 

[ACamp1900]

The worst part about this power outage is the lack of AC. It's pretty bad

I don't need electricity brah, you're good...

 

[GoIrish41]

We are definitely watching Matthew closely. Looks like it has made the northward turn as expected. Presently filling up my sandbags just in case.

I'm supposed to be in Myrtle Beach on Thursday thru Monday. Hope this thing heads into the Atlantic.

 

[calvegas04]

I'm supposed to be in Myrtle Beach on Thursday thru Monday. Hope this thing heads into the Atlantic.

I would make some new plans

 

[IrishinSyria]

Story time.

I lived in FL a good bit of my life – 1959 through 1979.

My "welcome" to Florida included hurricane Donna in 1959. My family of seven hightailed it to downtown St. Petersburg from St. Pete beach to hole up in a single hotel room. Between the wind and the noise of metal garbage cans roaring through the streets (not to mention four annoying and restless siblings) it was something of a sleepless night. My father had dutifully applied masking tape to the plate glass windows. As though that would have helped had Donna not skirted St. Pete.

A few other hurricanes blew near Orlando the years I lived there. Once again we sustained no real damage. I do remember being at a school mate's house when one passed by in something like 1962. I still remember vividly the sight of a full moon dancing with the sprinting clouds after the rain had stopped.

Another time I went water skiing on the small lake we lived on with a high school buddy after a hurricane had moved through. The water level on the lake was upped by two feet. Some of the docks were under water. I was towing my friend when I realized he was dangerously close to a submerged dock when he pulled as wide as possible from the wake on the shore side. I tried to wave him off, turn sharply to the middle of the lake and cut the engine. Too little too late.

His momentum sent him skittering across the dock with the fin of the ski between the deck boards. Until, that is, he "met" a cross board. I looked back to see him do a one and a quarter flip into the lake. I swung around as quickly as I could.

When I confirmed that he was unharmed I immediately asked "Is my ski broken?" Priorities!

Thirty-six years in Minnesota and my only concerns were tornadoes and blizzards. Now that I'm back in Florida I'll see what happens.

I have water, frozen food that I can eat whether the power goes out or not ... and a case of beer.

I should be fine.

I'm praying that will be enough.

 

[Cackalacky]

I'm supposed to be in Myrtle Beach on Thursday thru Monday. Hope this thing heads into the Atlantic.

I hope so too but it's not looking to good in the forecast models I am seeing. It is supposed to be about near Canaveral on Wed and then they are predicting a slight northwestern turn by Thursday. That is at the end of the probability field though so keep an eye on it.

 

[BGIF]

The cone track extrapolates from Wilmington to Moorehead City. But ... it's early.

 

[GoIrish41]

I hope so too but it's not looking to good in the forecast models I am seeing. It is supposed to be about near Canaveral on Wed and then they are predicting a slight northwestern turn by Thursday. That is at the end of the probability field though so keep an eye on it.

We are keeping an eye on it it. Thanks for the info. Stay safe, Cack.

When I lived in Virginia about a decade ago, we decided to ride out a hurricane much smaller and weaker than this one. It was freakin terrifying! We lost power for more than a week. Lots of downed trees and property damage throughout our area. We had a 60 foot tree fall 10 feet from our front door, but luckily no damage to our house. I don't need to go to my wife's family reunion bad enough to experience that kind of craziness again.

 

[Cackalacky]

We are keeping an eye on it it. Thanks for the info. Stay safe, Cack.

When I lived in Virginia about a decade ago, we decided to ride out a hurricane much smaller and weaker than this one. It was freakin terrifying! We lost power for more than a week. Lots of downed trees and property damage throughout our area. We had a 60 foot tree fall 10 feet from our front door, but luckily no damage to our house. I don't need to go to my wife's family reunion bad enough to experience that kind of craziness again.

I have been through ten or eleven of them the worst being Hugo. We lost all three of my family's cars to one pine tree. FTR there really is no difference between Myrtle Beach or Wilmington if it makes landfall that far north. The northwest side of the storms tend to be the worst from my experience and if it does make it up to Wilmington, Myrtle Beach would still get throttled anyway. .

 

[Cackalacky]

Well....looks like it's time to prepare.

 

[irishff1014]

Some parts of Jamaica could get up to 40 inches of rain.

 

[BGIF]

Well....looks like it's time to prepare.

What caused me to first post about Matthew in this thread was my sister in Wilmington calling to ask for suggestions about how to minimize "ponding" in her yard.

There are also cousins in Wilmington, Atlantic Beach, and Virginia Beach and beach houses in Kure Beach, Nags Head, and Duck. They're all scrambling this week.

 

[Cackalacky]

What caused me to first post about Matthew in this thread was my sister in Wilmington calling to ask for suggestions about how to minimize "ponding" in her yard.

There are also cousins in Wilmington, Atlantic Beach, and Virginia Beach and beach houses in Kure Beach, Nags Head, and Duck. They're all scrambling this week.

I am thinking the OBX get hit hard this weekend. Ponding may be the least of your sister's worries.
My house is +10 ft above MSL and across from a tidal creek. I have been setting up sandbags. I doubt we stay if it hits. May go to the upstate for the weekend.

