I was listening to something and they were talking about how most NFL RBs have a massive drop-off in production after 1,500 carries. 300 carries isn't insignificant.
Here is PFF on the topic with many stats. Worth the read. For the 1,500, it's NFL only carries. Here is their stance on college workload too...
www.pff.com
FICTION: A HEAVY COLLEGE WORKLOAD MEANS THE RUNNING BACK WON’T DO AS WELL IN THE NFL
Draft analysts often like to reference the amount of carries a running back received in college as a reason for why they should be drafted higher or lower. A running back who was a workhorse during their NCAA career has more doubts cast upon their future in the NFL, while a running back who saw a lighter workload is often labeled as “fresh.”
This doesn’t seem to be the case. Nick Chubb and Dalvin Cook both spent years as a focal point of their college offenses and have emerged as two of the best running backs in the NFL. There is little to no correlation between how many rushes a running back accumulates in college and their NFL performance. Tarik Cohen and Mike Davis being “more fresh” didn't lead to better performance in the NFL.
That must have been the article they were talking about. Good looking out.Here is PFF on the topic with many stats. Worth the read. For the 1,500, it's NFL only carries. Here is their stance on college workload too...
Do NFL running backs regress? Facts and fiction
Using PFF’s Rushing Yards Over Expected to examine the truths and myths about the age and number of carries that lead to NFL running back regression over a player’s career.
It might also be a bargaining tactic if he sees other guys getting big $ from Ole Miss.
Good point. My natural reaction is once it's public that a player is hitting the portal, to think they're gone. But, it could just be that.
Tim O'Malley mentioned something in the same vein in this week's II pod. Something to the effect of, "if fans knew of all the star players (ND/ others) they heard considering going into the portal fans would freak out."
This is what makes me think CFB is dead. When players can come and go any time to the highest bidder without repercussions, that isnt college ball. That is pro ball or at worst, semi-pro ball. Practically guarantees the athlete isnt attending classes because the school isnt going to boot out a star player who they just paid millions of dollars for. And if they arent attending classes, they arent college students.
Not necessarily disagreeing, but this is not on the players. In truth at most of these schools they really aren’t going to class and haven’t been for decades now, nor are they encouraged to. It’s the adults, from the Universities, to the coaching staffs, to the bowl committees, to the alum and subway alum, everyone is either getting paid or pushing this financial model. At some point there was a choice where they could have insisted that these kids be student athletes but maybe damage the CFB product a little. They chose the product, and to keep getting paid. Now their conscience has them feeling they need to spread the wealth a little bit…finally..to the actual players.
Don't overpay RBs
I think San Fran’s QB is a lot more than mediocre
