According to Monday's Sagarin's Predictor Model, in possible head to head matchups for ND in Nashville, the spreads would be:
UMD +7.5
UL +7
SU + 7.5
CON -4.5
During the season ND beat UMD 87-83 on 1/27/14 in College Park. Achonwa played 21 minutes in that game with 7 pts, 3 rebs, 1 assist, 3 PFs.
Without Achonwa ND could be (should be) the dog in all those games.
My worst fear all season was Achonwa in early foul trouble and Reimer have to play much more than her usual 18 minutes. ND has depth but not height in depth. Achonwa is the leading rebounder, 3rd leading scorer, leading % shooter, third assist maker, 2nd in blocks, and 5th in steals. On the negative side Ace leads the team in Turnovers.
Reimer averages 18 minutes a game, is an aggressive inside player but prone to foul problems. If Achonwa is out Reimer and Braker have to stay out of foul trouble. Playing against Alyssa Thomas or Shoney Schimmel doesn't lend itself to that.