 

[BGIF]

I am thinking the OBX get hit hard this weekend. Ponding may be the least of your sister's worries.
My house is -10 ft above MSL and across from a tidal creek. I have been setting up sandbags. I doubt we stay if it hits. May go to the upstate for the weekend.

I was trying to explain that to her if this storm tracks west of Wilmington she'll be catching most of the rain. Her backyard and the backing neighbor's backyard are both ensconced in a jungle of flowers, bushes, and trees AND are higher than the front yard. She went to Lowe's today and bought sandbags and corrugated pipe to extend her downspouts into the backyard. I tried to explain the First Law of Sanitary Engineering, Shit flows downhill AND that if this forecast comes to pass, she won't be getting a couple inches of rain.

She's comfortable that she's 4 to 8 feet above sea level. I gently tried to explain that sitting between the Cape Fear River and Masonboro Sound is better than be at sea level but not much if the storm's track holds. I tried explaining the impact of storm surge when one lives within a mile of bodies of water on three sides and the topography varies for sea level to +12. She grasped the surge but not the part where the upstream drainage no longer has no where to go as the downstream conditions deteriorate.

On the good news front her house is raised a couple of feet (three or four step to finished first floor with nothing in the crawl space underneath) on her property. I did suggest trying to raise her air conditioner unit (compressor housing). Told her to call her AC gus as I don't suspect they'll be doing a lot of outdoor installations this week.

What city are you in?

 

[Cackalacky]

I was trying to explain that to her if this storm tracks west of Wilmington she'll be catching most of the rain. Her backyard and the backing neighbor's backyard are both ensconced in a jungle of flowers, bushes, and trees AND are higher than the front yard. She went to Lowe's today and bought sandbags and corrugated pipe to extend her downspouts into the backyard. I tried to explain the First Law of Sanitary Engineering, Shit flows downhill AND that if this forecast comes to pass, she won't be getting a couple inches of rain.

She's comfortable that she's 4 to 8 feet above sea level. I gently tried to explain that sitting between the Cape Fear River and Masonboro Sound is better than be at sea level but not much if the storm's track holds. I tried explaining the impact of storm surge when one lives within a mile of bodies of water on three sides and the topography varies for sea level to +12. She grasped the surge but not the part where the upstream drainage no longer has no where to go as the downstream conditions deteriorate.

On the good news front her house is raised a couple of feet (three or four step to finished first floor with nothing in the crawl space underneath) on her property. I did suggest trying to raise her air conditioner unit (compressor housing). Told her to call her AC gus as I don't suspect they'll be doing a lot of outdoor installations this week.

What city are you in?

Mt. pleasant/Sullivan's Island /IOP I am surrounded by rivers, channels and tidal creeks.
That's funny about explaining that stuff to your family. My family shuts down when I get into civil stuff. I can't tell them anything.

 

[BGIF]

Mt. pleasant/Sullivan's Island /IOP I am surrounded by rivers, channels and tidal creeks.
That's funny about explaining that stuff to your family. My family shuts down when I get into civil stuff. I can't tell them anything.

So you have the Ben Sawyer, Isle of Palms Connector, or boat as your options.

How are you -10 on an island?

-10 is my recollection of New Orleans in the low spots.


My wife's family condo is in Orange Beach, AL. Ground floor is El 10. They're on the 13th floor with hurricane shutters but it didn't matter much when Hurricane Ivan visited. That took out the inground pool and first two floors including the building elevator. It was two years before they got back.

 

[Cackalacky]

Sorry. I am at +10 ft. I just saw that I mistyped that. My house is just upland from the back bay of the barrier islands. I have gone through multiple hurricanes and lived on Folly, downtown and the East Cooper. I won't ever live on a barrier island again. No thank you. Like you said there is one way out when ish hits the fan.

 

[Bogtrotter07]

Sorry. I am at +10 ft. I just saw that I mistyped that. My house is just upland from the back bay of the barrier islands. I have gone through multiple hurricanes and lived on Folly, downtown and the East Cooper. I won't ever live on a barrier island again. No thank you. Like you said there is one way out when ish hits the fan.

Good luck regardless. Keep us informed. Let us know if we can help with anything more than remembrance and prayer. Got that going.

 

[RDU Irish]

Good luck folks - good excuse to skip town and head to Raleigh for the ND game though! (glass half full)

 

[FLDomer]

Putting up the storm shutters tomorrow. Looks like we are gonna get whacked. Water and can goods are already scarce on the shelves locally.

 

[ACamp1900]

I guess the one good thing about your situation(s) is you can prepare for it... my wife and I were just talking about how long it's been since So Cal was really hit with a big quake... it's been too long, hopefully the tension is released with a series of medium quakes instead of one giant one....

Anyway, thoughts and prayers guys, hopefully it comes to much ado about nothing...

 

[BGIF]

I guess the one good thing about your situation(s) is you can prepare for it... my wife and I were just talking about how long it's been since So Cal was really hit with a big quake... it's been too long, hopefully the tension is released with a series of medium quakes instead of one giant one....

Anyway, thoughts and prayers guys, hopefully it comes to much ado about nothing...

Sorry about your long quiet spell but if you two need to feel the earth move to relieve your MSB, perhaps, you should take things in hand ...