My logic is 3 losses is borderline trending to missing the playoffs for the big programs (Bama, Texas etc) but a 24 team playoff means they'll always be in with 3 losses and sometimes even 4.
Because the inclusion criteria somewhat broadens and everyone will be clamoring for those last few spots. Usually there are few 2 loss teams. A few more 3 loss teams.
| Season | ≤2 losses P4+ND | ≤2 non-P4 | 3 losses P4+ND | 3 non-P4 | 4 losses P4+ND | 4 non-P4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 2022 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 7 |
| 2023 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 8 |
| 2024 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 2025 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| Total | 62 | 21 | 37 | 24 | 50 | 36 |
How does anyone know how many ranked teams they will play years in advance when making their schedules?
Yup, the B1G is intimating that they'll be on board.
It doesn't have to be close
2 games in Bloomington to 1 in South Bend? ND isn't the Mountain West!
Well thank goodness I misread.
I read it the same way. "Go to IU and offer them a 2 home........"
I thought we put italics on stuff for sarcasm.
If you like, I can get you an updated analysis and prediction from ChatGPT
We aren’t Luddites, make sure to use your prototype Astra access
The main way to solve the issue of "incentives" is using a direct qualification system for playoffs versus any sort of rankings that will always over-index losses relative to wins.
I am perfectly fine with either. But think the “2.5” or “3.5” model for Big 12 and ACC is best. Essentially 2 or 3 locks, then the next best school.
I'm personally a big fan of going to 16 and eliminating byes. I think 24 comes across as crazy clunky and too much of a participation trophy but who knows.
This talent composite seems high and also sorta divorced from their power rating, wonder what their logic is here but also glad someone is trying for a new age "blue chip ratio" since the other one is now defunct. I think a fun game to play is "who would start for us?" ... not sure if Wisconsin has a single dude. They basically have no one mocked in 2027 and I don't think they have a bunch of stud underclassmen either. Most of the guys they added in the portal seem like they are of the good-not-great variety.
When has the 20th team in the country ever had even a slight argument that they deserved a title shot?? Hell how often has any team outside the top five had one honestly?
16 is giving some participating trophies as well, but this comes closer to satisfying the crybabies without making this a joke. It's not like the NCAA where you only need a few guys to be able to pull off the upset.
