College Football Playoff Rankings 2015 (ND #8...)

NDinBoston

Active member
Messages
939
Reaction score
55
Good SOS info: BCF Toys - 2015 Degree of Difficulty

- ND remaining SOS #16
- SOS to date #2
- Overall SOS #1

An unbeaten Baylor would get wins over OkSt, OKLA (at least 2 losses including Texas), and TCU (at least 2 losses including blown out by OkSt) for 3 Top25 wins.

If ND wins out - #7 STAN, #20 Navy, #22 Temple, and USC might/should finish in Top25 for 4 Top25 wins and a close loss to #1 Clemson.

ND could very well have a better resume than even an unbeaten Big12.
 

BobbyMac

Staff & Stuff
Staff member
Messages
33,950
Reaction score
9,295
How could Oklahoma and Utah get in over ND when ND beat the team that beat them. That's just dumb I'm sorry.


Sent via tapatalk


Utah:

ND beats Stanford by 1, Utah wins out destroying UCLA and beats a demoralized Stanford by 40 in the PAC Champ game. They would have 6 P5 wins including Michigan and against ND's best win Stanford. Do you really feel so good about leaving that in their hands?

Oklahoma:

I've long said that Oklahoma was ND's best friend in the Big 12 because of the head to head with Texas but if they run the show with big Top 10 wins on the road in their last 3 games in impressive fashion, do you really feel that the committee COULDN'T say OU had a better SOS and did it on the road and put them above ND if it was for the 4th spot? This is the same committee that has Iowas at #5 right now.

The only thing stupid at this time is the secure feeling Irish fans feel right now.

.
 

T Town Tommy

Alabama Bag Man
Messages
6,278
Reaction score
2,768
Why don't some of you guys just relish in the fact that you are #4 right now? The rest of the stuff will take care of itself. Win out and that's all you can do. The rest... meh.
 

johnnycando

Frosted Tips
Messages
3,744
Reaction score
490
Utah:

ND beats Stanford by 1, Utah wins out destroying UCLA and beats a demoralized Stanford by 40 in the PAC Champ game. They would have 6 P5 wins including Michigan and against ND's best win Stanford. Do you really feel so good about leaving that in their hands?

Oklahoma:

I've long said that Oklahoma was ND's best friend in the Big 12 because of the head to head with Texas but if they run the show with big Top 10 wins on the road in their last 3 games in impressive fashion, do you really feel that the committee COULDN'T say OU had a better SOS and did it on the road and put them above ND if it was for the 4th spot? This is the same committee that has Iowas at #5 right now.

The only thing stupid at this time is the secure feeling Irish fans feel right now.

.

You're right.

You should hang yourself and make me feel better.
 

irishfanjho15

Hello world
Messages
2,967
Reaction score
251
Utah:

ND beats Stanford by 1, Utah wins out destroying UCLA and beats a demoralized Stanford by 40 in the PAC Champ game. They would have 6 P5 wins including Michigan and against ND's best win Stanford. Do you really feel so good about leaving that in their hands?

Oklahoma:

I've long said that Oklahoma was ND's best friend in the Big 12 because of the head to head with Texas but if they run the show with big Top 10 wins on the road in their last 3 games in impressive fashion, do you really feel that the committee COULDN'T say OU had a better SOS and did it on the road and put them above ND if it was for the 4th spot? This is the same committee that has Iowas at #5 right now.

The only thing stupid at this time is the secure feeling Irish fans feel right now.

.

The problem with this logic is ND would still have a comparable schedule and has a common opponent with both, which ND beat both handily. Common opponent results are a tie breaking criteria. The committee would have to weigh common opponents vs. conference championships. The committee, though, does not take into account margin of victory between common opponents.

Iowa's at 5 because they have at least played some competition. Baylor has not and neither has Okie State, aside from no defense and widely over ranked TCU. Also, not that Iowa is the best team in the world but they are a very good football team. Rarely makes mistakes, plays good opportunistic defense, very good back end defense, very good Oline, strong D line play, runs the ball, and strong QB play.
 

T Town Tommy

Alabama Bag Man
Messages
6,278
Reaction score
2,768
That's just too much for some fans.

I know it's fun and makes for some good debating. And I am really ok with that. But dang... the last thing people should be doing out here is getting digs in at each other. Have a beer, sit back, enjoy the moment, then go at it tomorrow.
 

phork

Raining On Your Parade
Messages
9,863
Reaction score
1,019
Utah:

ND beats Stanford by 1, Utah wins out destroying UCLA and beats a demoralized Stanford by 40 in the PAC Champ game. They would have 6 P5 wins including Michigan and against ND's best win Stanford. Do you really feel so good about leaving that in their hands?

Oklahoma:

I've long said that Oklahoma was ND's best friend in the Big 12 because of the head to head with Texas but if they run the show with big Top 10 wins on the road in their last 3 games in impressive fashion, do you really feel that the committee COULDN'T say OU had a better SOS and did it on the road and put them above ND if it was for the 4th spot? This is the same committee that has Iowas at #5 right now.

