BTW these sanctions are worse than the death penalty for the program; better than the death penalty for State College, PA. This team is about to have a mass exodus of frosh & soph classes..... and really substantial portions of both the junior and senior classes too. The remaining players are going to basically be low 3

/2

players and walk-ons. FWIW, the talent at Penn State was already crap.
Then they're going to lose everyone of any value from this recruiting class. And next recruiting class will be abysmal as well. The scholarship reductions are almost meaningless... because they will flat out not be able to recruit. Pitt is going to get all the kids who want to stay in PA. Rutgers/Maryland are going to get a lot of the kids from eastern PA, NJ, and MD that Penn State usually grabs.
So the way this plays out is that Penn State will suck this year with probably ~35-45 true recruited scholarship players... if even that many. In '13 they will suck even worse. In '14 they will suck horribly as well. The '15 recruiting class will be the first class where they will be able to convince legitimate mid-to-low 3

kids to come play at PSU for early PT.... and then by the time those kids are seniors ('18) they'll probably have about the talent level of Indiana on their roster.
So you're looking at a minimum of 6 years of complete irrelevancy. And that's the best case scenario. Like Sherm said earlier, PSU likely won't get out of this until at minimum ~10 years down the road. The first recruiting class that will have a
chance at even mediocre, borderline top 25 talent will be the '18 class which will mean the program won't be seriously competitive for a Big Ten championship until
2021.
Death penalty an no other sanctions? You'd have started over with a pretty solid class of mid 3

players in '14 intrigued by oodles of immediate PT... maybe even a 4

or two.... and you could take a full 25 players. You could hypothetically get legitimate 4

players in '16... and have a very competitive team again by '17. So you're looking at it taking probably twice as long to fully recover from these sanctions vs. a straight 1 year death penalty. Although I do have my doubts Penn State will ever fully recover... there's a very fair chance Pitt, Rutgers, and Maryland become so strong over this period of 3+ years where PSU will flat out not be able to recruit that they may keep the momentum permanently.