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That's a plausible reading if you focus on nothing but the prophecy. But if you look at the various story threads, it's not very likely. Cersei automatically assumes that the valonqar is Tyrion (for obvious reasons), while GRRM's subtly informs us that Jamie is her younger twin. The prophecy is also very specific about how Cersei will die, emphasizing the fact that the valonqar's hands will wrap around Cersei's "pale white throat"; which sets up some beautiful imagery now that one of Jamie's hands is literally made of gold. And then there's the complex dynamic of Jamie killing his twin and former lover Cersei, who has gone mad and threatens to burn all of KL in Wild Fire, just like the Targaryen king that Jamie killed, thereby earning the infamy under which he labors to regain his honor. In short, there's a long list of reasons why Jamie as the valonqar is the best narrative choice.
The evidence in favor of Arya is: (1) a random line by Maester Aemon that valonqar might mean "little sister" (despite the fact that Maggy uses masculine pronouns); and (2) because Cersei's on her list. But it's pretty clear by the end of ADwD that Arya will not get to kill many people on her list, because most of them are already dead. She kills Raff the Sweetling at the Crossroads Inn, and in the show she killed Walder Frey. But almost everyone else on her list is already dead. In my opinion, Arya's narrative is better if the little girl hellbent on vengeance finally returns to Westeros only to find that virtually all of her targets have already died; complicates things morally (which GRRM loves to do), and forces her to reckon with who she is and what she wants to fight for.
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