The only thing stupid at this time is the secure feeling Irish fans feel right now.

.

And if I used my lev45 wizard against Oklahomas lev51 cleric things would be different! Now making up ridiculous scenarios because we aren't strong in our belief that we are the #4 team in the country. SUCK IT UP already.
 

woolybug25

#1 Vineyard Vines Fan
Messages
17,677
Reaction score
3,018
Utah:

ND beats Stanford by 1, Utah wins out destroying UCLA and beats a demoralized Stanford by 40 in the PAC Champ game. They would have 6 P5 wins including Michigan and against ND's best win Stanford. Do you really feel so good about leaving that in their hands?

Oklahoma:

I've long said that Oklahoma was ND's best friend in the Big 12 because of the head to head with Texas but if they run the show with big Top 10 wins on the road in their last 3 games in impressive fashion, do you really feel that the committee COULDN'T say OU had a better SOS and did it on the road and put them above ND if it was for the 4th spot? This is the same committee that has Iowas at #5 right now.

The only thing stupid at this time is the secure feeling Irish fans feel right now.

.

I agree with you on Utah (although I could see them losing to both UCLA and Stanford), but I totally disagree on OU.

We would have 4 top 25 wins and possibly have beaten a Pac12 champ. Oklahoma would have 2-3 top 25 wins and a loss to a team we smoked (and in their conference). Our loss could possibly be the best loss in football at that point. Getting in over Oklahoma if we both win out is a no brainier, imo. Irish roll into the playoffs in that scenario.
 

NDWorld247

New member
Messages
2,474
Reaction score
302
Just Fuc$ing win and we are in....that simple.

11-1 ND does not get in with an undefeated Clemson, undefeated B1G champ (OSU or Iowa), undefeated B12 champ (Baylor or OK St) and one loss SEC champion Alabama. That simple.

I'm of the belief that if we win out we are in because history suggests we will get help down the stretch, but let's not pretend that we control our own destiny. We don't.

Championships matter in the CFB playoff. When the dust settles on the first Saturday in December, we better hope there aren't three undefeated champs (and Bama) left standing.
 

Junkhead

Community Mod
Messages
7,595
Reaction score
1,354
I'm amazed that ND has a chance to be in after the early injuries. That said, it's way early, but after watching Bama-LSU, I want no part of facing that Bama runD. Either way, I thought we'd have 3+ losses by now after Malik and Folston went down, so its all just icing on the cake. Got to get in the mix and see what happens.
 

woolybug25

#1 Vineyard Vines Fan
Messages
17,677
Reaction score
3,018
11-1 ND does not get in with an undefeated Clemson, undefeated B1G champ (OSU or Iowa), undefeated B12 champ (Baylor or OK St) and one loss SEC champion Alabama. That simple.

I'm of the belief that if we win out we are in because history suggests we will get help down the stretch, but let's not pretend that we control our own destiny. We don't.

Championships matter in the CFB playoff. When the dust settles on the first Saturday in December, we better hope there aren't three undefeated champs (and Bama) left standing.

Championships do matter when you play a championship game, which the Big 12 does not. You guys are really underestimating the fact that SoS is an independent metric. Just because you're named Big 12 champ, doesn't mean you played a more difficult schedule than Notre Dame. Hell, in that league if there is tie in record, most points decides the champion. They don't have an additional game to hold over our heads. They will compare both team's body of work, and ours will better.
 

rocket66

New member
Messages
1,457
Reaction score
89
Championships do matter when you play a championship game, which the Big 12 does not. You guys are really underestimating the fact that SoS is an independent metric. Just because you're named Big 12 champ, doesn't mean you played a more difficult schedule than Notre Dame. Hell, in that league if there is tie in record, most points decides the champion. They don't have an additional game to hold over our heads. They will compare both team's body of work, and ours will better.


Preach!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 

NDWorld247

New member
Messages
2,474
Reaction score
302
Championships do matter when you play a championship game, which the Big 12 does not. You guys are really underestimating the fact that SoS is an independent metric. Just because you're named Big 12 champ, doesn't mean you played a more difficult schedule than Notre Dame. Hell, in that league if there is tie in record, most points decides the champion. They don't have an additional game to hold over our heads. They will compare both team's body of work, and ours will better.

I don't believe the bolded is true. The CFB Playoff declares "Championships won", not "Championships won in CCGs".

SoS will be comparable by the first week in December. I think ours is better, but not by a whole lot once full schedules have been played.

I like our chances vs. a 11-1 Big12 champ. I have very little confidence in our chances vs. an undefeated Big12 champ.
 

Booslum31

New member
Messages
5,687
Reaction score
187
Yeah. Still have a hard time buying Iowa. I think Ohio State wins out. Them, Bama and Clemson and we're left scrapping with the Big 12 champ.

