National Recruiting Thread

[ResLife Hero]

So maybe stars do matter a bit

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>.<a href="https://twitter.com/yssd">@yssd</a> 2 out of every 5 5-stars go on to get drafted, while for 2-stars, it's 1 out of every 105.</p>— SB Nation Recruiting (@SBNRecruiting) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBNRecruiting/statuses/464477742852214784">May 8, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[jimmymac]

So maybe stars do matter a bit

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>.<a href="https://twitter.com/yssd">@yssd</a> 2 out of every 5 5-stars go on to get drafted, while for 2-stars, it's 1 out of every 105.</p>— SB Nation Recruiting (@SBNRecruiting) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBNRecruiting/statuses/464477742852214784">May 8, 2014</a></blockquote>
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There's also tons and tons more 2 stars then there are 5... Not really a fair comparison.

 

[ResLife Hero]

There's also tons and tons more 2 stars then there are 5... Not really a fair comparison.

If everyone was evaluated equally, it would actually support that there's a correlation, but as prospects are evaluated more highly, they are critiqued more closely. I think that's why there odds jump as much as they do - if you're going to be a 5 star, then you're going to have been evaluated extensively, pitted against top-flight competition and there will be as few unknowns as possible. 3 and 2 stars are oftentimes not as heavily evaluated so it's more of a crapshoot.

I guess my point in posting it was that even though we like the upside of a lot of 3 star guys, being a 5 star historically carries over to longer-term success.

 

[ndfi78]

You have to look at percentages and when doing that stars do matter. They aren't the end-all-be-all but the are a good indicator.

 

[Pops Freshenmeyer]

So maybe stars do matter a bit

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>.<a href="https://twitter.com/yssd">@yssd</a> 2 out of every 5 5-stars go on to get drafted, while for 2-stars, it's 1 out of every 105.</p>— SB Nation Recruiting (@SBNRecruiting) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBNRecruiting/statuses/464477742852214784">May 8, 2014</a></blockquote>
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Am I reading that correctly? There is a 60% chance that any random 5 star recruit will not eventually be drafted by the NFL?

 

[TheChosen1]

GIF: What States Produce the Most First and Second Round NFL Draft Picks? | The Big Lead

 

[ab2cmiller]

Am I reading that correctly? There is a 60% chance that any random 5 star recruit will not eventually be drafted by the NFL?

 

[ResLife Hero]

Recruiting through the draft:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p><a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Buckeyes&src=hash">#Buckeyes</a> marketing to recruits RT <a href="https://twitter.com/CDoss_LGHL">@CDoss_LGHL</a>: 2015 OL Matthew Burrell RT <a href="https://twitter.com/__Triumphant">@__Triumphant</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23DraftDay&src=hash">#DraftDay</a> <a href="http://t.co/FNOKOv2p70">pic.twitter.com/FNOKOv2p70</a></p>— SB Nation Recruiting (@SBNRecruiting) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBNRecruiting/statuses/464500935101001728">May 8, 2014</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Nobody sells recruits on draft better RT <a href="https://twitter.com/tylersiskey">@tylersiskey</a>: A Crimson stAte of mind! Who's next? <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23BuiltByBama&src=hash">#BuiltByBama</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23NFLDraft&src=hash">#NFLDraft</a> <a href="http://t.co/z4WO3WPyKi">pic.twitter.com/z4WO3WPyKi</a></p>— SB Nation Recruiting (@SBNRecruiting) <a href="https://twitter.com/SBNRecruiting/statuses/464489864692793344">May 8, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[Cackalacky]

A crimson state of mind usually means big trouble for me at home. #poorwording

 

[Whiskeyjack]

Am I reading that correctly? There is a 60% chance that any random 5 star recruit will not eventually be drafted by the NFL?

2/5 would be 40%, no? Be warned: I didn't go to law school to play math.

 

[Cackalacky]

2/5 would be 40%, no? Be warned: I didn't go to law school to play math.

So that would mean 60% don't get drafted like Pops said. IDK?

the door is over there

 

[Whiskeyjack]

So that would mean 60% don't get drafted like Pops said. IDK?

the door is over there

Apparently I didn't go to law school to play reading either. But in my defense, "not" is a tiny easy-to-miss word that rarely* affects the actual meaning of the sentence.





*Completely untrue.

 

[GBdomer]

Nothing against Matthew Burrell but he is up there as just one of the ugliest prospects I have ever seen.

 

[johnnycando]

A crimson state of mind usually means big trouble for me at home. #poorwording

BwahahahahA.

"Seriously babe? Already again!?"

Damn hilarious.

 

[Cackalacky]

BwahahahahA.

"Seriously babe? Already again!?"

Damn hilarious.

That Ohio State girl that does NDs stuff needs to get going. When all of our guys get drafted she be like #GoldenShower. #ItsRainingNDMen.

 

[GATTACA!]

2/5 would be 40%, no? Be warned: I didn't go to law school to play math.

