The Optimal Notre Dame Scheduling Model

bpob55

bpob55

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Dale said:
SIAP Sampson indicated on recap pod that a SoFi game is likely the next NFL stadium on the list

but didn’t specifically mention USC
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USC is likely playing their 2028 season at SoFi because the Coliseum will be under construction to remove the track from the Olympics.
 
calvegas04

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bpob55 said:
USC is likely playing their 2028 season at SoFi because the Coliseum will be under construction to remove the track from the Olympics.
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They will be adding a track and taking out a bunch of seats for the Olympics
 
FWIrish4

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notredomer23 said:
Will remember this when they cancel the ND series in the next month or two
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Isn’t there a pretty big buyout $ amount now since a key date has passed (thinking it was the start of the 2026 season)? I thought I remembered the II podcast discussing that as a factor when Sark was complaining at SEC media days.
 
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OrlaNDomer

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ND could very easily end up playing 3 top 10 matchups in what has been trashed as a terrible schedule.
Would require the following:

- BYU to win out (@Colorado St, @TCU, Iowa State) and they will almost be guaranteed to be a top 10 team when we play them
- Miami to win out (@Wake Forest, Central Michigan, @Clemson, FSU, Pitt, @North Carolina) <-- truly easiest schedule of all time and should be a lock to be a top 5 matchup
- SMU to win out (@ #23 Louisville, Missouri State, Boston College, #25 Virginia, Cal, @Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest) and the SEC schools to beat each other up and there's a decent shot they could be #10 by the time we play them.

BYU is currently #11 and only needs to move up 1 spot in 4 weeks
Miami is #5 and just needs to not drop
SMU is #16 and needs to move up 6 spots in 9 weeks

The #7/8/9/10 SEC cluster is going to beat each other up I would assume creating opportunities for BYU and SMU to move up:

#7 LSU plays #8 Ole Miss and #9 Texas A&M back to back 9/19 & 9/26. They also have a stretch of #10 Bama, #1 Texas, and #15 Tennessee at the end of the year.

#8 Ole Miss has #7 LSU this week, #1 Texas 10/24 and #2 Georgia on 11/7

#9 A&M has #7 LSU next week, #10 Bama on 10/24, and closes the year with #15 Tennessee, #24 Oklahoma, and #1 Texas

#10 Bama has #2 Georgia 10/10, #15 Tennessee 10/17, #9 Texas A&M 10/24, #7 LSU 11/7
 
Irish#1

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OrlaNDomer said:
ND could very easily end up playing 3 top 10 matchups in what has been trashed as a terrible schedule.
Would require the following:

- BYU to win out (@Colorado St, @TCU, Iowa State) and they will almost be guaranteed to be a top 10 team when we play them
- Miami to win out (@Wake Forest, Central Michigan, @Clemson, FSU, Pitt, @North Carolina) <-- truly easiest schedule of all time and should be a lock to be a top 5 matchup
- SMU to win out (@ #23 Louisville, Missouri State, Boston College, #25 Virginia, Cal, @Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Wake Forest) and the SEC schools to beat each other up and there's a decent shot they could be #10 by the time we play them.

BYU is currently #11 and only needs to move up 1 spot in 4 weeks
Miami is #5 and just needs to not drop
SMU is #16 and needs to move up 6 spots in 9 weeks

The #7/8/9/10 SEC cluster is going to beat each other up I would assume creating opportunities for BYU and SMU to move up:

#7 LSU plays #8 Ole Miss and #9 Texas A&M back to back 9/19 & 9/26. They also have a stretch of #10 Bama, #1 Texas, and #15 Tennessee at the end of the year.

#8 Ole Miss has #7 LSU this week, #1 Texas 10/24 and #2 Georgia on 11/7

#9 A&M has #7 LSU next week, #10 Bama on 10/24, and closes the year with #15 Tennessee, #24 Oklahoma, and #1 Texas

#10 Bama has #2 Georgia 10/10, #15 Tennessee 10/17, #9 Texas A&M 10/24, #7 LSU 11/7
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Even if all three are in the top 10 when we play and beat them, it won't change the narrative. The excuses will be, "Come on they may be top 10, but it's BYU/SMU, not your traditional top 10. You beat Miami, but it was at home and in November." Or any of the other excuses they will come up with.
 
JD Irish

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Steds83 said:


This is awesome.
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Yes, that is awesome. Hope I can go to at least one of those games.

We have now future series scheduled with Auburn, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Michigan, Nebraska, in addition to Clemson annually and USC returning for at least four years in 2030. The ACC lineups also look better in a lot of years with Miami, Florida State, Pitt, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Georgia Tech being better distributed. I love this. Our regular season schedules are all great from 2028-2034 as long as the games aren't canceled.
 
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NDPhilly

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Any talking heads mention the plan to address this current atrocity of a 2027 schedule? One open spot to fill with (hopefully) a ranked team.


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NDPhilly

NDPhilly

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Look 2027 is likely to be a “rebuilding” year I would think (but should still expect a top 10 team), but we really are getting boned by MSU / Auburn / Clemson / VT / Stanford all being varying levels of down.

USC would have been a top ~15 team, maybe BYU can fill that gap, but it’s certainly not the
same. If we play 3 ranked teams we’d be lucky at this point.

They need to hunt for a big neutral site game at this point, but availabiities are certainly limited 12 months out.
 
stlnd01

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JFC. Our current second string would be favored in every one of those games. Maybe even odds with BYU.
 
NDPhilly

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alright I’ve found one other Non Texas Tech option for 9/11/2027…Ole Miss

They have 2 easy games scheduled already, Charlotte and Oregon State, so have opening for big Non Con game.

Issue is (as with most SEC teams) they play Bama, OU, LSU, Tennessee, and A&M in conference play. Would be dumb / unneeded for them to schedule us.

fbschedules.com

2027 Ole Miss Football Schedule | FBSchedules.com

View the 2027 Ole Miss Football Schedule at FBSchedules.com. The Rebels football schedule includes opponents, date, time, and TV.
fbschedules.com fbschedules.com
 
stlnd01

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NDPhilly said:
alright I’ve found one other Non Texas Tech option for 9/11/2027…Ole Miss

They have 2 easy games scheduled already, Charlotte and Oregon State, so have opening for big Non Con game.

Issue is (as with most SEC teams) they play Bama, OU, LSU, Tennessee, and A&M in conference play. Would be dumb / unneeded for them to schedule us.

fbschedules.com

2027 Ole Miss Football Schedule | FBSchedules.com

View the 2027 Ole Miss Football Schedule at FBSchedules.com. The Rebels football schedule includes opponents, date, time, and TV.
fbschedules.com fbschedules.com
Click to expand...
Unless they figure they are likely to lose two or three of those and want a win strong enough to keep them in the mix.
Sometimes a team needs to bet on itself. Even if we hope they lose.
 
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