Gambling Degenerate Thread

[RDU Irish]

Parlay Illinois +6.5 and over 52.5 - gotta love CFB. First quarter I marked it DOA with the 0-2 score. Then I get drawn back in as points start piling up. Illinois up 16-30 going in to the fourth quarter had me feeling good - one TD plus PAT and I win. Texted some folks as Nebraska is driving late that they will score the TD and miss the PAT to screw me over. Sho nuff.

 

[IrishLax]

Alright, so if we want to get REAL degenerate lets talk Premier Lacrosse League... I'm all in on Atlas -150 against the Chaos. Can find this line on DraftKings or Caesars. I won't waste your time on a full breakdown, but the valuation seems way off to me with what I know about the players/coaches on both sides. I think the Atlas win a game like this at least 4 out of 5 times.

 

[RDU Irish]

This weekend's picks for me (keep in mind going opposite me is usually profitable).

UGA +3
UNC -5 @ VT
Bama -18 in Atlanta over Miami
LA Lafayette +7.5 vs Texas
ND -7.5
4 of 5 parlay - 12.8x if all 5 win, 2.6x if 4 of 5 win

I like LA Lafayette and UGA straight up. UGA not worth it as a 3 point dog though, I'll take the points.

 

[arrowryan]

For Thursday, I’m taking UNC -5.5 and OSU -13.5

 

[RDU Irish]

15:1 for Wu to get defensive rookie of the year.

55:1 Courtland Sutton to be receiving yardage leader is a better bet than Claypool at 50:1 (Diggs 9:1, Adams 7:1, Kelce 11:1 - I would give better than 1/3rd odds one of those three pull it down.)

 

[RDU Irish]

Derrick Henry 4:1 to be rushing yards leader? Seems he should be stronger favorite than that?

 

[Irish#1]

What is it about this board that we always have this guy?

lol

 

[Irish#1]

It's not a true Degenerate Gambler thread until someone posts a story about losing all his money on a booze & coke filled weekend in Atlantic City and having to either blow a dude in a bus station bathroom or rob a liquor store to have enough money to get back home.

Please tell us more about that weekend.

 

[Dale]

What is everyone cooking up here right before kickoff? The PSU/Wisconsin line is tricky and even though I don’t trust Clifford took the +5.5. I don’t trust Clifford but also am not blind trusting all of UW’s offensive issues were COVID related

 

[IrishLax]

I just think 5.5 points is a ton given how little that we know about these teams right now. Not betting on the game, but if I did it'd be PSU.

 

[DCDomer]

Army for plus money is legalized robbery

 

[EvilleIrish]

Just saw a power rating that had us at 37…Vegas definitely doesn’t like us this year.

 

[EvilleIrish]

28 in SP+

 

[BobbyMac]

Who had a good week?

I went 15-5 ATS and 3-2 O/U. Low key $50 per except invested in my locks = Bama, K State, UGA & Ole Miss

My losers = ND, SJSU, WV, IA St, Temple.

AZ goes legal on Thursday. No more monkey business thank goodness.

 

[notredomer23]

I have a formula inherited from some twitter gamblers that has paid well the last few years in betting on losing teams from week 1 as favorites in week 2 against inferior opponents.

With that in mind:

Wisconsin -25.5 against EMU
UNC -25.5 against GA State
Miami -9 against App State

Will be awaiting an FSU line.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

I have a formula inherited from some twitter gamblers that has paid well the last few years in betting on losing teams from week 1 as favorites in week 2 against inferior opponents.

With that in mind:

Wisconsin -25.5 against EMU
UNC -25.5 against GA State
Miami -9 against App State

Will be awaiting an FSU line.

Oof, I'm not touching Miami/App State. That has danger written all over it against a team that does not shy away from a challenge.

 

[IrishLax]

I have a formula inherited from some twitter gamblers that has paid well the last few years in betting on losing teams from week 1 as favorites in week 2 against inferior opponents.

With that in mind:

Wisconsin -25.5 against EMU
UNC -25.5 against GA State
Miami -9 against App State

Will be awaiting an FSU line.

