The gist of what I wrote is that I think he could have done very well with Notre Dame’s talent at running back. The combination of him and offensive line coach Jim Harding together would have elevated the running game.
In the past 10 years he coached five skill players who became NFL Draft picks. Notre Dame had 17 over that same time. It would have been very interesting to see what he could have done while working with more talent.
The big question that remained with him was whether or not he could help Notre Dame become more explosive in the passing game. In the last 14 seasons, there was zero evidence to suggest he would do that.
His offenses have finished 59th, 78th, 48th, 46th, 60th, 102nd, 116th, 110th, and 79th in receptions of 20+ yards over the last ten seasons (I took out the Covid season of 2020 when Utah played less games).
Here’s where the eventual national champion finished in that same category: 3rd, 15th, 2nd, 1st, 11th, 56th (Bama with Hurts), 3rd, Alabama 51st, 15th, and 3rd.
Eight of the ten finished in the top-15 and five of the ten finished in the top-three. The two exceptions that didn’t finish in the top-15 were Alabama in 2017 and Alabama in 2015. They had the top ranked defense in DF+ both those seasons.
Ludwig had numerous 1,000 yard backs. His only 1,000 yard receiver since 2009 was Jared Abbrederis at Wisconsin. Some of that is the lack of talent he inherited. Some of that is that he hasn’t had a passing attack that has been aggressive attacking down the field.
Personnel is a part of it (Cam Rising’s arm: not great!), but when someone is a coordinator for as long as Ludwig has been and he hasn’t done something that is very important for offenses that win championships, that’s kind of a big deal.
Ludwig was not going to be a home run hire in my opinion. He was going to be a ground rule double. Maybe even a standing triple based on working with better talent and Harding being a package deal with him.
The missing piece was the explosive passing game. That’s a pretty important piece to not have.