2014 Win Prediction Thread lol

[irishtrooper]

11-1....can't get past Fla State. Miss play-off because they choose a few bullshat 10-2 SEC teams.

Agree

 

[woolybug25]

I'll say this... if anyone believes that 11-1 with next year's schedule isn't enough to get into the playoffs, then you are pretty much saying that anyone not undefeated or in the SEC will ever go. We have a stacked schedule that should rank in the top ten SoS's for next season. So there shouldn't be a reason for an unbiased panel to leave us out with that record.

 

[pkt77242]

I think 9-3 or 10-2

 

[irishtrooper]

I'll say this... if anyone believes that 11-1 with next year's schedule isn't enough to get into the playoffs, then you are pretty much saying that anyone not undefeated or in the SEC will ever go. We have a stacked schedule that should rank in the top ten SoS's for next season. So there shouldn't be a reason for an unbiased panel to leave us out with that record.

I agree with you in principle, however if you look at what happened the last time we were undefeated we were only given the number 1 spot by default. Even then people were hesitant to say we were number 1. We had easily one of the hardest schedules going into that season too. All i am saying is that it seems like if we can get screwed, we will. Again, i certainly think we SHOULD get in with one loss. If an LSU, Bama and a Big 12 team or two have one loss and throw that in with an Az St., Oregon or UCLA having one or zero losses. I just think the media and especially ESPN are so late to begrudgingly give us the credit we deserve, that yes i really can see us with one loss getting the short end of the stick. I will say that if we lose a close game to FSU on the road and look reasonably impressive the rest of the way, then we would likely be fine. If we play the way we did two years ago and lose by two tds to FSU, then.......yikes. All of this being said, I think we have a decent chance against FSU next year.

 

[Booslum31]

I'll say this... if anyone believes that 11-1 with next year's schedule isn't enough to get into the playoffs, then you are pretty much saying that anyone not undefeated or in the SEC will ever go. We have a stacked schedule that should rank in the top ten SoS's for next season. So there shouldn't be a reason for an unbiased panel to leave us out with that record.

I agree Wooly...was just taking a cheap-shot at the SEC. Our schedule next year is sick and should stack up from a "strength of schedule" perspective with anyone. 11-1 should get us into the top four. Now...if ESPN has a secret ballot that we don't know about...

 

[Corry]

11-1 gets us in without a doubt. We have an alum on the committee.

 

[fightingirish26]

I honestly don't think 11-1 gets us in

 

[greyhammer90]

I just hope this committee gets rid of the "recent trends" bias. Alabama shouldn't get in the four over another team because they lost early in the year and the other team lost late.

 

[Irish YJ]

I'll say this... if anyone believes that 11-1 with next year's schedule isn't enough to get into the playoffs, then you are pretty much saying that anyone not undefeated or in the SEC will ever go. We have a stacked schedule that should rank in the top ten SoS's for next season. So there shouldn't be a reason for an unbiased panel to leave us out with that record.

Timing is everything. Who we get beat by, by how much, and at what point in the season we get beat are all critical items. Pre-season ranking also impacts things. If we are up against other one loss SEC teams, my logical side would not feel slighted if they go before a 1 loss ND depending on our loss. Had Bama not demolished us, I'd think differently.... but we have not earned the benefit of the doubt at this point. Not being an SEC homer, but we can logically draw some conclusions based on our head to head match up last year,,,,,,,, and the fact they have won XX straight championships is not all SEC love and conspiracy. I hate the SEC BS more than anyone, but there is enough fact and data to make some non-biased assumptions.

 

[Cali_domer]

9-4 or 8-5

 

[irishtrooper]

Timing is everything. Who we get beat by, by how much, and at what point in the season we get beat are all critical items. Pre-season ranking also impacts things. If we are up against other one loss SEC teams, my logical side would not feel slighted if they go before a 1 loss ND depending on our loss. Had Bama not demolished us, I'd think differently.... but we have not earned the benefit of the doubt at this point. Not being an SEC homer, but we can logically draw some conclusions based on our head to head match up last year,,,,,,,, and the fact they have won XX straight championships is not all SEC love and conspiracy. I hate the SEC BS more than anyone, but there is enough fact and data to make some non-biased assumptions.

Still it SHOULD, by definition be based on what each team accomplishes during THAT season. I realize the powers of bias will impact the selections, but they shouldn't.

 

[greyhammer90]

Still it SHOULD, by definition be based on what each team accomplishes during THAT season. I realize the powers of bias will impact the selections, but they shouldn't.

Also as I said previously, WHEN a team loses shouldn't matter. What does the timing of a loss matter if you're looking at the whole season?

It will be interesting to see what happens this year because it will likely serve as precedent for future committees. Really important year for the future of the sport.

 

[irishtrooper]

Also as I said previously, WHEN a team loses shouldn't matter. What does the timing of a loss matter if you're looking at the whole season?

It will be interesting to see what happens this year because it will likely serve as precedent for future committees. Really important year for the future of the sport.

I agree completely

 

[ACamp1900]

Keep forgetting we don't play MSU... Force of habit...

Also, grey is right, 'when' shouldn't matter, but reality is if you have two, one loss teams,... and the first lost in week four, the other lost in week 13,... Well, we all know what tends to happen there.

 

[Irish YJ]

Still it SHOULD, by definition be based on what each team accomplishes during THAT season. I realize the powers of bias will impact the selections, but they shouldn't.

I agree... but

 

[woolybug25]

Keep forgetting we don't play MSU... Force of habit...

Also, grey is right, 'when' shouldn't matter, but reality is if you have two, one loss teams,... and the first lost in week four, the other lost in week 13,... Well, we all know what tends to happen there.

