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Question - what would the Computers say in 1993 and did you support FSU![]()
Sagarin's model liked FSU better in 1993; by how much, I'm not sure. His archived ratings don't go back that far.
When you're talking about two teams with identical records vying for a spot in a title game, head-to-head results should obviously be weighed heavily. But I don't think "W/L Record + head-to-head tiebreakers" is a good algorithm either. For instance, FSU's single loss (to ND) was far less embarrassing than ND's (to a 9-3 BC squad).
Regardless, it wasn't Sagarin's model who sent us to the Cotton Bowl that year. It was the pollsters. ND and FSU were clearly the two best teams that year, and should have rematched for the title.