So that would mean 60% don't get drafted like Pops said. IDK?

the door is over there

Let's just compromise and call it 50/50

 

[Whiskeyjack]

That Ohio State girl that does NDs stuff needs to get going. When all of our guys get drafted she be like #GoldenShower. #ItsRainingNDMen.

Elika Sadeghi. One of the very few female sports personalities that's worth following on Twitter. Oh, and she's purdy too:

 

[Cackalacky]

Elika Sadeghi. One of the very few female sports personalities that's worth following on Twitter. Oh, and she's purdy too:

@SteakNstiffarms eh?

 

[Bishop2b5]

Am I reading that correctly? There is a 60% chance that any random 5 star recruit will not eventually be drafted by the NFL?

I think that's probably incorrect. A few years ago, someone (I think it was SI) did some analysis of the previous several years and found that 50% of 5-star recruits went on to be selected in the first 3 rounds of the draft (and we can safely assume that several more got drafted in later rounds), 10% of 4-star recruits went in the first 3 rounds, 3% of 3-star recruits, and less than 1% of 2-star and below recruits were eventually selected in the first 3 rounds.

 

[STLDomer]

“@BruceFeldmanCFB: 25% of the first-round picks are Florida kids: Bortles, Watkins, Mack, Shazier, Pryor, Clinton-Dix, Benjamin, Bridgewater.”

 

[GoldenToTheGrave]

Elika Sadeghi. One of the very few female sports personalities that's worth following on Twitter. Oh, and she's purdy too:

Love me some Persian women.

 

[ResLife Hero]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>W/ the <a href="https://twitter.com/nfl">@nfl</a> draft kicking off last night, a reminder that it's College Football not Football College. <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23GetYourDegree&src=hash">#GetYourDegree</a> <a href="http://t.co/TaVANi12M6">pic.twitter.com/TaVANi12M6</a></p>— Herb Hand (@CoachHand) <a href="https://twitter.com/CoachHand/statuses/464748113178402816">May 9, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[Kaneyoufeelit]

Elika Sadeghi. One of the very few female sports personalities that's worth following on Twitter. Oh, and she's purdy too:

She is seriously the love of my life. She once called me 'boo' and said that she loved me

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p><a href="https://twitter.com/IHateLawSchool">@IHateLawSchool</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/darlinglaurling">@darlinglaurling</a> love you too, Boo</p>— Elika Sadeghi (@steakNstiffarms) <a href="https://twitter.com/steakNstiffarms/statuses/343249111694311424">June 8, 2013</a></blockquote>
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[Pops Freshenmeyer]

I think that's probably incorrect. A few years ago, someone (I think it was SI) did some analysis of the previous several years and found that 50% of 5-star recruits went on to be selected in the first 3 rounds of the draft (and we can safely assume that several more got drafted in later rounds), 10% of 4-star recruits went in the first 3 rounds, 3% of 3-star recruits, and less than 1% of 2-star and below recruits were eventually selected in the first 3 rounds.

Yeah, it definitely seemed low to me.

 

[ResLife Hero]

CJ Conrad commits to Cats

C.J. Conrad to UK

 

[ResLife Hero]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>The <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Hoosiers&src=hash">#Hoosiers</a> hold off <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Wisconsin&src=hash">#Wisconsin</a> for in-state DE Jacob Robinson. He talks <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23IUFB&src=hash">#IUFB</a>: <a href="http://t.co/oc8A86VO8A">http://t.co/oc8A86VO8A</a> via <a href="https://twitter.com/247Sports">@247Sports</a></p>— Steve Wiltfong (@SWiltfong247) <a href="https://twitter.com/SWiltfong247/statuses/464849266305798145">May 9, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[zelezo vlk]

That IU football.

 

[ResLife Hero]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p><a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23PennState&src=hash">#PennState</a> has added a commitment from Washington D.C. safety Ayron Monroe. <a href="http://t.co/b6TZVHrjgp">http://t.co/b6TZVHrjgp</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/247Sports">@247Sports</a></p>— Sean Fitz (@seanfitz247) <a href="https://twitter.com/seanfitz247/statuses/465171019922432000">May 10, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[ResLife Hero]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Recruiting on the South Plains | ATH Jonathan Giles Commits to Texas Tech <a href="http://t.co/AEd5ylRZBK">http://t.co/AEd5ylRZBK</a></p>— Viva The Matadors (@vivathematador) <a href="https://twitter.com/vivathematador/statuses/465217543322361856">May 10, 2014</a></blockquote>
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[ResLife Hero]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Oklahoma State <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23GoPokes&src=hash">#GoPokes</a> have picked up a big commitment from <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%23ESPN300&src=hash">#ESPN300</a> No. 73 <a href="https://twitter.com/Jlane1400blk">@Jlane1400blk</a> (Nacogdoches, Tx). 6-2 scheme versatile corner</p>— Gerry Hamilton (@HamiltonESPN) <a href="https://twitter.com/HamiltonESPN/statuses/465509241835778048">May 11, 2014</a></blockquote>
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