This is super interesting. Basically playing against the “overreaction”.

I’m probably an idiot, but I’m doing the opposite and am all in on Iowa +4.5 against Iowa State. I liked Iowa to win the game outright before the season, and then ironically they crushed Indiana and ISU struggled with Northern Iowa and now it seems like the “obvious” choice.

 

[notredomer23]

This is super interesting. Basically playing against the “overreaction”.

I’m probably an idiot, but I’m doing the opposite and am all in on Iowa +4.5 against Iowa State. I liked Iowa to win the game outright before the season, and then ironically they crushed Indiana and ISU struggled with Northern Iowa and now it seems like the “obvious” choice.

Love Iowa here too. I do think Indiana is a fraud but Iowa-ISU is always a close game.

On the note of the formulaic plays, I think I am gonna substitute Miami for Minnesota. Alabama beats teams up and as Some Irish Bloke said App State is capable. Minnesota is 20 point favorites against a Miami OH team that just got walloped by Cincy.

 

[EvilleIrish]

I have a formula inherited from some twitter gamblers that has paid well the last few years in betting on losing teams from week 1 as favorites in week 2 against inferior opponents.

With that in mind:

Wisconsin -25.5 against EMU
UNC -25.5 against GA State
Miami -9 against App State

Will be awaiting an FSU line.

I think another good overreaction play is to take Washington +7. Opened at 4 and has went up 3 points.

 

[Dale]

I think another good overreaction play is to take Washington +7. Opened at 4 and has went up 3 points.

Michigan is also down Ronnie Bell

 

[Dale]

I haven’t bet them yet but my initial thoughts was liking Iowa and the under. Liking Iowa is starting to feel dirty though because it feels like the overwhelming majority does. Texas, Arkansas I like the over and might stay away from a side

 

[Dale]

Who had a good week?

I went 15-5 ATS and 3-2 O/U. Low key $50 per except invested in my locks = Bama, K State, UGA & Ole Miss

My losers = ND, SJSU, WV, IA St, Temple.

AZ goes legal on Thursday. No more monkey business thank goodness.

I was 3-1 with the loss being WVU who turned it over 4 times so felt pretty good overall. My biggest kick was not putting more on MSU because that was too easy

 

[Rack Em]

Anybody feeling like taking Colorado +17 against A&M? The A&M QB threw 3 INTs last week and it’s supposed to be 90 degrees at Mile High. I don’t love Colorado but I could see the heat and the altitude affecting this game.

 

[Some Irish Bloke]

I like Texas to cover at Arkansas -7.5

EDIT: Yikes, I lost this one big time. Good news is I got the over an my parlay haha

 

[mango4]

South Dakota went live yesterday, but only in Deadwood. Hoping to be out there next weekend to win some money.

 

[BleedBlueGold]

I'm getting sucked into Draft Kings. Hit on a 3 bet parlay in last night's game. Bucs to win, CeeDee to score, Antonio Brown to score. SHOW ME THE MONEY!!

 

[Irish du Nord]

Anybody feeling like taking Colorado +17 against A&M? The A&M QB threw 3 INTs last week and it’s supposed to be 90 degrees at Mile High. I don’t love Colorado but I could see the heat and the altitude affecting this game.

I did that.

 

[drayer54]

Anybody feeling like taking Colorado +17 against A&M? The A&M QB threw 3 INTs last week and it’s supposed to be 90 degrees at Mile High. I don’t love Colorado but I could see the heat and the altitude affecting this game.

I went the opposite way. Two of those INTs were either a backup late or a joke. Aggies just looked sloppy. I'm taking them big. I do like Iowa and Kentucky odds right now.

 

[Dale]

I haven’t bet them yet but my initial thoughts was liking Iowa and the under. Liking Iowa is starting to feel dirty though because it feels like the overwhelming majority does. Texas, Arkansas I like the over and might stay away from a side

I took Iowa St -4.5 lol. Against what I was thinking most of the week. I just can’t imagine what gets Iowa to 21 points and am not going to assume a 10-3 type game . On the under too.

 

[notredomer23]

Feel like a major sucker taking Texas so far