A 62% probability of beating Michigan is too high. They basically ran two different offenses in their past two wins, yet averaged 492 yards per game and 31.5 points. The same guy responsible for most of the yards is back for a third go round. So, I put this more in the tossup category. Our young talent on offense better play well, because Denard Robinson will.
If our coaches can teach our CBs to turn their heads around and look for the ball, we will have five or six interceptions against DR. He is a terrible passer.
We may actually be a much better team without Floyd. When the QBs first three options are Floyd if he is open, Floyd if he is single covered, Floyd if he is still upright in spite of how many people are guarding him how do any of our receivers have a chance to "step up?"
Years ago when Cincinnati had Oscar Robertson as their "main man" who always got the ball when they really needed a score with the game on the line(sound familiar?) they get knocked out of the NCAA tournament every year. When he graduated they didn't have any one to go to, so they played as a team and won two in a row, and almost a third as they played as a team.
I think that this may happen to ND this year(and may be happening to our BB team now).
If so, 12-0 or 11-1.