2024 College Football Playoffs

[Kingbish01]

I'm getting ready to head down to the SEC championship game, I have a feeling it's gonna be a long day for UGA.

 

[stlnd01]

Cross-post with the Week 14 watch thread. This is how I see the committee shaking things out depending on who wins each conference.

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Interestingly, if our preference is to avoid Alabama, we do not have any rooting interest until *after* we know how the SECCG shakes out.

The ACC game is a night game?
I'll be very curious to see what they do with SMU if Clemson beats them. If they drop SMU all the way out, the ACC will riot, and probably rightly so. But maybe the committee doesn't care if that means a Bama-ND first round matchup.

 

[dad4aa]

The committee said losing the conference championship game will not affect seeding. But watch them drop SMU if they lose a close game but keep Penn State in front of us when they lose big.

 

[Irish du Nord]

Counter-point... It's not that championship games are useless, it's that it's really effing stupid to have a team from the Pacific Northwest in the Big 10.

It can be both!

 

[Irish du Nord]

Everything seems extremely straight forward to me except for two things:

1. Would Penn State fall past us with a loss? Would they also fall past Ohio State, who beat them head-to-head?

2. Will SMU fall past Alabama with a loss?

If they don’t fall past us, then results on the field don’t matter. They take the privilege of a potential bye, they have to take the risk that their loss might mean something.

 

[wizards8507]

The committee said losing the conference championship game will not affect seeding. But watch them drop SMU if they lose a close game but keep Penn State in front of us when they lose big.

No they absolutely did not say that, but people keep reporting that for some reason.

The only thing they said is that teams who don't play this weekend won't be re-ranked relative to one another. So like... Penn State could win by 80 and it's not going to make Ohio State jump Notre Dame because Ohio State relative to Notre Dame is set.

 

[DillonHall]

The ACC game is a night game?
I'll be very curious to see what they do with SMU if Clemson beats them. If they drop SMU all the way out, the ACC will riot, and probably rightly so. But maybe the committee doesn't care if that means a Bama-ND first round matchup.

Fuck the ACC. Nothing more than a bunch of middling teams and corrupt refs. It’s dumb to be still be associated with them

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

The committee said losing the conference championship game will not affect seeding. But watch them drop SMU if they lose a close game but keep Penn State in front of us when they lose big.

I don't think they said it wouldn't affect seeding, they said a team wouldn't be penalized. I took that as they wouldn't be dropped out completely if they were a lock to make it going in.

By those rules SMU, Texas, Notre Dame, Boise, UGA, Oregon, Ohio St, Indiana, Tennessee, and Penn St are locks going in, but the seeding is up in the air.
Bama, Clemson, Arizona State, and Iowa State are either playing for the last two spots or are at the mercy of the results.

IF SMU loses, Bama should be out because Clemson would steal their spot.

 

[bcole2]

Anyone see the committee having the Big 12 champ jump Alabama in the final rankings into the 11 seed and then we would still play Bama as the 5 v 12 game? So many possible ways for them to get that matchup they want. Only way to truly avoid it I think is for us to drop to the 7 by having Georgia and Penn State win.

 

[wizards8507]

Anyone see the committee having the Big 12 champ jump Alabama in the final rankings into the 11 seed and then we would still play Bama as the 5 v 12 game? So many possible ways for them to get that matchup they want. Only way to truly avoid it I think is for us to drop to the 7 by having Georgia and Penn State win.

No

 

[Terry Jillery]

The simplest scenario would be for SMU to lose close but stay in the field and take Alabama out entirely. But assuming that a losing SMU would fall past Alabama...

If Texas and Oregon both lose, we play Indiana.

If Texas and Oregon both win, we play Clemson, Arizona State, or Iowa State.

If Texas and Oregon split, we almost certainly play Alabama.

That seems to be the ideal situation but a split feels more likely

 

[PNW Irishman]

The simplest scenario would be for SMU to lose close but stay in the field and take Alabama out entirely. But assuming that a losing SMU would fall past Alabama...

If Texas and Oregon both lose, we play Indiana.

If Texas and Oregon both win, we play Clemson, Arizona State, or Iowa State.

If Texas and Oregon split, we almost certainly play Alabama.

This sec scenario is probably correct. If Texas wins things stay the same for ND. If Georgia wins, we probably drop one.
But I’m not sure we move ahead of Penn st if they lose. The committee is led by a Big Ten man and there has been inherent big ten bias throughout the rankings. I don’t see why that would change now.

