-Nile Sykes
+Miles Boykin
+Ashton White
+Josh Adams
+Justin Yoon
-Nile Sykes
+Miles Boykin
+Ashton White
+Josh Adams
+Justin Yoon
Any word on Mahone, or the rumored transfers from the 3-4 to 4-3 conversion?
There are rumored transfers? Who, like, linebackers that don't really have a home anymore? Looking at the depth chart you don't see a lot of likely candidates. And would need to happen before the season, right?
So I see the magic number as 23. That's how many commits they will finished with, along with 5 5th years.
6 remaining recruits:
- 1 RB/QB
- 1 WR
- 1 DL
- 2 LB
- 1 DB
Any word on Mahone, or the rumored transfers from the 3-4 to 4-3 conversion?
Great thread! I have a tough enough time keeping up with what say it is so this helps a lot.
So I see the magic number as 23. That's how many commits they will finished with, along with 5 5th years.
6 remaining recruits:
- 1 RB/QB
- 1 WR
- 1 DL
- 2 LB
- 1 DB
Number has always been in the 22-23 range and I don't think anything that has happened with Sykes or Mahone has really changed that. All it changes is who the spots are allocated to:
RB: absolutely must take one more.
LB: absolutely must take one more, probably want 2.
All other positions are luxuries.
DL: 1-2 with emphasis on pass rusher depending on who wants to come.
DB: Up to 1 more if it's the right guy and we have room.
Offensive skill position: 1-2 if they're the right guys (i.e. the caliber of Newsome or ESB).
QB: Up to 1 if an elite guy decides to change their mind.
OL: 0. Probably don't target any even if we get a flip from Tillery, but possibly consider one more OT if that happens.
So a realistic good finish would be Jamabo, Bilal, Coney, Newsome, Reid + swinging for a late deciding five star somewhere.
If Springmann and Grace are healthy, I dont see how they are not asked back. They both were frequent players, even starters in Grace's case. Unless we have more attrition, I personally think only 5-6 more 2015 recruits are needed:
Jamabo
St. Brown
Coney
Bilal
??? (Hopefully a DE prospect)
I'd say 6-7 at this point. As you stated, the DE prospects (Cowart, Lucier-South) and a DT prospect (Gallimore most likely, Wilkens possibly).
If Councell is able to contribute there is no way that he doesn't play this year imo. I have said this in past threads, but I feel as though linebacker this year will play out similar to safety last year in that there will be some movement until "the guys" are found.
Agreed. And doesn't Councell have two years of eligibility remaining? I don't believe he played as a freshman. He would seem a strong candidate for a fifth year in 2015, is what I meant.
I think this is where we currently stand for 2015:
QB
1) Malik Zaire, Fr. '17
2) Deshone Kizer
RB
3) Tarean Folston, So. '16
4) Greg Bryant, So. '17
WR-slot
5) Amir Carlisle, Sr. '15
6) C.J. Prosise, Jr. '15
7) Torii Hunter, So. '17
WR-boundary
8) Chris Brown, Jr. '15
9) Will Fuller, So. '16
10) Corey Robinson Fr., So. '16
11) Corey Holmes
12) Justin Brent
TE
13) Mike Heuerman, Fr. '17
14) Durham Smythe, Fr. '17
15) Nic Weishar
16) Tyler Luatua
OT
17) Ronnie Stanley, Jr. ‘16
18) Mike McGlinchey, Fr. '17
19) Alex Bars
OT/OG
20) Hunter Biven, Fr. '17
21) Steven Elmer, So. '16
22) Quentin Nelson
OG/C
23) Mark Harrell, Jr. '16
24) Colin McGovern, So. '17
25) John Montelus, So. '17
26) Jimmy Byrne
27) Sam Mustipher
DT
28) Sheldon Day, Jr. '15
29) Jarron Jones, Jr. '16
30) Peter Mokwuah
31) Daniel Cage
SDE
32) Chase Hounsell, Sr. '15
33) Isaac Rochell, Fr. '16
34) Jacob Matuska, So. '17
35) Jay Hayes
36) Grant Blankenship
Rush End (WDE)
37) Romeo Okwara, Jr. '15
38) Andrew Trumbetti
39) Jhonnie Williams
40) Jonathan Bonner
SAM
41) John Turner, Jr. '16
42) Kolin Hill
43) Dough Randolph, So. '17
MIKE
44) Michael Deeb, So. '17
45) Nyles Morgan
46) Greer Martini
WILL / OLB
47) Jaylon Smith, Fr. '16
48) James Onwualu, So. '16
49) Dru Tranquil
SS
50) Nicky Baratti, Jr. '15
51) Elijah Shumate, Jr. '15
FS
52) Max Redfield, So. '16
CB
53) Cole Luke, Fr. '16
54) Devin Butler, So. '16
55) Nick Watkins
ST
56) Scott Daly, Jr. '16
57) Tyler Newsome
28 spots for recruits and 5th years
Certain Redshirt Offers (depending on health/NFL)
58) Everett Golson, Sr. '15
59) Nick Martin, Sr. '15
60) Eilar Hardy, Sr. '15 (look at the depth chart!)
