2022 Week 12 Prediction Poll: Boston College at (18) Notre Dame

Predict the margin of Victory: BC vs. (18) ND


  • Total voters
    77
  • Poll closed .

Some Irish Bloke

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Boston College (3-7) @ #18 Notre Dame (7-3)
Line: Notre Dame -20.5
Notre Dame Stadium; Notre Dame, IN
Saturday, November 19, 2022
2:30 PM EST
NBC/Peacock

Votes are public. Poll closes on Saturday, 11/19 at 1:40 PM ET.

Notre Dame is coming off of a roller coaster victory over Navy in which they looked unstoppable in the first half, followed by perhaps the most frustrating second half of football any of us have watched in quite some time (Marshall and Stanford included). Notre Dame collapsed on both sides of the ball and almost allowed the Naval Academy to come back from a 22 point halftime deficit. Boston College, meanwhile, launched an impressive, hard fought comeback effort of their own last week in Raleigh, trailing 17-7 at the half but beat the 16th ranked NC State Wolfpack 21-20.

This may not be the Phil Jurkovec return we were all expecting as he's been battling injuries all year behind a porous offensive line (more on that shortly). Jeff Hafley didn't commit to naming a starter this week, but last week he emphatically told the media that Phil was the starter once he became healthy, only to witness redshirt freshman Emmett Moorehead throw for 330 and 3TD, 2INTs to lead the comeback charge against the Wolfpack. This week, Hafley was very much tongue in cheek about his QB position, but certainly appears to have walked back his commitment to Phil just a week ago. He did mention that Moorehead is getting more work in the 2 minute offense, which suggests that the talented, albeit green, QB will get his third straight start. It is worth noting that both of his INTs occurred in the red-zone, which suggests that 1) he can move the offense regularly but 2) that's a bad, bad look not protecting the football in the scoring area.

Boston College boasts one of the worst OLine units in the entire country, as evidenced by their dead last (!) ranking in rushing offense at a measly 61.4 YPG. The formula to beating them isn't difficult; if you slow down Zay Flowers (921 yards, 10TDs), BC's offense struggles. Now, this is easier said than done; the dude is a bonafide stud and a legitimate Sunday talent. He's the key to this offense's motor, plain and simple, and became BC's all time receiving leader last week at NC State, with a 130 yard, 2 TD effort.

*Friendly reminder that this is also a homecoming for TE George Takacs, who they also use primarily as a blocker similar to ND. He does have okay receiving totals with 248 yards and 1TD on the year. Welcome back, George.

Defensively, BC tends to give up scores early in the game and then bunker down and improves as the game settles in. Last week, they gave up two scores on NC State's opening possessions and then gave up only 6 points the final 45 minutes. This has been somewhat of a trend. They rank 54th in total defense, but only 82nd against he run, which bodes well for the Irish on a cold, windy day. Look for a heavy dose of Estime and Diggs in this one. They are a respectable 43rd in the nation against the pass.

Altogether, hopefully Senior Day and a lookahead date with the Trojans in LA next week doesn't make for a sleepy start and bumpy ride for the Irish on Saturday. I'm expecting the crazy, unforeseen close call against Navy will have the men's attention to take care of business against a little brother "rival" and they play well on both sides of the ball.

Notre Dame 27, Boston College 10.
 

Some Irish Bloke

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Only six participants got last week's prediction correct with ND 1-6, and no real movement among the leaderboard with only two weeks left before bowl season. (can't believe I just typed that, where does the time go in the fall?)

Leaderboard:

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kzoondfi

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The weather may make this a ground and pound game. Don't really want Pyne trying to air it out in the conditions. he got lucky with Lenzy's catch last week. That was so short that 9/10 times the DB would have turned and had an easy pick. It would be nice for a blowout based upon a running game, but I doubt it. I had last week as a lock for a punt block and that came to fruition. I am not as confident this week. 24-10 IRISH
 

IrishLion

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BC will either be playing (a) a young backup QB with mobility and good arm, playing aggressive football with nothing to lose, or (b) a former ND QB with a bone to pick with the current staff, who will be more motivated than he's ever been (even though he's lost straight-up to ND once already).

To add to BC's QB situation, they have a talented group of WR's that can cause havoc deep down the field, particularly if either of BC's QB's have enough time and/or scramble around long enough to make an off-platform throw against freestyle-type routes.

