NDRock
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The one thing I was concerned about when we hired Kelly, was his lack of experience at a big time program. He had success in the lower divisions but was he going to miss things because he had never seen first hand what a winning, big time program looked like from the inside. No idea if that lack of experience mattered at all but I would be weary of hiring a guy who had only coached as lower programs.It's an interesting question. For elite programs, G5 guys like Norvell and Napier have not worked out, while big-program coordinators like Lanning and Freeman obviously have. But worth noting that right now today, the three hottest stories in coaching took three different paths to their jobs:
Cignetti: successful G5 coach
Lea: Coordinator at a major P4
Brent Key: Internal promotion
So, there are many paths to glory.
It's still a crapshoot. I would go after defensive minded coaches, who had coached at big time programs in some capacity. Even narrowing it down to that, I have no idea why Kirby Smart has been wildly successful while Will Muschamp has flamed out twice. They both seemed very similar as candidates.