Irrational Exhuberence
Irrational Exhuberence
Absolutely. I cannot conceive of a scenario where a 10-2 ND gets passed over for a BCS slot.
You're simply not thinking hard enough.
10-2 alone will not get us in the top 14 final rankings, where we need to be for a BCS invite. We need major help on the strength of schedule front. Our only hope is that UM, MSU and OK, each of whom is now at 6-1, do some major winning from here on out. If they have another 4 losses among them, we'll get nowhere near 14 in the final BCS standings even with a 10-2 record.
So, is it likely we'll wind up 10-2? At this point, the projection of us beating both BYU and Stanford is a triumph of hope over reason. Alan Greenspan once referred to this mindset as "irrational exuberance". Have you seen Stanford play this year???? We're at their place on a holiday weekend. They are at least as good as us on D and they have a MUCH BETTER QB. If Hogan started against us last year, Stanford would probably have won the game in regular time. I hope we beat them but that's a fool's bet at this point in time. BYU is also a very good football team and quite capable of beating us. They're no Stanford though.
I guess it's the price of being a Polly: continually setting yourself up for a huge emotional letdown because of unjustifiable expectations.
PS (off topic): What's with the beatification of Reesus over the last day or so? It's one thing if he played himself into a new perception of his ability. It's another to think he's great just because the #2 played like a high school sophomore. Rees is still Rees. He's the primary reason we have two losses and he's not getting better between now and Nov. 26. He'll cost us at least one more regular season game. I fervently hope that doesn't happen but cannot rationally expect otherwise at this point.