Um you guys are assuming our QB plays lights out and several guys step up at the WR position. Those are HUGE ifs. Michigan still has Denard Robinson and they always find a way to beat us despite being outplayed the majority of the game.
And we don't have any proven CB's. Face it guys, 2012 is going to be a rough year. 2013 is when we'll make a run.
I dont think our QB has to play lights out, he doesn't have to be a Heisman contender. He just has to be efficient running the offense. If we have average QB play that doesnt get stifled during pressure, we should be okay. Also, Kelly's offense, schematically speaking, will have players open consistantly...if the QB doesn't lock on 1 reciever or is physically competant enough to make tough throws...we should be okay as we can move the ball all over the field.
Well, we had proven CB's last year that (aside from Blanton) werent All-Americans. Our Dline line should get us a lot of pressure, even against the best lines, if they aren't afraid to make a play on the ball we should be atleast average.
I dont see how 2012 being very rough correlates to a NC run in 2013. If we are that young, and that average in these key positions in 2012...I don't see them being fixed within a year...especially if we have a QB making consistant rookie mistakes mixed with a young and raw secondary mistake prone as well. 2014 would make more sense for a run if thats that case.
The best omen for a NC run in 2013 would be a 2012 season with (Regular season):
8-4 losing very close games (even to Oklahoma/SC) by less then 2 scores, and being in position to win most of the game. Few limited mental mistakes from being young
9-3 same scenario but much lesson margin of error on mental mistakes and upsetting one of the giants on our schedule. Solid QB play that gets better as the season goes on that by the end of the year our QB isn't a first year starter anymore, hes adapted very well, and is very efficient. Also, go-to guy emerges in the WR spot.
10-2 no mental errors/good qb play/breakout player at WR and defensive secondary
I don't see how this team can go from 7-5 in 2012 to a NC contender in 1 year. If this is the case, we are very far off. Youve got to remember...we can't go to junioir colleges and bring in a 22 year old sophmores who are absolute studs to fill needs.