BCS Rankings: 2012

Whiskeyjack

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Remove the bias, and the polls would apparently look a lot like the computers.
 

CTIDANDREW

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That poll right there is why Rankings shouldn't begin until week 8 or 9. Although, this will never happen because people tune in to watch top 25 mathcups. In my opinion if the polls would have started week 8 or 9 we'd be in the top 2. But, oh well. Need some favors now.
 
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mgriff

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Polls are overrated and offer a wonderful human element capable of manipulation.
 

IrishFBfanatic

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Ok so obviously we didn't know which team was ND when choosing. So how many of you chose ND #1 when looking at it? Obviously #1 wasn't an option but when I went through I thought "ok this team is clearly #1, now who should take that #2 spot?" I was clearly choosing ND #1 (although at the time I thought it was actually Alabama)
 

NDTH91

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I also happened to pick ND and KSU. I'm sensing a trend...
 

NDTH91

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Ok so obviously we didn't know which team was ND when choosing. So how many of you chose ND #1 when looking at it? Obviously #1 wasn't an option but when I went through I thought "ok this team is clearly #1, now who should take that #2 spot?" I was clearly choosing ND #1 (although at the time I thought it was actually Alabama)

I actually had KSU as my #1 and thought ND fell very nicely into the #2 spot. (without knowing who anyone was, of course)

I was actually really surprised when I saw the results. I really thought Bama would be one of my two. Then I remembered that Bama and Oregon haven't played anyone...
 

Whiskeyjack

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Ok so obviously we didn't know which team was ND when choosing. So how many of you chose ND #1 when looking at it? Obviously #1 wasn't an option but when I went through I thought "ok this team is clearly #1, now who should take that #2 spot?" I was clearly choosing ND #1 (although at the time I thought it was actually Alabama)

I picked KSU as my #1, but ND was my clear #2.

One reason this blind test is so compelling is the objective stats are laid out in a (roughly) accurate order of importance: signature wins > quality wins > SoS > margin of victory.

KSU is the only team with 3 wins against top-20 opponents, so the eye naturally goes to their stat line first. Then you see good SoS and margin of victory figures, and it's an easy choice for #1.

Same process for picking ND 2nd. Both 'Bama and ND have 2 wins over top-20 opponents, and while ND's margin of victory is pretty average, their SoS is much better.
 
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Whiskeyjack

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Also, with 5,575 votes in, 75% have put ND in the top 2.
 

irishog77

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Anyone think that this poll being from a reputable source may actually open some eyes? Or are we pretty much wedged behind the 8-ball?

Maybe. But that's the results as of today. In 3 and 4 weeks it will look different. For instance, if Alabama wins out, they'll have another possible Top-20 win over A&M and a definite other Top-20 win in the SEC CG. If ND beats SC, that probably won't be a Top-20 win.

Not that you're saying this, but this poll isn't definitive or anything-- just what it looks like today.

But yeah, I would definitely like this to get more publicity. It could open up some peoples' eyes to blatant homerism that infects so many...especially down here in SEC country.
 

ThePiombino

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Maybe. But that's the results as of today. In 3 and 4 weeks it will look different. For instance, if Alabama wins out, they'll have another possible Top-20 win over A&M and a definite other Top-20 win in the SEC CG. If ND beats SC, that probably won't be a Top-20 win.

Not that you're saying this, but this poll isn't definitive or anything-- just what it looks like today.

But yeah, I would definitely like this to get more publicity. It could open up some peoples' eyes to blatant homerism that infects so many...especially down here in SEC country.

Troof.
 
K

koonja

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Eric Hansen ‏@hansenNDInsider

Individually: Alabama 78.9% chance of staying unbeaten, #NotreDame 51.1%, K-State 44.8%, Oregon 39.4%, Ohio St. 33.8%, Louisville 23.1%,
 

phork

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How do they make these up? No one is beating Oregon, and if Klein is playing no one is beating KSU.
 

IrishLax

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Here are some odds for this week...

Alabama: 85%
KSU: 74% (I think the moneyline assume Klein healthy...)
Oregon: 98.5% (seriously... apparently Cal is that bad)
Notre Dame: 90% (surprised they're giving us a 10% chance of losing... seems pretty harsh)

Odds of a non-ND team losing: ~38%
Odds of everyone winning: ~56%
 

peoriairish

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Here are some odds for this week...

Alabama: 85%
KSU: 74% (I think the moneyline assume Klein healthy...)
Oregon: 98.5% (seriously... apparently Cal is that bad)
Notre Dame: 90% (surprised they're giving us a 10% chance of losing... seems pretty harsh)

Odds of a non-ND team losing: ~38%
Odds of everyone winning: ~56%

Backlash from the Pitt game.
 

ulukinatme

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Everybody kept talking last week about how theres lots of football left to play...well, not really. Now theres only 3 games left in the regular season, and it's quite likely that all of the top 4 teams run the table, or at least Alabama, K State, and Oregon. I sure hope we don't lose to USC.

Also, 10% chance is more than enough for BC to get fired up over playing the Irish. I'm sure most people didn't give BC a 10% chance in '93 and 2002.
 
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