RDU Irish
Catholics vs. Cousins
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We would jump an Iowa but Utah's resume would be pretty amazing at 12-1, especially if Michigan ends up at 9-3 or 10-2. Clemson would deserve to get in ahead of us unless they suffer a bad loss.
Best Clemson case, they go 12-0 only to lose to a two/three loss Pitt/Duke team in the conference championship. Pretty hard to put a non-champ in the playoffs.
Utah's win over Michigan is the only thing that currently makes that theoretical 12-1 "amazing". Oregon is three losses already, ASU two. They don't have a lot of ranked opponents on their schedule. USC in two weeks will be perfect timing. Stanford is not on their schedule. The Pac12 has a lot of decent teams but no great ones. Playing UCLA in late November and championship two weeks later will be their toughest test. Dropping one that late would be pretty damning. They would be best losing to UCLA and winning the championship, making a tough resume for us to pass by.