In short: if the DL doesn't abuse the BC offensive line to the lengths that they should be able to... this game terrifies me.

It reeks of 'motivated little brother with talent in just enough places to make it a miserable afternoon, whether you win or lose.'

ND must start strong on both sides, and break their will as early as possible.

They've been blown out a couple of times... but they've also been down big and fought back a few times. They won't be going away in this one, so ND needs a complete effort, for all four quarters, if they want to win comfortably.

I foresee more Pyne and running game inconsistency, so I foresee a stressful, needlessly-close game.

ND 28, BC 27
 

notredomer23

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I went with 14-20. Weather/temperature will play a factor. ND will kill their will early with the run game and bounce back strongly in that department after last week. I am expecting 28-10ish.
 

Irishnuke

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38-21. BC is the worst rushing offense in CFB so naturally they'll break off a 70 yarder to make the game closer than it needs to be. They'll get within 10 but then Foskey sacks Phil or his backup late causing a fumble and a scoop and score.
 

ACamp1900

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41-3

We see a touchdown from the passing game, defense, special teams and multiple from the run game. Domination from start to finish and the ‘Natty in 23’ train begins to get rollin
 

NDohio

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41-3

We see a touchdown from the passing game, defense, special teams and multiple from the run game. Domination from start to finish and the ‘Natty in 23’ train begins to get rollin
What the hell happened to you? I mean - I kinda like it - but what happened?
 

ACamp1900

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The change this year from ND losing every game by 60+ to them winning every game decidedly just isn't you.
Marshall broke me.
In fairness, though I haven't picked ND to flat blow anyone out until today.
 

Irish#1

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We tend to struggle on Senior Day and it's the little brother who is always wanting to prove himself. Irish by two FG's.
 

Luckylucci

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I'll go 24-20. BC sucks but that hasn't matter to this Irish football team. BC plays up and ND plays down to the competition. Pyne struggles but the offense has just enough firepower on the ground while the ND defense gets a couple of crucial stops late to ice the game.

5 star Philure leaves South Bend never having exacted his revenge on the Irish.
 

IRISHDODGER

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Grupe misses a FG

Pyne has a pass batted (hopefully not for a pick…but it’s Senior Day 2022 so WTH knows?)
 

tko

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Grupe goes 1-5 but the 1 is for the 1 point win at the buzzer.
 

zelezo vlk

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I feel like the offense will struggle at least a bit, get the win over BC. 24-13 It'll be an annoying cold struggle, but will get the W and set up for a bigtime showdown in LA next Saturday.
 

Huntr

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I want the kind of optimism that someone has to have to actually put money down on ND at -20.

Not effing around in a message board, betting actual money. On this ND team. At -20.
 

notredomer23

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I want the kind of optimism that someone has to have to actually put money down on ND at -20.

Not effing around in a message board, betting actual money. On this ND team. At -20.

I hear you and I don't think they will, but this is how everybody feels, ND fans or not. That usually means Vegas knows something. Last I checked, 82% of the public money was on BC. Something stinks.
 

Jiggafini19Deux

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Fho1tydVEAIczdL
 

Some Irish Bloke

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We tend to struggle on Senior Day and it's the little brother who is always wanting to prove himself. Irish by two FG's.
2010: ND 28 - Utah 3
2011: ND 16 - BC 14
2012: ND 38 - WF 0
2013: ND 24 - BYU 14 (BYU was 8-5 that year with Taysom Hill, this is a solid W).
2014: L'Ville 31 - ND 28 (part of that dreadful 4 game losing streak to end the regular season, and L'ville was actually ranked No. 24).
2015: ND 28 - WF 7
2016: VT 34 - ND 31 (3-9 year so doesn't count?)
2017: ND 24 - Navy 17
2018: ND 36 - 'Cuse 3
2019: ND 40 - BC 7
2020: ND 45 - 'Cuse 21
2021: ND 55 - GT 0

I feel like they've pretty much debunked the "Senior Day struggles" trend in the BK era. 10-2, with the two losses being our worst two years in his era (3-9 and the awful 4 game losing streak in '14). I'll give you 2011 against BC (ND still wasn't very good) and 2017 against Navy, those were two opponents far less superior than ND. so 8/12 were solid Ws for the Irish.

Hopefully Freeman can keep that Sr Day success.
 
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