Based off of what? Reports that are pure speculation?
Yes. I'm a big fan of aggregating all of the information that is out there and then making a guesstimate off of that. I've been maintaining for weeks that USC was out while a lot of people ("experts" included) said they expected him to resign with USC. Why? Because the preponderance of evidence/chatter from everywhere that wasn't a USC source said otherwise.
I had it at 1/3 UCLA, 1/3 ND, 1/3 Bama... giving ND as good of a chance as anyone. As things stand right now, I'd put it at 45% UCLA, 35% ND, 20% Bama just based on the general "consensus" of the internet. So I think UCLA should probably be expected right now... but I think reports of this being a "done deal" are reallllllllly jumping the gun.
This recruitment reminds me a lot of the "Kelly and Philadelphia" garbage. No one had a clue of what they were talking about and they were just trying to put a story out there.
Does UCLA have a good chance of getting him? Absolutely. But Notre Dame has just as good of a chance at landing him.
I think that's an OK comparison. Everyone is in the dark because EV isn't talking to anyone and so all information coming out is second hand
at best. All we know is that he has the longest standing relationship with UCLA coaches and enjoyed his two OVs to ND/'Bama. UCLA really does seem like the simplest destination choice for him and should be expected... but I don't think a decision has been made nor do I think ND/Bama are out of the running.