CFP - 2022

[Old Man Mike]

Probably right but the commentators have been loving Michigan all season.
There's some emotion in this.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

I think Clemson with an ACC title gets in over Michigan who won’t even have made the B1G championship game. Michigans schedule is truly pathetic this year.

It really is. Penn State and Michigan State really softened up their conference schedule. It's basically become a one game play-in with pOSU. The committee probably won't let them in with one loss if there's a one loss conference champion given the SOS.

And that would be a glorious scenario.

If it comes down to 12-1 Clemson vs. 11-1 scUM, you can ask the same question for both teams: Who did you beat? Ranked opponents:

scUM: (10) Penn State.
Clemson: (21) Wake Forest, (10) NC State, (14) Syracuse and (hypothetically), (10-13) UNC, conference championship.

That's an easy argument.

 

[stlnd01]

My dumb prediction: Georgia vs TCU, and OSU vs Tennessee. If no TCU, then, I think, USC. If ND somehow beats USC, then MI.
I have a hard time seeing anyone else assuming GA beats LSU, and OSU beats MI by two scores. Even a win-out Clemson seems to have no credibility given our asskicking them. (plus us asskicking UNC, their only other semi-credible win possibility.)

It'll be really interesting if Tennessee makes it in over multiple one-loss conference champs (USC, Clemson) without having even played for their conference title AND having gotten rolled by a fellow CFP entrant. Makes the whole "conference titles matter" argument hard to take seriously, even if Clemson, in particular will have had a pretty soft schedule.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

It'll be really interesting if Tennessee makes it in over multiple one-loss conference champs (USC, Clemson) without having even played for their conference title AND having gotten rolled by a fellow CFP entrant. Makes the whole "conference titles matter" argument hard to take seriously, even if Clemson, in particular will have had a pretty soft schedule.

This argument only applies for Notre Dame.

 

[NDRock]

This argument only applies for Notre Dame.

It’s been fun living in Tennessee and telling everyone it’s too bad they can’t make the playoffs this year since they won’t be in the CCG. They seem to be changing their tune on the importance of a 13th game.

 

[stlnd01]

This argument only applies for Notre Dame.

That's what I meant by "interesting."
It'll also be "interesting" if we were the team that beat two of those one-loss conference champs, and have a closer loss to Ohio State than Tennessee's was to Georgia.* Damn Marshall/Stanford.

*Yes Georgia would absolutely curbstomp us. We have no business in the playoffs even if we'd managed to squeak out those two dumb losses.

 

[ACamp1900]

*Yes Georgia would absolutely curbstomp us. We have no business in the playoffs,...

 

[Irish du Nord]

That's what I meant by "interesting."
It'll also be "interesting" if we were the team that beat two of those one-loss conference champs, and have a closer loss to Ohio State than Tennessee's was to Georgia.* Damn Marshall/Stanford.

*Yes Georgia would absolutely curbstomp us. We have no business in the playoffs even if we'd managed to squeak out those two dumb losses.

Put the ball down, let's line those puppies up. Mitch Evans 5 yard draws till Kirby cries his way home.

Italics?

 

[Dale]

11 - 0 Georgia
11 - 0 Ohio State
11 - 0 Michigan
11 - 0 TCU
10 - 1 USC
10 - 1 Clemson
9 - 2 LSU
8 - 2 Oregon (playing now)

Think these are the teams in play at this point.

Tennessee I think this is too late to lose without a conference title and Hooker looked like he’ll be out anyways.

Clemson absolutely has a shot if they win out and we beat USC.

Oregon I think is unlikely but has some sort of life support if they win out and beat a 11 - 1 USC given Nix left the Washington game.

LSUs resume took a hit today but if they actually were to beat Georgia can’t be ignored if chaos happens.

 

[GATTACA!]

11 - 0 Georgia
11 - 0 Ohio State
11 - 0 Michigan
11 - 0 TCU
10 - 1 USC
10 - 1 Clemson
9 - 2 LSU
8 - 2 Oregon (playing now)

Think these are the teams in play at this point.

Tennessee I think this is too late to lose without a conference title and Hooker looked like he’ll be out anyways.

Clemson absolutely has a shot if they win out and we beat USC.

Oregon I think is unlikely but has some sort of life support if they win out and beat a 11 - 1 USC given Nix left the Washington game.

