I feel like I should just copy and paste the same argument until August.
Do people really believe these polls mean anything this far out? What has happened since Trump has been the presumptive nominee, and Cruz and Rubio supporters have reluctantly said they'd vote for Trump? It doesn't take a genius to know that the reason his numbers have gone up is because the party has only one person to vote for now.
What do you think will happen when Sanders inevitably throws his unwavering support behind Clinton (people are insane if they think that isn't going to happen once Sanders gets more of his agenda on the Democratic platform - this morning at his rally he didn't mention Hillary once and instead talked about keeping Trump out of the White House)? Her numbers will go up as well with that bump. And then when those bumps even out, we'll see where everything stands after the dust settles. It's laughable that Trump supporters were downplaying the polls when he was losing (badly) and now I see they (not you guys) are quick to point them out now that he is predictably surging.
Not that he can't win, but those 538 guys will be quick to tell you that these polls mean very little so far out.
The way I see it, the super delegates did exactly what they were designed to do. They rallied behind the establishment candidate in order to block the outsider. It's my opinion, that that alone wouldn't have ignited Sanders supporters against the DNC like we're currently seeing. It's the combination of everything that gives off this perception that the system was rigged in favor of HRC from the beginning. Whether people want to buy into that or not, the perception is what matters. When people already feel like our government is untrustworthy, stuff like this is only going to stoke that fire. That's what we're seeing.
On the other side, Trump won. But had he not won or if the GOP "rigged" the process in order to keep him down, you would be seeing the exact same thing from that voter base. Bottom line, people are sick and tired of our government. That's why Trump rose to the top on the right and it's why people are fighting so hard for Bernie on the left. The GOP basically bent over and accepted it. The DNC is doing everything they can to suppress it, completely ignoring the fact that the more they do, the worse it's going to get.
So why didn't it work in 2008? The super delegates were with Clinton until Obama took and held the lead. Then they flipped. The same could have happened this time, right? But Bernie has never closed the gap. She actually only lost by 100 pledged delegates, much closer than Bernie is right now.
Bernie is far more of an establishment outsider than Obama was considered to be in '08. Hindsight proves, Obama isn't an outsider at all. It's not surprising that the supers backed the popular vote then. If Bernie was winning in pledged delegates, they'd have a real choice to make: Back the popular vote or go against your electorate and block the outsider while pushing through the establishment pick (which is what it's designed to do). It doesn't seem they'll need to make that choice.
But that's all speculation (which is, admittedly, what I asked for...grin
. The reality is that the super delegates supported the nominee with the most pledged delegates last time when it mattered. And Obama was less of an outsider, but he was still an outsider. Young upstart who was against the Iraq war and talking about changing the tone in Washington. The establishment liked him but thought he should wait his turn. The voters disagreed and the establishment got on board. That didn't happen this time.
SENATOR BOXER Claims Bernie Supporters Made Her Fear for Her Life: "It Was Scary" (VIDEO)
THIS is what scared her:
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It may seem harsh to some, but I don't care for one minute that someone claimed to be scared of THAT scene....
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Arguments that Trump is too stupid may fall flat when the Democrat nominee doesn't know how Venn diagrams work. <a href="https://t.co/mj8wBkVzjh">pic.twitter.com/mj8wBkVzjh</a></p>— Andrew Klavan (@andrewklavan) <a href="https://twitter.com/andrewklavan/status/733710331680292865">May 20, 2016</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="und" dir="ltr"><a href="https://t.co/9OoraGFCpN">pic.twitter.com/9OoraGFCpN</a></p>— Ben Shapiro (@benshapiro) <a href="https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/733754907614908418">May 20, 2016</a></blockquote>
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It should hurt him, but his supporters hear what they want to hear. His rhetoric (and heaven forbid his actions) suggests that the US will be the world bully and no one's ally. Like Trump himself, the US will be looking out for numero uno without concern for larger world issues or long-term consequences. None of our allies will feel as though the US is a dependable ally.
Ask yourself, "If I was in the trenches with Donald Trump, would he have my back or be looking out for himself?" His actions and rhetoric throughout his life suggest that he puts nothing before his own well-being.
Yawn
A Trumpian comeback. Bringing the heat. Bravo.
GoIrish, does anything hurt this guy? He lies incessantly, he race-baits, he flip-flops on every major issue, he fear-mongers, he talks about communist leaders in glowing terms, he loves Hillart then hates her, he cheats on his wives and brags about it, he friggin' calls reporters and pretends he's a made-up publicist just to brag about himself...I mean, has ANY of this mattered to his sheep? And most of he rest of the GOP have cowardly fallen in line with him.
He's got my former party by the balls and he knows it, and he's not going to change, bc none of this stuff sticks. Respectfully, I think people are nuts if you think something like this will change anything. He's the new Teflon Don. It's going to take something a LOT bigger to hurt him, or there will finally be a normal-sized screw up that will finally be the tipping point for him for the non-sheep to be done with him. But this? IMHO, much ado about nothing my man...just another day in paradise for Trumph.
LOTS of this is also true of Hillary.