In their four losses, here was their net success rate differential:
So they outplayed their opponents 3 out of 4 times with one "even" game against Miami. Fumbles... which are mostly sheer dumb luck... and other mistakes have doomed them. If they ever play a "clean" game they would be VERY good. They should have beaten Top 5 FSU.
If they are as self-destructive as usual against ND then I like ND to win but at some point they have to stop aiming the shotgun at their foot. They have been extremely unlucky this year and with "normal" luck they'd be 7-1 at worst.
Sorry, but no Lax.
You can't wash away 4 losses to sheer dumb luck. If they keep happening, that's not luck, that's part of their identity. Period.
And even in the Duke game, Duke made several unforced errors. Hell, Clemson's only TD that game came off a muffed punt. They also fumbled the ball late in the first half when they were in scoring position to take the lead. Duke adjusted and made the necessary plays. That "bad luck" argument goes both ways.
Klubnik throwing dumb picks isn't bad luck. Nor is their poor ball security. One or two times can be explained away, but not the number of times it has happened.
Keep in mind too, that these aren't really good teams they are losing to. ND is better than the 4 teams they lost to. Yeah, I'm not buying the FSU hype. Had Leonard not gotten hurt, they lose that game to Duke at home. They're a paper tiger. So while Clemson may not have the same "bad luck" in this game, they also likely won't have the same number of chances to succumb to said "bad luck" in this game, because ND's defense is a step above all 4 of those teams. And in spite of the struggles, ND's offense is better the likes of Miami, Duke and NC State. As they say, luck is where preparation meets opportunity. ND's defense isn't just good, but they're opportunistic. They pray off of opposition's errors and lapses in play. Clemson's offense meanwhile, shows poor preparation when the opportunity arises. That falls back to coaching.
I just don't understand how you get to 28. Clemson hasn't scored 28 in any of their 4 losses, and it can't be explained away by bad luck. Even against Wake, they only managed 17 points. Clemson has managed more than 24 points against a Power 5 opponent ONCE all season, which was 31 against Syracuse, who is the worst team in the ACC. Their defense has given up 38+ and over 520 yards in the last 3 ACC games. So what makes it that Clemson is magically going to put up a similar number against one of the top defenses in the country, barring just a complete collapse or "bad luck" from ND?