NDMatt91
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I still can't understand why a group of alumni/boosters haven't started a collective that is competitive1) ND is obviously NOT interested in winning an NC at all costs. They are focused on their mission and their brand, which they often conflate and confuse. This is not a bad thing, but it is different than OSU and Bama.
2) Unless ND starts paying, ND is going to struggle against schools that are bigger, party more, and have almost no standards for athletes. These are kids with NFL aspirations, so college football is their vocational school. Why would they chose a school where academics is going to be a real challenge? Answer: a few top kids are really smart, a few top kids are competitive in everything, a few top kids value education for its own sake, a few kids are wise enough to hedge their bets, and a few top kids are either ND fans or grew up close-by--we do pretty well with all of these types of kids.
But the reality is a certain number of the top 50 kids are just NEVER going to consider ND as is. If UGA has a real shot at 40 of the top 50 kids a year, they may land 5 in a good year. If ND only has a legit shot with, say, 5-10 of those kids, they are going to be lucky to land 1. This is just reality.
I’m not that impressed with the whole blue chip rate thing. Steve Angeli, as the 43rd ranked QB, is counted the same as a 5* player. We’re not getting any more elite kids under Freeman. We’re trading in some high ranked 3* kids for low ranked 4*s. It’s better but unlikely it will be enough to get us closer to a NC.
Hopefully some of these kids become difference makers regardless of what they’re ranked.
From 2013-2017 on the 247 composite there were 1,739 blue-chip recruits. 626 of them have been drafted or have played in at least 1 NFL game. That's a 36.0% hit rate.
2013 (344)-121 (35.2%)
2014 (344)-122 (35.5%)
2015 (351)-127 (36.2%)
2016 (347)-125 (36.0%)
2017 (353)-131 (37.1%)
I looked at the top 500 players and each class and compiled the total number of hits and the hit rate for each range of players (per 50 spots):
1-50: 177 (70.8%)
51-100: 110 (44.0%)
101-150: 85 (34.0%)
151-200: 77 (30.8%)
201-250: 61 (24.4%)
251-300: 63 (25.2%)
301-350: 52 (20.8%)
351-400: 50 (20.0%)
401-450: 52 (20.8%)
451-500: 50 (20.0%)
