There were four teams that I really wanted to avoid as a 6/7 seed and they were MSU, Purdue, OU and WVU. For OU, I just don't think ND has good enough defense to shut them down. I think the other three would torch us on the glass.
As it stands, ND is 247th in the country in defensive rebounding %, at just under 71%. Purdue is first at 80%, MSU third at 79.5% and WVU is 75th at 74.6%. Likewise, offensive rebounding %'s are scary. WVU is first in the country at over 41%, MSU is 17th at 36% and Purdue is 41st at 32.8%. ND is 71st BTW, at 30.9%. Total rebounding %....MSU 1st in the country, Purdue is 3rd and WVU is 8th and ND is........105.
Assuming ND get's into the second round, it will take DJ playing his best game of the year along with tight officiating to offset WVU's physical play. If that happens, ND has a chance. If that doesn't happen, it will take a fantastic shooting night to beat WVU.
I think ND could beat WVU, but I am not very confident in it at all. I think the game will flow like the UNC game from this last weekend, where ND struggles to score consistently and gives up offensive rebound after offensive rebound. WVU will not shoot like UNC did, but I don't think it will matter if ND can't control the glass. If ND pairs against WVU, I like WVU by 13.