2025 College Football Playoffs

Bane

Bane

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IRISHDODGER said:
Disagree. The sole reason Bama moved up in the latest CFP was so they’d have some buffer so if they lose to UGA, they may drop but not far enough to be out of the top 12. It happened to them last year when Clemson upset SMU in the ACC CCG.

That said I agree that it shouldn’t happen…but it will b/c I guarantee Sankey has made that clear to the committee.
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I agree with this. It's important reiterate the committee can do whatever they want. I think if Bama loses they can drop them behind us and justify it as a recognition of "how close the debate was" but Bama still gets into the playoffs. This would also solve the fact that right now they have two rematches in the first round. If they moved us to 9 we would go to Norman and Alabama would go to College Station. If Bama wins, they can just keep BYU where they're at and justify it as they weren't going to punish a team for losing their conference title game by dropping them below a team that was idle or whatever.

I think the committee wants us in, but political backroom dealings to fuck us over wouldn't shock me either.
 
OhioIrish

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IrishLax said:
It's literally a conspiracy. They all got their talking points after the game results went how they did last week and they were like "well damn Miami isn't going to be in the ACCCG now so we have to..."

That's why Bama and ND were flipped after Bama struggled against Auburn, and that's why everyone is universally stumping for Miami now. Nick Saban even flipped his tune this morning to "Miami kicked Notre Dame's ass" when he hasn't said anything like that all year. ESPN is also financially invested in the ACC FWIW.
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Agree, and there not even attempting to disguise it. Whether ND gets in or not, I just cannot see this system lasting much longer. It’s got antitrust issues all over the place.
 
Notre Dame Joe

Notre Dame Joe

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stlnd01 said:
Even watching it, I'm not really clear what he's talking about (or when he was saying this. He kept talking about what the SEC did on this particular night. I assume it wasn't Bama narrowly beating Auburn.).

But honestly, having Ole Miss lined up to host despite losing their coach, and a deeply-unimpressive Oklahoma team as a stone cold lock, and anyone even humoring Texas as a playoff team, the SEC is already getting special treatment here.

I think the special treatment at this point would be going specifically to Bama, protecting the SEC's king shit program from being the first team out for the second year in a row. If it were any other SEC team sitting in that spot right now, I'd feel a lot more confident the committee would make the right decision in the end.
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It's just short of the SEC being a joke. Ole Miss has the win against Tulane which now looks very good. Oklahoma had the win against Michigan that now looks good. A&M, yeah. Everything else is just the SEC beating itself and I think that OM and OU are not scary opponents but they are also not jokes.
 
Bane

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IrishLax said:
It's literally a conspiracy. They all got their talking points after the game results went how they did last week and they were like "well damn Miami isn't going to be in the ACCCG now so we have to..."

That's why Bama and ND were flipped after Bama struggled against Auburn, and that's why everyone is universally stumping for Miami now. Nick Saban even flipped his tune this morning to "Miami kicked Notre Dame's ass" when he hasn't said anything like that all year. ESPN is also financially invested in the ACC FWIW.
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When "Stanford Steve" called out Saban for using betting lines to stump for Bama before and then used the same logic to stump for ND I thought Saban was going to rage quit. He stared daggers at him for a good minute.
 
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notredomer23

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for the odds watchers, Alabama’s are plummeting. From -4000 to -2000. Odds to not make it now only +920 from +1500 earlier today
 
RDU Irish

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Aren't they required to take top five ranked conference champs? That means to me James Madison is in at 12 if Duke takes the ACC with Tulane moving up to 11. Somewhat irrelevant to us as UVA takes JMU's spot - 11 and 12 is a binary situation. Our odds doubled in our favor over the course of the BYU shellacking while Miami stays in the +200s which indicates to me - they need Bama to lose to have a chance and maybe people think the ACC won't be left out completely taking Miami if Duke wins.
 
RDU Irish

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notredomer23 said:
for the odds watchers, Alabama’s are plummeting. From -4000 to -2000. Odds to not make it now only +920 from +1500 earlier today
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I got +980 right at kickoff of the ACC CCG - moved to +1200 or so toward the end. Still don't understand how it isn't dependent on them winning - even that shitty BYU team should be in over any 3 loss team IMO. CFP dude on Gameday DID NOT take any bait on "protecting CCG losers" line of questioning.
 
Bane

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jpachuta33 said:
View attachment 3061526

You can’t make this shit up…
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I think a big part of the Miami desperation is that they have the feeling this could be the best team Cristobal ever fields. Cristobal is not a good coach and there's no guarantee they keep getting close with him at the helm. While I would be pissed if ND got jumped at the last minute for no reason, there's no sense this is our only shot. With Freeman at the helm we're gonna have many more bites at the apple.
 
Dizzyphil

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It's odd that sports are seen in two different views..... Boxing.... lose the first two rounds... come back and win the next 10/12/13.... Baseball, lose the first three innings, come back and win the next five or six and win the game....

I get what I just posted is basically a 'strawman metaphor'... but, the Irish have proven to be in the playoffs... lose to Miami with acrobatic/circus plays, lose to ATM on XP and non-holding call,... and I'm not making excuses...

Irish lost to two teams ranked in the 12 by a total of 4 points/even....

C'mon man....
 
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notredomer23

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arrowryan said:
So the movement to +920 means their odds are getting better that Alabama will make it?
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No. The implied probability is still incredibly high Alabama makes it, but their odds have gotten worse. +920 implies 10% chance they don’t make it
 
NDBoiler

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These pregame broadcasters acting like Georgia has no chance while completely ignoring that the primary reason why they had so much trouble with Bama was some guy named Nick Saban.
 
Rudy89

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I don’t care to watch either team but I’m assuming UGA has already played poorly…
 
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