Notre Dame
Record: 6-0
Rank: Sixth in FPI, seventh in SP+
Ian Book has mastered the art of fine quarterback play. Good, even. He ranked 12th in Total QBR while helping to guide Notre Dame to the CFP in 2018, then ranked 19th last year. This year he's 17th.
Is that good enough for a contender, though? With each passing year, college football becomes more of a quarterback-driven sport. The other three playoff QBs in 2018 ranked first (Kyler Murray), second (Tua Tagovailoa) and eighth (a freshman Trevor Lawrence) in Total QBR. Last year's CFP QBs all ranked in the top five, and the pilots of this year's top three teams are currently first (Justin Fields), second (Jones) and seventh (Lawrence).
Can Ian Book make the necessary big passes when Notre Dame takes on Clemson in the biggest regular-season game of his senior year?
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The biggest regular-season game of Book's senior year comes interestingly timed. Notre Dame will host Uiagalelei's Clemson, not Lawrence's, meaning Book is the most proven and experienced QB in the game. To reach the CFP, the Irish will have to probably split two matchups with the Tigers, but this is the moment for Notre Dame.
The Irish have been extremely run-heavy so far this year (22nd in run rate on standard downs, ninth on passing downs), but you don't beat Clemson with one-dimensional play. Can Book make big passes when necessary -- to Javon McKinley or Ben Skowronek for a field-flipping gain, to tight ends Michael Mayer and Tommy Tremble or receiver Avery Davis on big third downs? Notre Dame's defense is dynamite, ranking eighth in defensive SP+ and holding five of six opponents to 13 or fewer points. But you have to score to beat Clemson, and Book's recent track record against top-notch defenses -- a 69.7 passer rating against Michigan in 2019, 83.7 against Clemson in 2018, 116.4 against Georgia in 2019 -- is not great. Now's the time to change that