2016 NFL Draft do-over: Dak Prescott goes No. 15 to Browns
(Round and total pick number in parentheses)
1. Rams - Jared Goff, QB, Cal. Actual pick - Goff
2. Eagles - Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota St.. Actual pick - Wentz
3. Chargers - Joey Bosa, Edge, Ohio St. Actual pick - Bosa
4. Cowboys - Ezechial Elliot, RB, Ohio St. Actual pick - Elliott
5. Jaguars - Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida St. Actual pick - Ramsey
6. Ravens - Chris Jones, DL, Ms State (2(37)). Actual pick - Ronnie Stanley, OT
7. 49ers - DeForest Buckner, DL, Oregon. Actual pick - Buckner
8. Titans - Xavier Howard, CB, Baylor (2(38)). Actual pick - Jack Conklin. OT
9. Bears - Yannick Ngakoue, edge, Maryland (3(69)). Actual pick - Leonard Floyd, edge
10. Giants - Tyreek Hill, WR, West Alabama (5(165)) - Actual pick - Eli Apple, CB
11. Bucs - Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville (1(12)). Actual pick - Vernon Hargreaves, CB
12. Saints - Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio St. (2(47)) Actual pick - Sheldon Rankins, DT.
13. Dolphins - Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan St. (1(8))- Actual pick - Laremy Tunsil, OT.
14. Raiders - Deion Jones, LB, LSU (2(52)). Actual pick - Karl Joseph, S
15. Browns - Dak Prescott, QB, Miss (4(135)). St. Actual pick - Corey Coleman, WR.
16. Lions - Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama (2(49)). Actual pick - Taylor Decker, OT
17. Falcons - Keanu Neal, S, Florida. Actual pick - Neal
18. Colts - Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame (1(6)). Actual pick - Ryan Kelly, C
19. Bills - Myles Jack, LB, UCLA (2(36)). Actual pick - Shaq Lawson, DE
20. Jets - Kevin Byard, S, Middle Tenn St, (3(64)). Actual pick - Darron Lee, LB
21. Texans - Cody Whitehair, OL, K-State (2(56)). Actual pick - Will Fuller, WR
22. Washington - Tyler Boyd, WR, Pitts.(2(55)) Actual pick - Josh Dotson, WR
23. Vikings - Laremy Tunsil, OT, Miss. (1(13)) Actual pick - Laquon Treadwelll, WR
24. Bengals - Kendall Fuller, CB, Va Tech (3(84)). Actual pick - William Jackson III, CB
25. Steelers - William Jackson III, CB, Houston (1(24)). Actual pick - Artie Burns, CB
26. Broncos - Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana (5(150)). Actual pick - Paxton Lynch, QB
27. Packers - Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA. Actual pick - Clark
28. 49ers (trade w. KC) - Joe Thuney, OG, NC St (3(78)). Actual pick - Joshua Garnett, OG
29. Cardinals - Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama (1(18)) Actual pick - Robert Nkemdiche, DT
30. Panthers - Matt Juden, Edge, Grand Valley St (5(146)). Actual pick - Vernon Butler, DT
31. Seahawks - Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio St. (1(16)) Actual pick - Germaine Ifedi, OL
Bolded - Teams would make the same pick
Italics - Actual pick was made later in the first round
2 picks - 49ers. KC trade with SF - picked up SF second (37 - Jones), fourth (107 - Demarcus Robinson), and sixth (178) - DJ White, CB
Only three picks that were substituted which were lower than the third round in actual picks (Tyreek Hill, Dak Prescott, Jordan Howard).
(No first round picks - KC, NE (forfeited)).
With teams projected to make the same revised pick as their actual pick and filtering out team's actual pick projected later in the first round, those picks could be classified as solid picks. So,
Filtering out the Bolded and Italics players and with current depth chart position (17):
