2016 Presidential Horse Race

2016 Presidential Horse Race


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TheOneWhoKnocks

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Cruz in full stage denial. Thankfully Rubio dropped out long ago, not sure I could handle 2 ppl telling the story of their parents for the 50th time
 

NDgradstudent

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Trump has 312,000 votes. Sanders and Clinton combined have 305,000.

If half of those that voted for Cruz and Kasich stay home in November, he still wins handily.

If only Indiana determined the results of these elections...and lots of racial minority Dem voters don't show up for primaries but will for the general.
 

TheOneWhoKnocks

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Kasich stick around? If only to eventually pass Rubio lol
How does this work? If Kasich drops, the other states don't vote clearly I assume. So do they still need convention to officially give him the 1237, or does the majority delegate number not matter when no opponents
 
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GoIrish41

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Trump has 312,000 votes. Sanders and Clinton combined have 305,000.

If half of those that voted for Cruz and Kasich stay home in November, he still wins handily.

Well it is reliably red Indiana. I'm surprised that many Dems voted. Should republicans be worried?
 

IrishLax

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So what would have happened if Cruz dropped two weeks ago? Framing for these last few primaries would've been MUCH different if binary choice between Trump and moderate Kasich.
 

wizards8507

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So what would have happened if Cruz dropped two weeks ago? Framing for these last few primaries would've been MUCH different if binary choice between Trump and moderate Kasich.
Trump isn't a conservative, so Kasich's appeal as a "moderate" would have been of little value. Plus, the electorate clearly wanted an "outsider" this year. Being a popular governor and a former member of the Washington machine is no asset in this cycle.

Last best case scenario... Hillary gets indicted and the horror of Trump vs. Bernie spurs a viable third party candidate.

Sent from my Galaxy Note4 using Tapatalk.
 

IrishLax

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Mark Warner would be better than Tim Kaine but Kaine is legit.
 

gkIrish

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I might actually base my vote in the general on the VP candidates. If I have to deal with one of these people for 8 years, I might as well go with the one that has a VP worth a damn.
 

wizards8507

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I might actually base my vote in the general on the VP candidates. If I have to deal with one of these people for 8 years, I might as well go with the one that has a VP worth a damn.
Or if Trump gets assassinated...

Sent from my Galaxy Note4 using Tapatalk.
 

pkt77242

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I might actually base my vote in the general on the VP candidates. If I have to deal with one of these people for 8 years, I might as well go with the one that has a VP worth a damn.

With both of the nominees being old there is a decent chance that VP could end up being the President at some point.
 

IrishLax

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Trump isn't a conservative, so Kasich's appeal as a "moderate" would have been of little value. Plus, the electorate clearly wanted an "outsider" this year. Being a popular governor and a former member of the Washington machine is no asset in this cycle.

Last best case scenario... Hillary gets indicted and the horror of Trump vs. Bernie spurs a viable third party candidate.

Sent from my Galaxy Note4 using Tapatalk.

Nothing to do with conservative vs liberal, everything to do with presenting a plausible and attractive alternative for the #NeverTrump crowd. Problem was Cruz had no appeal to the vast majority of those people, possibly even considered a worse option than Trump.
 

gkIrish

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13100816_1722510564672444_4655910082022020781_n.jpg
 

Wild Bill

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The Republican presidential candidate always wins in Indiana. If you made the same comparison for New York, Hillary had more votes than all three Republican candidates combined, and that was without counting any of Bernie's votes.

Obama won Indiana in 2008 and it was a close race, I believe, in 2012.
 

Bishop2b5

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Likely picks for VP as I see it


Marco Rubio---General Petreaus- (sp) -- Conde Rice---

I could get seriously enthused about Rice for several reasons, not the least of which is that she'd bring some major foreign policy chops to the table, shoring up one of Trumps weak areas.
 

GATTACA!

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I could get seriously enthused about Rice for several reasons, not the least of which is that she'd bring some major foreign policy chops to the table, shoring up one of Trumps weak areas.

Plus she's a Browns fan
 

irishfan

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">.<a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump">@realDonaldTrump</a> will be presumptive <a href="https://twitter.com/GOP">@GOP</a> nominee, we all need to unite and focus on defeating <a href="https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton">@HillaryClinton</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NeverClinton?src=hash">#NeverClinton</a></p>— Reince Priebus (@Reince) <a href="https://twitter.com/Reince/status/727665447684820992">May 4, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Not sure exactly what we did to deserve #NeverTrump vs #NeverClinton but oh well.

Also, I still think Trump wins....
 

MNIrishman

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">.<a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump">@realDonaldTrump</a> will be presumptive <a href="https://twitter.com/GOP">@GOP</a> nominee, we all need to unite and focus on defeating <a href="https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton">@HillaryClinton</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/NeverClinton?src=hash">#NeverClinton</a></p>— Reince Priebus (@Reince) <a href="https://twitter.com/Reince/status/727665447684820992">May 4, 2016</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Not sure exactly what we did to deserve #NeverTrump vs #NeverClinton but oh well.

Also, I still think Trump wins....

Pure incompetence vs. pure evil. I vote we go back to England.
 

BGIF

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Trump has 312,000 votes. Sanders and Clinton combined have 305,000.

If half of those that voted for Cruz and Kasich stay home in November, he still wins handily.

The Republican presidential candidate always wins in Indiana. If you made the same comparison for New York, Hillary had more votes than all three Republican candidates combined, and that was without counting any of Bernie's votes.


I'm aware of Indiana's voting history. Obama won the state in '08 so it doesn't "always" vote GOP does it?

I made the post as in the the past week someone inquired if Trump lead Clinton in any state. Tonight's election results were timely for a state that didn't have much polling data. It's also been mentioned many times that up to half the Republicans, like Wiz, will cry in their milk and stay home in November, hence the second half of my comment.
 
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