 

[wizards8507]

This sec scenario is probably correct. If Texas wins things stay the same for ND. If Georgia wins, we probably drop one.
But I’m not sure we move ahead of Penn st if they lose. The committee is led by a Big Ten man and there has been inherent big ten bias throughout the rankings. I don’t see why that would change now.

I think Ohio State helps us because Penn State will drop behind THEM with a championship game loss.

 

[stlnd01]

This sec scenario is probably correct. If Texas wins things stay the same for ND. If Georgia wins, we probably drop one.
But I’m not sure we move ahead of Penn st if they lose. The committee is led by a Big Ten man and there has been inherent big ten bias throughout the rankings. I don’t see why that would change now.

Let’s say Penn State loses to Oregon by 10.
They’d have lost to the two best teams they played, and taken to the limit by Minnesota and USC.

What is the argument that they are the third best team in the country and deserving of the top seed available to a non-conference champion? Would they be favored to beat any of the other top teams?

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

Penn St will drop below Ohio State if they lose.

 

[jpachuta33]

SIAP, but since the students won’t be in session during the home playoff game, what are they doing with those tickets? Do you think most of the students will come back for that?

 

[rtrn2glory]

They should at least but they just said they're not going to punish teams for losing conference title. Games

 

[INLaw]

Do not want that Arizona state untackleable rb in the snow

 

[domer13]

SIAP, but since the students won’t be in session during the home playoff game, what are they doing with those tickets? Do you think most of the students will come back for that?

The last day of finals ends on Thursday, 12/19. I would say the majority of the students who are usually at the games will be here.

And the dorms stay open until Sunday, 12/22, so the students will have a place to stay.

 

[jpachuta33]

The last day of finals ends on Thursday, 12/19. I would say the majority of the students who are usually at the games will be here.

And the dorms stay open until Sunday, 12/22, so the students will have a place to stay.

Good deal! ☘️

 

[rtrn2glory]

If we would lose to Arizona St, Marcus wouldn't need an extension.

They're solid but shit give me these dudes all day

 

[Huntr]

No team has fucked me harder in my pick em this year than Iowa St. Glad to see them getting one more on me on their last game that matters for the season.

Fuck you. Campbell, you fraud.

 

[Kingbish01]

My gambling buddies are all on PSU big. I don't know what they see, but I'm going to blindly follow. How crazy a day it will be if when the clock strikes midnight tonight...we are the 7 seed. (Say UGA wins too)

 

[PNW Irishman]

Let’s say Penn State loses to Oregon by 10.
They’d have lost to the two best teams they played, and taken to the limit by Minnesota and USC.

What is the argument that they are the third best team in the country and deserving of the top seed available to a non-conference champion? Would they be favored to beat any of the other top teams?

I’m not saying I agree with the rankings, just that the committee has shown a major big ten bias each week and I’m not counting on that changing tomorrow. Penn st should have been behind ND for the last month.

 

[IrishSpartan]

My gambling buddies are all on PSU big. I don't know what they see, but I'm going to blindly follow. How crazy a day it will be if when the clock strikes midnight tonight...we are the 7 seed. (Say UGA wins too)

Oregon might want to be the five seed

 

[Jimmy3Putt]

PAC 10 got zero respect the last decade.
They're about to win the Big 12 and B10.

 

[irishff1014]

Do not want that Arizona state untackleable rb in the snow

He is good but, the tackling for Iowa State is terrible.

 

[Irish du Nord]

The last day of finals ends on Thursday, 12/19. I would say the majority of the students who are usually at the games will be here.

And the dorms stay open until Sunday, 12/22, so the students will have a place to stay.

My goodness, to be at Newfs that Thursday would be nuts

 

[Katzenboyer]

Everything seems extremely straight forward to me except for two things:

1. Would Penn State fall past us with a loss? Would they also fall past Ohio State, who beat them head-to-head?

2. Will SMU fall past Alabama with a loss?

Think another question is does Texas fall below us with a loss in the SECCG.

 

[NDWarrior]

Posting this here too… ASU is tough and a good turnaround story BUT if we get them in the first round at home, MMFF better immediately dial up this November 2014 ASU/ND game and have it playing over and over again… ASU made Kelly and ND look bad. I believe ASU HC was Todd Graham, OC/Assistant HC was Mike Norvell, and Offensive Assistant was - you guessed it - A very young Kenny Dillingham. We owe them some pain! Payback is a bitch!