Heard tonight that tOSU has not played a ranked team yet...is that possible?
 

irishfan

Irish Hoops Mod
Messages
7,205
Reaction score
607
Championships do matter when you play a championship game, which the Big 12 does not. You guys are really underestimating the fact that SoS is an independent metric. Just because you're named Big 12 champ, doesn't mean you played a more difficult schedule than Notre Dame. Hell, in that league if there is tie in record, most points decides the champion. They don't have an additional game to hold over our heads. They will compare both team's body of work, and ours will better.

Baylor is 2 spots behind us and still gets to play three top-15 teams. The Big-12 also got screwed last year. I think a 12-0 Baylor and maybe a 12-0 OK State would get in over us at 11-1 unless everything goes right (four top-25 wins, wins over PAC/AAC Champ). I don't think it is a lock by any means that we will have a better body of work.

Also, championships do still matter if you go 9-0 and win your conference...and your conference ends the year with 4 teams ranked by the committee.
 

ickythump1225

New member
Messages
4,036
Reaction score
323
I don't give a f**k about all of the what-if scenarios at the moment because we don't control any of that. I do know that if ND runs the table it is more probable than not that we make the playoffs. After all of the injuries and the frustrating pain of losing at Clemson I just can't believe we're at #4 right now.

I'm sure some of you will get your panties all in a wad fretting about Oklahoma, or Baylor, or some other team but ask yourself: did you ever really think that we would be at this point to begin with? Probably not, so why spoil the moment already doubting what will happen next? Just enjoy it. I'm saving my outrage for when a truly deserving 11-1 ND team gets left out over a truly less deserving team.
 

STLcardz-NDirish

New member
Messages
155
Reaction score
8
Can you think of a scenario where ND loses a very very close loss to Stanford and makes the playoffs? I feel like it would be POSSIBLE but very unlikely.
 

NDinL.A.

New member
Messages
8,121
Reaction score
1,734
I'm sure you've been read the riot act already below but this is simply incorrect.

The following teams would all get the 4th spot above the Irish if they won out.

tOSU
MSU
Iowa
Bama
LSU
Florida
Clemson
Baylor
OSU

..and the possibles:

Utah
Oklahoma

and...
UNC quite possibly though I doubt it.

Not sure why you're mentioning all the teams that play each other...that's a waste of time because it will be impossible for all of them to be undefeated.

I'd also take ND over MSU, and it wouldn't even be close. They have looked utterly average for most of the year and lost to an awful team, very recently. Even if they do win out I'd take our schedule and our record over them. Not worried about them, even with their possible wins over OSU and (overranked) Iowa.

LSU isn't jumping ND either if we win out. What's their quality win? Florida? The same team that barely beat Vandy, among other close wins against bad teams?

We need the Big 12 to cannibalize each other, and THEN we'll be in (if we win out). I'd take us over any 1 loss Big 10 team as well.
 

STLcardz-NDirish

New member
Messages
155
Reaction score
8
Baylor is 2 spots behind us and still gets to play three top-15 teams. The Big-12 also got screwed last year. I think a 12-0 Baylor and maybe a 12-0 OK State would get in over us at 11-1 unless everything goes right (four top-25 wins, wins over PAC/AAC Champ). I don't think it is a lock by any means that we will have a better body of work.

Also, championships do still matter if you go 9-0 and win your conference...and your conference ends the year with 4 teams ranked by the committee.

I agree with this. If Navy, Temple, USC, Stanford(not counting our game), Pitt, and Clemson all finish extremly well, I think we get in over an undefeated big12
 

Booslum31

New member
Messages
5,687
Reaction score
187
I don't give a f**k about all of the what-if scenarios at the moment because we don't control any of that. I do know that if ND runs the table it is more probable than not that we make the playoffs. After all of the injuries and the frustrating pain of losing at Clemson I just can't believe we're at #4 right now.

I'm sure some of you will get your panties all in a wad fretting about Oklahoma, or Baylor, or some other team but ask yourself: did you ever really think that we would be at this point to begin with? Probably not, so why spoil the moment already doubting what will happen next? Just enjoy it. I'm saving my outrage for when a truly deserving 11-1 ND team gets left out over a truly less deserving team.

This...totally! let's enjoy the ride.
 

STLcardz-NDirish

New member
Messages
155
Reaction score
8
It would take some very strange things for that to happen.

All Big 12 Lose
Iowa MSU, and OSU lose
Clemson and UNC lose
Alabama, Florida, and LSU lose
Utah lose

if 4 of those 5 happened we would probably get in with an extremely close loss to Stanford.
 

dwshade

Banned
Messages
3,338
Reaction score
123
I can't see that happening. I think if Clemson loses they'll be ahead of ND.

Bet ND would get the nod. Clemson loss would come to a losing team that they would be favored by double digits. Also remember we beat FSU back in the 90's then lost to BC and FSU played for championship over us. This committee is looking at things week to week and if say ND beats Stanford while South Carolina beats Clemson we will be rated ahead of Clemson. No question.
 
Top