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By my count, every single one of them since BK's first full class in '11 has either left ND at the 11th hour or transferred after signing with ND... the only exception being (don't worry, I knocked on wood) Stephon Tuitt. You could maybe throw Ishaq in there too (knocking on wood for him now too) but his story was more "unique" than crazy and he didn't flop around to multiple schools or pull any stunts so I don't think you can put him in there.
2011
Aaron Lynch -> ND to FSU to ND to South Florida
Stephon Tuitt -> ND to GT for less than 24 hours to ND... still here
Jordan Prestwood -> ND to FSU EE to ND transfer to transfer out of ND because of academics
2012
Deontay Greenberry -> ND to almost USC to Houston on NSD
Tee Shephard -> ND to almost USC to ND EE to transfer because of some sort of academic issue
Gunner Kiel -> IU to LSU to last minute flip to ND EE to transfer out
Davonte Neal -> doesn't sign on NSD to misses his own press conference to ND to transfer out to be with his kid
2013
Alex Anzalone -> Ohio State to ND to almost decommit to issues statement reaffirming commitment to ND to decommits the day before he is supposed to EE and ends up at Florida
Am I forgetting anyone? There is definitely a correlation between kids who can't make up their mind/lack conviction in their decisions and eventual transfers. Almost 90% of the kids in this admittedly small sample didn't end up finishing their careers at ND. The good news is that the only person in the 2013 class I can think of that this applies to would maybe be Folston who was sort of all over the map at the end... but that's a stretch. The vast majority of guys in that class who signed didn't waiver one iota at any point.
2011
Aaron Lynch -> ND to FSU to ND to South Florida
Stephon Tuitt -> ND to GT for less than 24 hours to ND... still here
Jordan Prestwood -> ND to FSU EE to ND transfer to transfer out of ND because of academics
2012
Deontay Greenberry -> ND to almost USC to Houston on NSD
Tee Shephard -> ND to almost USC to ND EE to transfer because of some sort of academic issue
Gunner Kiel -> IU to LSU to last minute flip to ND EE to transfer out
Davonte Neal -> doesn't sign on NSD to misses his own press conference to ND to transfer out to be with his kid
2013
Alex Anzalone -> Ohio State to ND to almost decommit to issues statement reaffirming commitment to ND to decommits the day before he is supposed to EE and ends up at Florida
Am I forgetting anyone? There is definitely a correlation between kids who can't make up their mind/lack conviction in their decisions and eventual transfers. Almost 90% of the kids in this admittedly small sample didn't end up finishing their careers at ND. The good news is that the only person in the 2013 class I can think of that this applies to would maybe be Folston who was sort of all over the map at the end... but that's a stretch. The vast majority of guys in that class who signed didn't waiver one iota at any point.