USC and maybe Oregon are the only true attractive teams so I'm not sure that would be a super conference unless they go strictly by the number of schools. Even with teams from the Big 12, I can't see the AAC being able to attract much of a TV deal compared to the big boys.
I am reminded of this...
The problem with the Pac-12, is that it's full of West Coast teams.
Consider this....last year, the highest rated viewership game involving 2 teams west of Kansas was the PAC12 championship game, which ranked as the 36th most watched game of the year and drew 3.85 million average viewers and the second most watched game was USC and UCLA, coming in at 49th with 3.24 million viewers. In case you want to argue "pandemic impact" given the PAC12 weirdness last year, 2019 wasn't any better with the best game ranking 32nd nationally, which was the championship game.
If that wasn't enough, consider this.....the Big Ten Network had an average of 54 million subscribers last year, with $0.59 in fees per month. The PAC 12 Network had just 16.3M, at a fee of just $0.10 per month. As a result, there was a difference of $24M in distribution per team between B10 and P12, meaning P12 needs a mere 75% increase to get back to even with the B10.
You can argue the exact same thing for the remaining B12 teams....who is going to draw viewership locally when up against A&M or UT or OU during the same time slot? You can't schedule around that, at least not practically. The eyeballs that watch college football are east of Colorado and south of NYC. Nothing is going to change that. But it's still the major brands that drive the ratings, as the casual fan doesn't care about Iowa versus Iowa State and won't watch. They will watch Iowa versus Ohio State though.
In the end, this is what is going to happen....the major "Brands" have realized there is more power in a concentrated ~32 team "super league" and will leave everyone else to what's left over. OU and Texas just did this, but that is only the first step. Remember, outside the ACC, all rights are up over the next 3 years. These teams know by having equal share in conference, they are/were leaving money on the table. Next will be Oregon and USC in the Pac 12. They know they are the only teams that bring viewership. They will likely split off soon too. The Big 10 is a bit different with the educational ties, but there will be pressure to stop letting schools like Nebraska, Minny, Northwestern collect the same amount that Michigan, Penn State and OSU does. In the end, the OU's, Texas, OSU, ND's, Bama, UGA, etc will form a mega league. On top of that, the best players from the "next league down", will be poached with the updated transfer rules. The leftovers will be an unofficial CFB minor league to the super conference (which will be the NFL minor league with NIL).
The only potential hiccup in the end is how the CFP get's structured. I think the schools that are likely to be left out have quickly come to the conclusion that the inevitable is going to happen much sooner than they thought and will do whatever they can to prevent it. Whether that means blocking ESPN from exclusive rights after the 25-26 season, blocking conferences from having more than 2 teams, or some sort of record requirement for at-large (example, cannot have more than 2 losses). Effectively, they will attempt to disincentive the money grab.
The only way the major programs can navigate around that is to consolidate power now to prevent the "lesser" teams of having a seat at the table...see OU and Texas. But if I was a fan of Ole Miss, Miss State, Missouri or anyone similar, I would be quite concerned at what is likely to happen over the next 10 years. It's Kansas, Kansas Sate and TTU getting screwed today and the fan boys are crying SEC!! SEC!! SEC!!. But their execution day is not too far off.