9. Bears -. Actual pick - Leonard Floyd, edge, 1st ROLB
10. Giants - Actual pick - Eli Apple, CB, traded 10/17 to NO, 1st LCB
11. Bucs -. Actual pick - Vernon Hargreaves, CB, 1st RCB
13. Dolphins - Actual pick - Laremy Tunsil, OT., 1st LT
14. Raiders - Actual pick - Karl Joseph, S, 1st SS
15. Browns - Actual pick - Corey Coleman, WR - traded, released.
19. Bills -. Actual pick - Shaq Lawson, DE, 2nd LDE,
20. Jets - Actual pick - Darron Lee, LB, 2nd ILB
21. Texans - Actual pick - Will Fuller, WR, 1st WR
22. Washington - Actual pick - Josh Dotson, WR, 1st LWR
23. Vikings -. Actual pick - Laquon Treadwell, WR, 2nd LWR
25. Steelers - Actual pick - Artie Burns, CB, 2nd RCB
26. Broncos - Actual pick - Paxton Lynch, QB, released, DNP 2018
28. 49ers - Actual pick - Joshua Garnett, OG, 2nd RG
29. Cardinals - Actual pick - Robert Nkemdiche, DT, 2nd DT
30. Panthers -. Actual pick - Vernon Butler, DT, 2nd LDT
31. Seahawks - Actual pick - Germaine Ifedi, OL, 1st RT
Filtering out those players listed in the first team from depth charts (7):
Possible Poor Picks Left (10):
Not with the same team, released or traded (3)
*10. Giants - Actual pick - Eli Apple, CB, traded 10/17 to NO, 1st LCB (New Orleans)
*15. Browns - Actual pick - Corey Coleman, WR - traded, released.
*26. Broncos - Actual pick - Paxton Lynch, QB, released, DNP 2018
In addition to the three above and adding two 1st team picks (Dotson and Ifedi) who grade poorly with PFF (7).:
19. Bills -. Actual pick - Shaq Lawson, DE, 2nd LDE,
20. Jets - Actual pick - Darron Lee, LB, 2nd ILB
22. Washington - Actual pick - Josh Dotson, WR, 1st LWR
23. Vikings -. Actual pick - Laquon Treadwell, WR, 2nd LWR
25. Steelers - Actual pick - Artie Burns, CB, 2nd RCB (benched)
28. 49ers - Actual pick - Joshua Garnett, OG, 2nd RG
29. Cardinals - Actual pick - Robert Nkemdiche, DT, 2nd DT
30. Panthers -. Actual pick - Vernon Butler, DT, 2nd LDT
31. Seahawks - Actual pick - Germaine Ifedi, OL, 1st RT
Two (Lawson and Lee) who are second team on depth charts but have significantly improved their PFF grades in 2018 (see below.)
Notes on those who are left as poor picks (9):
Three who are no longer with the same team who drafted them:
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Eli Apple, cornerback - Round 1, Pick 10 - NY Giants
Career-high overall grade: 65.0 (2018)
Just like the previous year’s first-round pick, Apple struggled to find a groove in New York. He earned overall grades of 58.9 and 64.5 in his first and second years in the league, respectively, and allowed a passer rating of 108.4 on throws into his primary coverage during that span, good for 79th among the 84 quarterbacks with at least 100 targets. behav, locker room, On October 23, 2018, the New York Giants traded Apple to the New Orleans Saints for a fourth round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft and a seventh round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
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Corey Coleman, Wide Receiver - Round 1, Pick 15 - Cleveland Browns
Career High Grade: 61.7 (2016)
Coleman has shown flashes in his three-year career so far, forcing eight missed tackles from just 33 receptions as a rookie in 2016, but has also struggled with drops. Dropping nine of the 70 catchable passes thrown his way so far in his career, he was cut by the Browns last year and caught five passes with the Giants in 2018.On August 5, 2018, Coleman was traded to the Buffalo Bills for a 2020 seventh-round pick.[25] He was released by the Bills on September 1, 2018. On September 11, 2018, Coleman was signed by the New England Patriots. Coleman was released on September 17, 2018, to create a roster spot for his former Browns teammate Josh Gordon. On September 20, 2018, Coleman was re-signed to the Patriots practice squad.[29] On September 29, 2018, Coleman was released from the practice squad.On October 19, 2018, the New York Giants signed Coleman to their practice squad.[31] On October 25, 2018, he was promoted to the active roster. Coleman, as a restricted free agent, had a $2.025 million tender placed on him by the Giants on March 7, 2019.
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Paxton Lynch, Quarterback - Round 1, Pick 26 - Denver
Career-high overall grade: 49.7 (2016)
Where to begin, where to begin. Lynch simply hasn’t lived up the expectations most teams have for a first-round quarterback, which may also be why he is now with the Seattle Seahawks after two rough years in Denver. His 65.8 adjusted completion percentage in 2016 was worse than all but one starting quarterback from that year (Lynch played in only three games), and he hasn’t shown any significant development since then. In two seasons with the team, Lynch made just four starts and threw four touchdowns and four interceptions, released Sept 2, 2018. Seattle Seahawks[edit] On January 17, 2019, Lynch signed with the Seattle Seahawks after missing the 2018 season.