Out dont know about this. If rankings are suppose to be telling you who are the best teams on a specific day, then why does a loss that happened months ago mean the same amount as a loss last week? Teams grow and crumble throughout the season. I want the rankings to tell me who the best teams are, not just a W/L column paired with SoS number.

 

[sharksamardzija8345]

Out dont know about this. If rankings are suppose to be telling you who are the best teams on a specific day, then why does a loss that happened months ago mean the same amount as a loss last week? Teams grow and crumble throughout the season. I want the rankings to tell me who the best teams are, not just a W/L column paired with SoS number.

I think a W/L schedule paired with SOS is a better method.

Say we are 10-1, ranked #5, heading into USC and USC is ranked #15. Our first loss was to Florida State. We lose to USC and finish 10-2.

UCLA is 9-2, ranked #8, with losses earlier in the season to, let's say an unranked Cal and a ranked #22 Arizona. They win their last game vs. an unranked Washington.

Our 2 losses are Florida State (#1) and USC (#15) but the last loss happened at the end of the season. Their losses are to Cal and #22 USC. Both teams are 10-2. In most circumstances, UCLA would jump us. I don't think they should. Our SOS would be much higher than theirs. The losses at the end of the season carry too much weight, IMO. It's a great debate, though.

 

[Buster Bluth]

9-3 makes me happy. Just win the bowl game too.

 

[ThePiombino]

9-3 makes me happy. Just win the bowl game too.

^ this - continue to develop this team next year, show progress, and be COMPLETELY ready for 2015 where we will hopefully be firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball. 2015, not 2014, is where the rubber meets the road for this program IMO.

 

[NDFan4Life]

My thoughts:

Rice - W
Michigan - W
Purdue - W
Syracuse - W
Stanford - L
North Carolina - W
Florida State - L
Navy -W
Arizona State - W
Northwestern - W
Louisville - W
USC - W

Stanford could be a toss-up though. FSU could be dominant again next season.

It's still way too early to make any realistic predictions, so I'm going with my heart.

 

[NoJusticeNoPeace]

11-2, losses to FSU and a road game against a clearly inferior team like USC, and a win in the Orange Bowl against the ACC runner-up.

 

[koonja]

11-2, losses to FSU and a road game against a clearly inferior team like USC, and a win in the Orange Bowl against the ACC runner-up.

With that attitude, you better update your username.

 

[TheTurningPoint]

My brain says 7-5..8-5 with a bowl win. Heart says 10-2.

2015 will be a great year with the schedule.

 

[Black Irish]

Undefeated. On top of that, our players serve as an inspiration to the country by teaching uneducated kids how to read and write in their spare time. Not coincidentally, SEC graduation rates suddenly skyrocket.

 

[IrishBlood81]

I predict our coach flirts with the English Premier League, loses a few recruits, Bennet Jackson comes out with a fake father-in-law that inspired him to play poorly but actually never existed, Malik Zaire assaults a taxi driver and is suspended for the year but goes and trains with the Power Rangers to improve to come back next year, Golson transfers the Canadian League thinking he'll never get to play behind Zaire before Zaire is suspended, which leaves Cam Mcdaniel to start at QB.
…but thats just crazy nonsense that would never happen...

 

[NDPhilly]

Anything less than 9-3 will be a HUGE Dissappontment in Kelly's 5th year. Shit I'd be pretty disappointed with 9-3 personally. He goes 8-4 again in 2014 he definitely should be on the Hot Seat in 2015

 

[phork]

Anything less than 9-3 will be a HUGE Dissappontment in Kelly's 5th year. Shit I'd be pretty disappointed with 9-3 personally. He goes 8-4 again in 2014 he definitely should be on the Hot Seat in 2015

8-4 hot seat. Now that is funny.

 

[Buster Bluth]

Anything less than 9-3 will be a HUGE Dissappontment in Kelly's 5th year. Shit I'd be pretty disappointed with 9-3 personally. He goes 8-4 again in 2014 he definitely should be on the Hot Seat in 2015

Are you on acid?

 

[woolybug25]

Anything less than 9-3 will be a HUGE Dissappontment in Kelly's 5th year. Shit I'd be pretty disappointed with 9-3 personally. He goes 8-4 again in 2014 he definitely should be on the Hot Seat in 2015

Are you shitting me? That's crazy talk. Who knows what type of things can happen. Just to say anything less than 9 wins should put him on the hot seat is picking an arbitrary number for no reason. BK would beating some damn good teams to get 8 wins next season, and while I wouldn't be happy about that total, I'm not going to be trying to fire a guy that got us to the title game two years prior.

It's crazy how a little success has made us so shortsighted. I guess some of you forgot what it was like to change crappy coaches every three seasons. Sheesh...

 

[returnofthemack]

Rice - W (90%)
scUM - L (50% - Really this comes down to how VanGorder does against the spread because Gardner looked godly against us this year; I'm confident they won't stop our offense)
Purdue - W (90%)
Syracuse - W (80%)
Stanford - L (50% - Should be a very close game)
UNC - W (80%)
FSU - L (25% - If VanGorder proves to be inept vs. the spread, Winston will torch us and their D is loaded with enough talent to stop our offense)
Navy - W (90%)
ASU - W (60%)
NW - L (ND's annual WTF game)
Louisville - W (80% - shouldn't be close with Bridgewater gone)
USC - W (65% - let's see how Sark does with all that talent)

So 8-10 wins - not too bad with this schedule and it should get our defense enough valuable experience to make a serious run for a championship WIN in Golson's senior year.