Some random tidbits from Ohio State's last three regular season losses:
2021:
vs. Oregon: 35-28L
@ Michigan: 42-27L
2022:
vs. Michigan: 45-23L
1. Ohio State lost the 3rd quarter in every game: 7-14, 0-14, 0-7. Interestingly, in their losses they gave up a quick TD on their opponent's first possession of the 3rd quarter. In 2021 Oregon took 3 plays to go 81 yards (1:22 minutes) for a TD (including a 77 yard TD run). In the 2021 game, Michigan held OSU to a 3 and out on the opening possession of the 3rd, and then went 5 plays for 77 yards (1:15 minutes) for a TD (including a 55 yard run). In the 2022 game, Michigan took the opening kickoff to start the 3rd and went 7 plays for 75 yards (3:04 minutes) including a 45 yard TD pass.
2. Ohio State gave up over 250 yards rushing in every game (252, 269 and 252), while being held to under 150 yards (143, 64 and 128).
3. Michigan (twice) and Oregon had more offensive rush attempts than pass attempts.
4. In 2021 Michigan and Oregon spread the ball around on pass plays. Michigan had 9 different players with receptions while Oregon had 11. By comparison, OSU had 5 and 7 in those games. That trend reversed in the 2022 Michigan game as OSU had 8 different players with receptions vs. Michigan's 7 but that may be because Michigan went almost exclusively to the run in the 2nd half.
5. Win or lose, OSU's WRs are gonna get theirs. Smith-Njigba (11 rec - 127 yards, 0 TDs) and Wilson (10-119, 1) against Michigan in 2021, Smith-Njigba (7-145, 2), Olave (12-126) and Wilson (8-117, 1) against Oregon in 2021 and Egbuka (9-125, 1) and Harrison Jr. (7-120, 1) in 2022 against Michigan. Lots of big stats on the WRs, but all losses.
Obvious Observations:
Commit to the run. Commit to stopping the run.
Don't be predictable on pass plays. Spread the ball around.
You can't stop OSU's passing game. They will get their stats. But limit their ability to run, make 'em one dimensional and force them to throw (seems counterintuitive to make them go with their strength). Even with CJ Stroud and those 1st round WRs, they weren't successful. This year's QB isn't Stroud.
Hang around. Keep the first half close. Successful opponents appear to be able to make quick adjustments and exploit OSU's D early in the 3rd. Then beat them up with a steady diet of power running.