LSUs resume took a hit today but if they actually were to beat Georgia can’t be ignored if chaos happens.

I think it's

1 Georgia
2 OSU/Michigan
3 TCU
4 USC
5 Clemson

Everyone else needs total chaos to get in.

 

[phillyirish]

I think it's

1 Georgia
2 OSU/Michigan
3 TCU
4 USC
5 Clemson

Everyone else needs total chaos to get in.

Louisiana State is in if the win out.

 

[Crazy Balki]

I have to wonder if Michigan loses, would they get in over Clemson, should they win out.

Clemson would be 12-1 and have wins over North Carolina (9-2), Florida State (8-3), Louisville (7-4), NC State (7-4), Wake Forest (7-4), South Carolina (7-4) and Syracuse (6-5).

Michigan would be 11-1 and have wins over Penn State (9-2), Iowa (7-4), Illinois (7-4) and Maryland (6-5).

By all accounts, Clemson has the better resume of wins to date, with more quality wins. Eventually, the playoff committee has to punish poor SoS, and Michigan is that epitomized.

Sorry, but there's no justifying Michigan with a loss to Ohio State, getting in over 12-1 Clemson.

Clemson and Michigan/Ohio State fans are going to be rooting hard for us this week to knock off USC, because that eliminates the Pac-12 from the playoff discussion almost entirely.

 

[CanadalovesND]

ND has a chance to jump up, maybe more than just a spot or two.

#10 Utah, #13 North Carolina, #14 Ole Miss, & #16 UCLA all lost.

 

[arrowryan]

No way an 11-1 Michigan gets in over conference champ Clemson.

Michigan played the worst OOC schedule in the country and they’ll pay the consequence.

 

[stlnd01]

Assuming Clemson wins out and Michigan loses to OSU…

Michigan would have the same record, no conference title, and a win over, what, one ranked team?

What would be the argument for putting them in ahead of Clemson?

 

[Riddickulous]

No way an 11-1 Michigan gets in over conference champ Clemson.

Michigan played the worst OOC schedule in the country and they’ll pay the consequence.

Might depend on how badly Michigan loses to OSU in that scenario. Clemson had a better schedule but they got destroyed by a 8-4/9-3 Notre Dame that lost to Marshall and Stanford.

 

[arrowryan]

Might depend on how badly Michigan loses to OSU in that scenario. Clemson had a better schedule but they got destroyed by a 8-4/9-3 Notre Dame that lost to Marshall and Stanford.

A 12-1 conference champ has never been left out of the playoff

 

[stlnd01]

A 12-1 conference champ has never been left out of the playoff

Could see Clemson being left out if Tennessee were still in the mix, or if LSU beats Georgia. Someone with some actual good wins might get in to the fourth spot ahead of them. But Michigan doesn't really have that on their resume.

 

[Irish du Nord]

Louisiana State is in if the win out.

They wont

 

[Dale]

A 12-1 conference champ has never been left out of the playoff

Yeah the only way Clemson is left out at 12 - 1 is if everyone else wins out: Georgia, OSU/Michigan, TCU, USC

 

[arrowryan]

Yeah the only way Clemson is left out at 12 - 1 is if everyone else wins out: Georgia, OSU/Michigan, TCU, USC

Yeah this year someone had to get left out if there’s multiple 12-1 conference champs. College football finally has a season that justifies a playoff expansion.

 

[WilliamWallace]

Will we be back in the top ten with a win at USC?

Crazy to think that’s a possibility with the way this season has gone. Currently sitting at #13, with #5 in our sights!

 

[IrishSpartan]

Could we play bama in the holiday bowl?

 

[WilliamWallace]

I’m hoping we play LSU after they lose again.

That would be something to see!

 

[FOTY977]

That would be something to see!

Would like to have a functional quarterback for that matchup, but definitely one I’d like to see happen

 

[IrishTusker]

I agree, I think Michigan would have to win out to get in. OSU would get credit for beating us so they could get in even if they lose I think.

 

[IrishSpartan]

Hooker tore his ACL? What the hell did BK do to The football gods

 

[dad4aa]

Sucks for him he was having a hell of a season.

 

[Sea Turtle]

I think USC gets in and I think they can win it all by just outscoring everybody.

 

[Sea Turtle]

I’m hoping we play LSU after they lose again.

Are you hoping to catch the flu this week too? They'd beat us.