Would you agree that this is the least proven/talented group of returning WRs we've had in the Kelly era? Looking at the guys we've run out there from '10 until now it sure seems like it.
Actually, I don't think so. Going into 2012, things looked pretty bad if you leave out TEs. Not only was there no proven production, but there was very little depth and the talent was young.
Experience:
1) TJ Jones, Jr. (5'11", skinny, 38 catches and 366 yards, 3 TDs in 2011 -- decent #2, but seemed questionable as number 1 with that build and skill set)
2) Robby Toma (tiny, played b/c of injuries, caught 19 balls for 207 yards and 1 TD in 2011)
3) John Goodman (had done close to nothing first three years -seven passes for 65 yards)
4) Daniel Smith (Played 2 games in 2011)
Red-shirts and freshman
1) Davaris Daniels (red shirt raised some eyebrows)
2) Davonte Neal(5'9" 5-star freshman)
3) Chris Brown (3-star freshman)
So comparing my confidence going in...
2012 vs. 2018
TJ Jones, Jr. vs. Chase Claypool - WASH. Numbers are similar. Jones had made some good catches. And we know in hindsight that he became Mr. Consistency (which has been a tendency in Kelly era). But he was not there yet. Claypool has FAR more talent, but is currently inconsistent. This is a good football player who looked like he had an obvious ceiling vs. a more raw player with incredible upside.
Robby Toma vs. Michael Young - 2018. Toma was tiny, but had great hands (he also had a good 40 yd, which was somewhat surprising). Young is bigger, and seems more talented, meaner, quicker, and just as fearless. Toma had some clutch catches, and was important on the 2012 campaign, but there was nothing about him that screamed irreplaceable at that time at all.
Goodman/Smith vs. Finke/Boykin/Canteen - 2018 (obvious) - Goodman and Smith were kind of big and not that fast. Goodman had pretty good hands but was not that strong. Smith was pretty strong but had not that good hands. Finke is proven production and can actually make plays. He is currently the best pure WR of the bunch easily, although he is not a great blocker. Boykin has all the good qualities of Goodman and Smith, but with more upside. Canteen seems like a practice squad guy, but may have wheels when healthy.
Davaris Daniels vs. Armstrong/McKinnley/Jones- 2012. I was definitively more excited about Daniels than I was about either of these guys, and the excitement was warranted when he was healthy. But Daniels and McKinnley had similar projections from recruiting services, Armstrong is built like an NFL player, there are three of them, and DD was always a question mark off-the-field.
Neal vs. Austin. WASH (lean 2018). Neal was dynamic, but had already shown himself to be super high-maintenance, and was pretty darn small. He was a slot/returner. We thought he was finally going to be that ultra-productive slot guy that Kelly had at UC, but that never happened at ND. Austin seems college ready, has a complete skill set, and has his head screwed on straight. Personally, I'd rather have a freshman like Austin, than a freshman like Neal as an every down WR.
Brown vs. Lenzy/Keys - 2018 (obvious). Brown was a speed guy, but Lenzy is faster and more dynamic. Austin is also probably just as fast, and seems more skilled and more prepared. There are also two of them. Brown had a great play in 2012 and a good senior season. Hat tip.
Projected starters - 2012 (not as obvious at the time -- we know Jones developed and Daniels lived up to his billing when healthy and engaged, but we have no idea how McKinnley, Armstrong, and Austin will turn out)
Jones
Daniels
Toma/Neal
vs.
Claypool
Young
Finke/Boykin/Armstrong/McKinnly/Boykin/Austin
2012 seems pretty promising, if Daniels emerges as your #1, which was easier to picture than Claypool becoming that guy. Also it seemed like Neal would play a lot.
2012 depth vs. 2018 depth - 2018 (obvious). This was the achilles heel of 2012. If Daniels was not as good as hoped or if Jones or Daniels got injured, you ended up with nothing much at all behind them.