if we win out we'll probably finish around 10th and so no way we don't make a new years six bowl game
Athletic talked about this last week, BEFORE ND was screwed by the past weekend’s results, & ND had less than a 50% chance then of making a NY6 game.
They went through all the at-large and tie-in scenarios that involve ND, & ND needs 2 if 4 teams to lose another regular season game, then lose CCG or not make the CCG.
If a team goes to the CCG and loses, finishing 11-2, they will get the bid over a 10-2 ND who didn’t go to the CCG.
ND needs them to lose 2 regular season games, and not make the CCG, finishing 10-2, thus the Bowl Selection Committee could choose ND over them. (Not guaranteed).
Or for them to go 10-3 & same scenario.
If a team finished 11-1, then loses the CCG, finishing 11-2, they get a bid over ND.
ND needs two of Texas, Bama, PSU or one of the PAC teams to lose another regular season game. (Maybe UNC, they were undefeated at the time).
And no team has ever made a NY6 game with 0 ranked wins.
If USC continues, which I think they will, they won’t be ranked.
Duke, without Leonard, could finish unranked.
And Louisville, who beat ND, after losing to Pitt, with more losses will finish unranked.
Clemson obviously will finish unranked with loss to ND.
ND could finish the season with 0 ranked wins, & only 1 ranked opponent, being a loss.
The 2019 ND team went 10-2, beat a top 20 team by 4 scores, only 2 losses were against top 20 teams, (so 3 ranked opponents), & didn’t get a NY6.
Even if ND wins out, it’s less than a 50% chance they get a NY6 game without help.