2018 Midterm Elections

Irish YJ

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Nah, Bush is an open borders neoliberal. He doesn't care.

Yes, but I don't think he is, or would be pro voter fraud when all is said and done. No one is fraudulently enrolling to vote republican. If he were still in the game, he might say "thank you", and "welcome", but he wouldn't be down with dems getting fake votes.
 

connor_in

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">‘[ICE] is a tool of cruelty, unconstitutional behavior, illegality.’ —*Zephyr Teachout is promising to prosecute ICE if elected AG of New York <a href="https://t.co/lq7uRc2us6">pic.twitter.com/lq7uRc2us6</a></p>— NowThis (@nowthisnews) <a href="https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1024483102830153728?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 1, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Just...wow
 

Irish YJ

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Those crazy NYers.....
She was a volunteer for Occupy.... Lost Gov and House bids. Then was part of Cynthia Nixon's campaign before deciding to try politics for a 3rd time running as NY AG.... All aboard the Bernie/Socialist bus!!
 

Irish YJ

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Trump on fire at the PA rally. Going off on Sleeping Bob, and lit on migration and Crazy Bernie. Funny AF entertainment.
 

loomis41973

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Trump on fire at the PA rally. Going off on Sleeping Bob, and lit on migration and Crazy Bernie. Funny AF entertainment.


Been on fire since he rode down that escalator.

Back on the trail, where he love's to be.
 

loomis41973

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">‘[ICE] is a tool of cruelty, unconstitutional behavior, illegality.’ —*Zephyr Teachout is promising to prosecute ICE if elected AG of New York <a href="https://t.co/lq7uRc2us6">pic.twitter.com/lq7uRc2us6</a></p>— NowThis (@nowthisnews) <a href="https://twitter.com/nowthisnews/status/1024483102830153728?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 1, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Just...wow

Brainwashed or bat shit crazy?
 

ACamp1900

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Onion on her: “I hate this country. Vote for me and together we can destroy it.”
 

Irish YJ

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Irish YJ

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">You know what sucks? <br><br>Because of our unwillingness to pass policy that protects our election integrity, I immediately think the Green Party votes tonight are Russian meddling. <br><br>Why else would anyone cast a protest vote in Ohio when there’s so much at stake?<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/OH12?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#OH12</a></p>— Alyssa Milano (@Alyssa_Milano) <a href="https://twitter.com/Alyssa_Milano/status/1027025774552014848?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
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lol
 

ACamp1900

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tgchi1.gif
 

Wild Bill

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">You know what sucks? <br><br>Because of our unwillingness to pass policy that protects our election integrity, I immediately think the Green Party votes tonight are Russian meddling. <br><br>Why else would anyone cast a protest vote in Ohio when there’s so much at stake?<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/OH12?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#OH12</a></p>— Alyssa Milano (@Alyssa_Milano) <a href="https://twitter.com/Alyssa_Milano/status/1027025774552014848?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 8, 2018</a></blockquote>
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lol

I completely agree with her. We need voter ID laws now.
 

connor_in

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Man, who names their kid Openly Gay Dem? <a href="https://t.co/cWPqE1P4Kp">pic.twitter.com/cWPqE1P4Kp</a></p>— Ian Miles Cheong (@stillgray) <a href="https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1027513231693082624?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 9, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Legacy

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Medicaid Expansion is on the ballot for three red states (Utah, Nebraska, and Idaho) in November.

In Utah, two-thirds of voters favor Medicaid expansion. Romney has greater favorability ratings in Utah than Trump where 51% of Utahans disapprove of Trump.

Utah's expansion would cover up to 150,000 more residents. Republicans challenged the ballot initiative in court in Nebraska, which the Supreme Court dismissed. Expansion there will expand coverage to 90,000 residents. And Idaho’s proposed expansion, which could cover 62,000, polled at 70 percent last year.

Meanwhile, Montana voters have a chance to reauthorize Medicaid coverage that's set to expire in 2019 for more than 90,000 residents. A report this spring found Montana’s expansion was paying for itself and their uninsured population has dropped in half since Medicaid was expanded there in 2016.

A recent report on the economic benefits of their Medicaid expansion shows:
- Added $270 million in personal income to Montana’s economy every year.
- Created 5,000 jobs.
- Contributed $500 million annually in increased economic output in our state.

Montana's cons are proposing to lower property taxes with their $400 million surplus this year. Montana is discussing whether to lower health insurance costs further by self-insuring their program.
 
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RDU Irish

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Checking out 538 and looks like Rs are trending to not only maintain Senate majority but pick up a seat. Quite a few close ones in there that could go either way.

By 538 methodology:
Incumbent Heller (R-NV) only half a point up- toss up
Incumbent McCaskill (D-MO) up 0.9% currently
Incumbent Heitkamp (D-ND) is 3.6% behind challenger
Open AZ McCain seat - D Sinema up 1.7% but recent video no bueno - calls Arizonians "crazy" and tells Texas not to end up like AZ - deplorable level gaffe.
Incumbent Scott (D-FL) 2.0% lead
Incumbent Cruz (R-TX) pulling away from Beto with 4.9% lead

So at current levels - swap AZ and ND seats by who is favored. NV loss possible but trending for R. Ds vulnerable in MO and FL but also in AZ by recent developments. 2% "red wave" over 538 projections would deliver a three seat gain (FL, MO, ND with no R losses). A two percent "blue wave" would deliver NV, AZ but still lose ND for a 50/50 senate.

Should be interesting to watch develop - seems like an awful lot of Senate seats to be so closely contested.
 

connor_in

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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Story: <a href="https://t.co/5PRBXymYn6">https://t.co/5PRBXymYn6</a></p>— Ryan Saavedra (@RealSaavedra) <a href="https://twitter.com/RealSaavedra/status/1050516841003507713?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 11, 2018</a></blockquote>
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ab2cmiller

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Given the “crazy” comments from the Dem in Arizona, I can’t see any way that she wins.
 

RDU Irish

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Seems like a pretty effective ad to me - will be interesting to see what the next batch of polls look like.
 

Sea Turtle

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Senate is staying GOP. They will pick up a seat or more.
The GOP is trending up in the house as well but will it be enough and is there enough time to keep it? Doubtful but we will see.
 

Irish YJ

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Donnelly V Braun is interesting.

Haven't seen any polls conducted after mid September, but the talking heads seem to think Braun has closed the small gap. While I'd prefer the Rs pick up a seat, Donnelly is an OK dude in my book.
 

ab2cmiller

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Another embarassing video of Dem candidate in Arizona was noted today. She said "Arizona Is Clearly The Meth Lab Of Democracy”. It will be interesting to see how much the polls swing in the coming weeks.

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Zkzm11PL9cs" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay; encrypted-media" allowfullscreen></iframe>
 

irishog77

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TN could still go either way. Blackburn showing a slight lead in latest polls.

Bredesen isn't a flaming liberal and is respected state-wide. He was an extremely popular mayor in Nashville and did a decent job as governor. I somewhat doubt his claim that he would have voted for Kavanaugh, but wouldn't be surprised if he did (or voted with and for republicans on a myriad of issues).
Blackburn is an extremely unlikable politician, has made loads of money off the opiod crisis, is running a terrible campaign, and has messed up her "facts" plenty.

The Kavanaugh farce will likely end up shoring up TN for republicans once again. The fact that democrats got literally the best candidate they could ever get, while the republicans trotted out a loser, yet will still probably win (or the fact that it's even a race), is telling.
 
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