Others who are still with their drafting team:
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Shaq Lawson - Round 1, Pick 19 - Buffalo Bills
Career-high overall grade: 76.4 (2018)
It has taken Lawson some time to settle in, but the fourth-year edge defender out of Clemson has made significant strides in overall grade in each of his first three seasons. His rookie year ended in an overall grade of just 52.8, but since, Lawson has seen that climb to 65.3 in 2017 and 76.4 last year. Last year, Lawson recorded 23 total pressures on 220 pass-rushing snaps en route to the highest pass-rushing grade of his career at 65.0. Lawson’s run-defense grade of 80.9 in 2018 ranked 11th out of 103 qualifying edge defenders.
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Darron Lee, Linebacker - Round 1, Pick 20 - NY Jets
Career-high overall grade: 72.4 (2018)
If you had just gone off the first two seasons, Lee looked like he was setting up to be labeled a bust. He graded below 50.0 in each of his first two years, largely due to the fact that he was a liability in coverage (40.1 coverage grade in 2016 and 42.6 coverage grade in 2017). That all changed last year, though; Lee easily recorded the highest grade of his career at 72.4, and that came as a result of his coverage grade jumping all the way to 84.8 which ranked tied for fourth among 92 qualifying linebackers.
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Josh Doctson, wide receiver - Round 1, Pick 22 - Washington
Career-high overall grade: 63.3 (2018)
Doctson has never really lived up to his first-round billing, and three years into his Washington tenure, you can’t help but wonder if a change of scenery is just what’s needed for both parties. Doctson has failed to record a single-season overall grade above 63.3 since being drafted, and he’s had almost as many drops (6) as receptions from deep passes (9). Not a good sign for a player who was supposed to serve as a deep threat.
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Laquon Treadwell, wide receiver - Round 1, Pick 23 - Minnesota
Career-high overall grade: 53.3 (2017)
Treadwell has been one of the more disappointing first-round wide receivers taken in the last several years. He has not been able to carve out a major role in the Vikings’ offense, and when he has seen the field, Treadwell has not been impactful. He’s averaging just 9.2 yards per reception on 56 career catches, while Vikings quarterbacks have had a passer rating of only 67.4 when targeting him. That is not a recipe for more playing time heading into his fourth season.
Artie Burns, Cornerback - Round 1, Pick 25 - Pittsburgh
Career High Grade: 70.5 (2017)
Burns has been up and down in his time in Pittsburgh, coming away with four interceptions and 19 pass breakups but also allowing 13 touchdowns on 1,357 snaps in coverage over the past three seasons. He played a career-low 308 snaps and wound up getting benched in 2018.
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Joshua Garnett, Guard - Round 1, Pick 28 - SF
Career-high overall grade: 61.5 (2016)
It’s hard to throw the bust label on a player who has barely played, but Garnett is certainly hovering around it. After missing all of 2017 due to injury, the former first-round pick played just 59 snaps in another injury-riddled 2018. In his only full season, 2016, he struggled in three major facets — pass blocking, run blocking and penalties.
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Robert Nkemdiche, Interior defensive line - Round 1, Pick 29 - Arizona
Career-high overall grade: 59.5 (2018)
It’s been a rough three years for Nkemdiche, having yet to eclipse a 60.0 grade. However, it hasn’t been without a few bright spots. In 2018, his best season yet, he had two particularly strong outings: In Week 1, he had four quarterback pressures and two stops. In the best game of his career, Week 12, Nkemdiche racked up three sacks and six stops. Played five games in 2016, 12 games in 2017, 10 games in 2018. 27 gms played in three years.
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Germain Ifedi, Tackle - Round 1, Pick 31 - Seattle
Career-high overall grade: 55.2 (2018)
The former first-rounder just hasn’t panned out for the Seahawks. He’s yet to eclipse a season grade higher than his 55.2 mark this year, which ranked 72nd out of 82 qualifying tackles. Despite playing a ton of snaps, Ifedi hasn’t found his footing in pass blocking and has been a complete liability in the run game.
Notes on grades from PFF.
Conclusion: The first half of the first round usually results in solid picks.