Really, 25 spots for recruiting needs and other 5th years
Commits
61) RB1 (ATH)- Josh Adams
62) WR1- Jalen Guyton
63) WR2- CJ Sanders
64) WR3- Miles Boykin
65) OL1- Jerry Tillery
66) OL2- Tristen Hoge
67) OL3- Trevor Ruhland
68) DT1 - Brandon Tiassum
69) DT2- Elijah Taylor
70) DT/DE - Micah Dew-Treadway
71) LB1- Josh Barajas
72) CB1 - Nick Coleman
73) CB2 - Shaun Crawford
74) CB4- Ashton White
75) S - Nicco Fertitta
76) S - Prentice McKinney
77) K- Justin Yoon
Recruiting Needs
78) RB2-
79) WDE-
80) LB2-
Leaving 5 spots for best available and 5th years.
81) ???
82) ???
83) ???
84) ???
85) ???
Likely Redshirt (depending on health)
BenCouncell
Tony Springmann
Jarrett Grace
Matt Hegarty
Connor Hanratty
Other Redshirt Possibilities
Matthias Farley
Joe Schmidt
Anthony Rabasa
Jalen Brown
Off to the NFL (both would definitly get a spot if they wanted it--as things stand.)
DaVaris Daniels
KeiVarae Russell
If you add KeiVarae Russell and take off Amir Carlisle and Chase Hounsell, you're list is consistent with the OP, leaving us with 29 spots available. I think KVR is more likely to return than not, and I suspect you just made a mistake with Amir and Chase as they should be listed with 5Y options.
With 17 commits at the moment, we are left with 12 spots for '15 recruits and 5Y. Looking at the most likely 5Y to return, IMO it's Golson and Martin. I think Daniels is NFL bound. Amir's fate may be tied to recruiting/health more than any other player, but I like his chances to return whether we bring in two RBs in this class or not. If I had to pick the next two most likely to include in a top 5 (a pretty safe # for 5Y), I'd go with Councell and Hardy.
So that leaves 9 guys -- Hegarty, Hanratty, Springmann, Hounsell, Rabassa, Grace, Schmidt, Brown and Farley -- competing for 7 spots with the '15 recruits. Something to consider is that a 5Y in '15 opens up a '16 scholarship, so the question isn't '15 recruit vs. 5Y, it's '15 recruit vs. 5Y and '16 recruit. The '16 class is on track to be really small at what should be an opportune time in recruiting for ND.
We're at the point in the '15 class that we're only bringing in top guys and could bring in up to six if what we've been hearing about the number is true. I think a safe # is five more '15 recruits (who could all be studs like ESB, Soso, Bilal, Coney + a surprise or two), which leaves those nine 5Y above fighting for 2 spots, but more likely 3-4 due to attrition between now and signing day (6 months).
As you and others have said, I don't envy the hard decisions the staff will need to make. The good news is we should go into Spring 2015 with all 85 scholarships accounted for as any holes will be filled by quality 5Y options and any "misses" will open up spots in what could be a special '16 class.
Cowart is not an option.