I'll admit it tightened more than I thought it would. That first debate was a big setback. Still, I think Obama will win easily. Ohio is the key and Obama looks like he will carry there. Wisc, Iowa, NH should all go to Obama, giving him at least +20 or so cushion. Colo and Nev. could also go Obama's way, padding his lead a bit more. At one time, it looked like florida was going to be a slam dunk, but it is a horse race now. To me, the outcome won't be a question, but the margin might.